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Offline evaluations of recommender systems attempt to estimate users' satisfaction with recommendations using static data from prior user interactions. These evaluations provide researchers and developers with first approximations of the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Mucun Tian , Michael D. Ekstrand

Recommender systems rely heavily on user feedback to learn effective user and item representations. Despite their widespread adoption, limited attention has been given to the uncertainty inherent in the feedback used to train these systems.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Bruno Sguerra , Viet-Anh Tran , Romain Hennequin , Manuel Moussallam

Acceptance and Reappraisal are considered adaptive emotion regulation strategies. While previous studies have explored the neural underpinnings of these strategies using task based fMRI and sMRI, a gap exists in the literature concerning…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-14 Parisa Ahmadi Ghomroudi , Roma Siugzdaite , Irene Messina , Alessandro Grecucci

Indirect surveys, in which respondents provide information about other people they know, have been proposed for estimating (nowcasting) the size of a \emph{hidden population} where privacy is important or the hidden population is hard to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Ajitesh Srivastava , Juan Marcos Ramírez , Sergio Díaz-Aranda , Jose Aguilar , Antonio Ortega , Antonio Fernández Anta , Rosa Elvira Lillo

Over the last decades, many prognostic models based on artificial intelligence techniques have been used to provide detailed predictions in healthcare. Unfortunately, the real-world observational data used to train and validate these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Alice Bernasconi , Alessio Zanga , Peter J. F. Lucas , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

In content-based online platforms, use of aggregate user feedback (say, the sum of votes) is commonplace as the "gold standard" for measuring content quality. Use of vote aggregates, however, is at odds with the existing empirical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Himel Dev , Karrie Karahalios , Hari Sundaram

The size of a website's active user base directly affects its value. Thus, it is important to monitor and influence a user's likelihood to return to a site. Essential to this is predicting when a user will return. Current state of the art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Georg L. Grob , Ângelo Cardoso , C. H. Bryan Liu , Duncan A. Little , Benjamin Paul Chamberlain

Survey data typically have missing values due to unit and item nonresponse. Sometimes, survey organizations know the marginal distributions of certain categorical variables in the survey. As shown in previous work, survey organizations can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Kewei Xu , Jerome P. Reiter

In the November 2016 U.S. presidential election, many state level public opinion polls, particularly in the Upper Midwest, incorrectly predicted the winning candidate. One leading explanation for this polling miss is that the precipitous…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-15 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Erin Hartman

When applicants get rejected by an algorithmic decision system, recourse explanations provide actionable suggestions for how to change their input features to get a positive evaluation. A crucial yet overlooked phenomenon is that recourse…

We consider inference from non-random samples in data-rich settings where high-dimensional auxiliary information is available both in the sample and the target population, with survey inference being a special case. We propose a regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Yutao Liu , Andrew Gelman , Qixuan Chen

This article focuses on measurement error in covariates in regression analyses in which the aim is to estimate the association between one or more covariates and an outcome, adjusting for confounding. Error in covariate measurements, if…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-16 Ruth H. Keogh , Jonathan W. Bartlett

Estimating the causal effect of a treatment or health policy with observational data can be challenging due to an imbalance of and a lack of overlap between treated and control covariate distributions. In the presence of limited overlap,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-24 Martha Barnard , Jared D. Huling , Julian Wolfson

Countries officially record the number of COVID-19 cases based on medical tests of a subset of the population with unknown participation bias. For prevalence estimation, the official information is typically discarded and, instead, small…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-25 Stéphane Guerrier , Christoph Kuzmics , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

No unmeasured confounding is often assumed in estimating treatment effects in observational data when using approaches such as propensity scores and inverse probability weighting. However, in many such studies due to the limitation of the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-06 Rong Huang , Ronghui Xu , Parambir S. Dulai

Control systems are inevitably affected by external disturbances, and a major objective of the control design is to attenuate or eliminate their adverse effects on the system performance. This paper presents a disturbance rejection approach…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-30 Zhitao Li , Amin Vahidi-Moghaddam , Hamidreza Modares , Jinsheng Sun

In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting survey response rates using a family of flexible and interpretable nonparametric models. The study is motivated by the US Census Bureau's well-known ROAM application, which uses a linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Shibal Ibrahim , Peter Radchenko , Emanuel Ben-David , Rahul Mazumder

Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Oliver L. Pescott , Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Gavin B. Stewart

This paper uses daily Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data to estimate the causal effect of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, a highly competitive race whose outcome resolved lingering uncertainty on election day, on…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-10 Dongyoung Kim , Young-Il Albert Kim , Haedong Aiden Rho