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Catching and attributing code change-induced performance regressions in production is hard; predicting them beforehand, even harder. A primer on automatically learning to predict performance regressions in software, this article gives an…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Moritz Beller , Hongyu Li , Vivek Nair , Vijayaraghavan Murali , Imad Ahmad , Jürgen Cito , Drew Carlson , Ari Aye , Wes Dyer

Stock market volatility forecasting is a task relevant to assessing market risk. We investigate the interaction between news and prices for the one-day-ahead volatility prediction using state-of-the-art deep learning approaches. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-31 Marcelo Sardelich , Suresh Manandhar

Pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) encapsulate large amounts of knowledge and take enormous amounts of compute to train. We make use of this resource, together with the observation that LLMs are able to transfer knowledge and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Malcolm L. Wolff , Shenghao Yang , Kari Torkkola , Michael W. Mahoney

Applications of deep learning in financial market prediction has attracted huge attention from investors and researchers. In particular, intra-day prediction at the minute scale, the dramatically fluctuating volume and stock prices within…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-25 Yuze Lu , Hailong Zhang , Qiwen Guo

Transformers have achieved superior performances in many tasks in natural language processing and computer vision, which also triggered great interest in the time series community. Among multiple advantages of Transformers, the ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Qingsong Wen , Tian Zhou , Chaoli Zhang , Weiqi Chen , Ziqing Ma , Junchi Yan , Liang Sun

We propose Mixed-Panels-Transformer Encoder (MPTE), a novel framework for estimating factor models in panel datasets with mixed frequencies and nonlinear signals. Traditional factor models rely on linear signal extraction and require…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Alessio Brini , Ekaterina Seregina

The increasing severity of climate change necessitates an urgent transition to renewable energy sources, making the large-scale adoption of wind energy crucial for mitigating environmental impact. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Chongyang Wan , Shunbo Lei , Yuan Luo

Transformer-based models have recently become dominant in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), yet the variations in their architecture, such as encoder-only, encoder-decoder, and decoder-only designs, raise a crucial question: What…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

In today's complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Fu Lei , Ge Shi

In recent times, the field of unsupervised representation learning (URL) for time series data has garnered significant interest due to its remarkable adaptability across diverse downstream applications. Unsupervised learning goals differ…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Chen Liang , Donghua Yang , Zhiyu Liang , Hongzhi Wang , Zheng Liang , Xiyang Zhang , Jianfeng Huang

This paper proposes a transformer over transformer framework, called Transformer$^2$, to perform neural text segmentation. It consists of two components: bottom-level sentence encoders using pre-trained transformers, and an upper-level…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Kelvin Lo , Yuan Jin , Weicong Tan , Ming Liu , Lan Du , Wray Buntine

Multi-dimensional time series data, such as matrix and tensor-variate time series, are increasingly prevalent in fields such as economics, finance, and climate science. Traditional Transformer models, though adept with sequential data, do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Linghang Kong , Elynn Chen , Yuzhou Chen , Yuefeng Han

Transformer, an attention-based encoder-decoder model, has already revolutionized the field of natural language processing (NLP). Inspired by such significant achievements, some pioneering works have recently been done on employing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Yang Liu , Yao Zhang , Yixin Wang , Feng Hou , Jin Yuan , Jiang Tian , Yang Zhang , Zhongchao Shi , Jianping Fan , Zhiqiang He

This study presents the implementation of a short-term forecasting system for price movements in exchange markets, using market depth data and a systematic procedure to enable a fully automated trading system. The case study focuses on the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Rui Gonçalves , Vitor Miguel Ribeiro , Roman Chertovskih , António Pedro Aguiar

Transformers have become the dominant architecture for sequence modeling tasks such as natural language processing or audio processing, and they are now even considered for tasks that are not naturally sequential such as image…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Jorg Bornschein , Yazhe Li , Amal Rannen-Triki

In the complex landscape of multivariate time series forecasting, achieving both accuracy and interpretability remains a significant challenge. This paper introduces the Fuzzy Transformer (Fuzzformer), a novel recurrent neural network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Miha Ožbot , Igor Škrjanc , Vitomir Štruc

Users engage with financial services companies through multiple channels, often interacting with mobile applications, web platforms, call centers, and physical locations to service their accounts. The resulting interactions are recorded at…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-20 Dwipam Katariya , Juan Manuel Origgi , Yage Wang , Thomas Caputo

Transformer-based models have emerged as promising tools for time series forecasting. However, these model cannot make accurate prediction for long input time series. On the one hand, they failed to capture global dependencies within time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 YanJun Zhao , Ziqing Ma , Tian Zhou , Liang Sun , Mengni Ye , Yi Qian

Modern evolvements of the technologies have been leading to a profound influence on the financial market. The introduction of constituents like Exchange-Traded Funds, and the wide-use of advanced technologies such as algorithmic trading,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-20 Liao Zhu

Representation learning on static graph-structured data has shown a significant impact on many real-world applications. However, less attention has been paid to the evolving nature of temporal networks, in which the edges are often changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Jing Ma , Qiuchen Zhang , Jian Lou , Li Xiong , Joyce C. Ho