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Continual learning--the ability to acquire, retain, and refine knowledge over time--has always been fundamental to intelligence, both human and artificial. Historically, different AI paradigms have acknowledged this need, albeit with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jack Bell , Luigi Quarantiello , Eric Nuertey Coleman , Lanpei Li , Malio Li , Mauro Madeddu , Elia Piccoli , Vincenzo Lomonaco

Most time series foundation models are pretrained by directly predicting future observations, which often yields weakly structured latent representations that capture surface noise rather than coherent and predictable temporal dynamics. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Xinxing Zhou , Qingren Yao , Yiji Zhao , Chenghao Liu , Flora Salim , Xiaojie Yuan , Yanlong Wen , Ming Jin

Foundation models are large-scale machine learning models that are pre-trained on massive amounts of data and can be adapted for various downstream tasks. They have been extensively applied to tasks in Natural Language Processing and…

With the rise of large language models, the paradigm of training foundation models with massive parameter counts on vast datasets has been adopted in multiple domains to achieve remarkable success. Time series foundation models represent a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Yi Xie , Yun Xiong , Zejian Shi , Hao Niu , Zhengfu Liu

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) promise to be powerful tools for a wide range of applications. However, their internal representations and learned concepts are still not well understood. In this study, we investigate the structure and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Michał Wiliński , Mononito Goswami , Willa Potosnak , Nina Żukowska , Artur Dubrawski

Financial time series forecasting is central to trading, portfolio optimization, and risk management, yet it remains challenging due to noisy, non-stationary, and heterogeneous data. Recent advances in time series foundation models (TSFMs),…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Eghbal Rahimikia , Hao Ni , Weiguan Wang

Existing well investigated Predictive Process Monitoring techniques typically construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

Evaluating robustness under temporal distribution shift remains an open challenge. Existing metrics quantify the average decline in performance, but fail to capture how models adapt to evolving data. As a result, temporal degradation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Lorenzo Iovine , Giacomo Ziffer , Emanuele Della Valle

There is a lack of quantitative measures to evaluate the progression of topics through time in dynamic topic models (DTMs). Filling this gap, we propose a novel evaluation measure for DTMs that analyzes the changes in the quality of each…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charu James , Mayank Nagda , Nooshin Haji Ghassemi , Marius Kloft , Sophie Fellenz

Developments in Deep Learning have significantly improved time series forecasting by enabling more accurate modeling of complex temporal dependencies inherent in sequential data. The effectiveness of such models is often demonstrated on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Victoria Hankemeier , Malte Schilling

Large-scale foundation models provide powerful feature representations for downstream object segmentation tasks. However, when adapted to specific tasks through the full-parameter fine-tuning, the enormous parameters being updated often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Yanguang Sun , Jiawei Lian , Jian Yang , Lei Luo

Recent years have witnessed a growing interest for time series foundation models, with a strong emphasis on the forecasting task. Yet, the crucial task of out-of-domain imputation of missing values remains largely underexplored. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Etienne Le Naour , Tahar Nabil , Ghislain Agoua

We introduce Timer-S1, a strong Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) time series foundation model with 8.3B total parameters, 0.75B activated parameters for each token, and a context length of 11.5K. To overcome the scalability bottleneck in existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Yong Liu , Xingjian Su , Shiyu Wang , Haoran Zhang , Haixuan Liu , Yuxuan Wang , Zhou Ye , Yang Xiang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Universal machine-learned interatomic potentials (U-MLIPs) have demonstrated effectiveness across diverse atomistic systems but often require fine-tuning for task-specific accuracy. We investigate the fine-tuning of two MACE-based…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-10 Xiaoqing Liu , Kehan Zeng , Yangshuai Wang , Teng Zhao

While foundation models have been exploited for various expert tasks through fine-tuning, any foundation model will become outdated due to its old knowledge or limited capability. Thus the underlying foundation model should be eventually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Daiki Chijiwa , Taku Hasegawa , Kyosuke Nishida , Kuniko Saito , Susumu Takeuchi

Accurate forecasting of transportation dynamics is essential for urban mobility and infrastructure planning. Although recent work has achieved strong performance with deep learning models, these methods typically require dataset-specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Javier Yanes-Pulido , Filipe Rodrigues

Deep tabular models have demonstrated remarkable success on i.i.d. data, excelling in a variety of structured data tasks. However, their performance often deteriorates under temporal distribution shifts, where trends and periodic patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Hao-Run Cai , Han-Jia Ye

We propose a new finetuning method to provide pre-trained large language models (LMs) the ability to scale test-time compute through the diffusion framework. By increasing the number of diffusion steps, we show our finetuned models achieve…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Edoardo Cetin , Tianyu Zhao , Yujin Tang

Accurate time series forecasting is a highly valuable endeavour with applications across many industries. Despite recent deep learning advancements, increased model complexity, and larger model sizes, many state-of-the-art models often…

The zero-shot capabilities of foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting offer promising potentials in conformal prediction, as most of the available data can be allocated to calibration. This study compares the performance of Time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Sami Achour , Yassine Bouher , Duong Nguyen , Nicolas Chesneau