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Characterizing the long term behavior of dynamical systems given limited measurements is a common challenge throughout the physical and biological sciences. This is a challenging task due to the sparsity and noise inherent to empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Roy Friedman , Noa Moriel , Matthew Ricci , Guy Pelc , Yair Weiss , Mor Nitzan

Spatially extended population dynamics models that incorporate intrinsic noise serve as case studies for the role of fluctuations and correlations in biological systems. Including spatial structure and stochastic noise in predator-prey…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-09 Ulrich Dobramysl , Mauro Mobilia , Michel Pleimling , Uwe C. Täuber

Population-based learning paradigms, including evolutionary strategies, Population-Based Training (PBT), and recent model-merging methods, combine fast within-model optimisation with slower population-level adaptation. Despite their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Giacomo Borghi , Hyesung Im , Lorenzo Pareschi

Discrete time, spatially extended models play an important role in ecology, modelling population dynamics of species ranging from micro-organisms to birds. An important question is how 'bottom up', individual-based models can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-20 Linnéa Gyllingberg , David J. T. Sumpter , Åke Brännström

This paper concerns the adaptive control problem for a class of nonlinear stochastic systems in which the state update is given by a nonlinear function of linear dynamics plus additive stochastic noise. Such systems arise in a wide range of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Lantian Zhang , Bo Wahlberg , Silun Zhang

A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy

The linear noise approximation (LNA) describes the random fluctuations from the mean-field concentrations of a chemical reaction network due to intrinsic noise. It is also used as a test probe to determine the accuracy of reduced…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-27 Justin Eilertsen , Wylie Stroberg

This paper investigates a nonlinear logistic model for age-structured population dynamics. The model incorporates interdependent fertility and mortality functions within a logistic framework, offering insights into stationary solutions and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Dragos-Patru Covei

In this paper, we derive a novel procedure for set-membership estimation of dynamical systems affected by stochastic noise with unbounded support. Employing a bound on the sample covariance matrix, we are able to provide a finite- sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-20 Felix Brändle , Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Andrea Iannelli , Frank Allgöwer

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

Nonlinear dynamic models are widely used for characterizing functional forms of processes that govern complex biological pathway systems. Over the past decade, validation and further development of these models became possible due to data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Itai Dattner , Shota Gugushvili , Harold Ship , Eberhard O. Voit

We consider inference for the reaction rates in discretely observed networks such as those found in models for systems biology, population ecology and epidemics. Most such networks are neither slow enough nor small enough for inference via…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-05 Paul Fearnhead , Vasileios Giagos , Chris Sherlock

It is well known that the kinetics of an intracellular biochemical network is stochastic. This is due to intrinsic noise arising from the random timing of biochemical reactions in the network as well as due to extrinsic noise stemming from…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-05 Emma M. Keizer , Bjorn Bastian , Robert W. Smith , Ramon Grima , Christian Fleck

Stochastic simulation can make the molecular processes of cellular control more vivid than the traditional differential-equation approach by generating typical system histories instead of just statistical measures such as the mean and…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-18 Kevin Y. Chen , Daniel M. Zuckerman , Philip C. Nelson

Neural population activity often exhibits rich variability and temporal structure. This variability is thought to arise from single-neuron stochasticity, neural dynamics on short time-scales, as well as from modulations of neural firing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 Mijung Park , Jakob H. Macke

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

Many models of population dynamics are formulated as deterministic iterated maps although real populations are stochastic. This is justifiable in the limit of large population sizes, as the stochastic fluctuations are negligible then.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-16 Snehal M. Shekatkar

Neutral dynamics, where taxa are assumed to be demographically equivalent and their abundance is governed solely by the stochasticity of the underlying birth-death process, has proved itself as an important minimal model that accounts for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-09 David Kessler , Samir Suweis , Marco Formentin , Nadav M. Shnerb

A central challenge in computational modeling of dynamic biological systems is parameter inference from experimental time course measurements. However, one would not only like to infer kinetic parameters but also study their variability…

In the context of data-driven control of nonlinear systems, many approaches lack of rigorous guarantees, call for nonconvex optimization, or require knowledge of a function basis containing the system dynamics. To tackle these drawbacks, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-05 Tim Martin , Frank Allgöwer