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Forecasting presents a complex estimation challenge, as it involves balancing multiple, often conflicting, priorities and objectives. Conventional forecast optimization methods typically emphasize a single metric--such as minimizing the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-17 Marc Wildi

Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is a multivariate statistical method which describes the associations between two sets of variables. The objective is to find linear combinations of the variables in each data set having maximal…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-07 Ines Wilms , Christophe Croux

This paper studies the problem of safe stabilization of control-affine systems under uncertainty. Our starting point is the availability of worst-case or probabilistic error descriptions for the dynamics and a control barrier function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Pol Mestres , Jorge Cortés

Given the increasing amount and general complexity of time series data in domains such as finance, weather forecasting, and healthcare, there is a growing need for state-of-the-art performance models that can provide interpretable insights…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Udo Schlegel , Daniel A. Keim

In this paper, we propose a new Soft Confidence-Weighted (SCW) online learning scheme, which enables the conventional confidence-weighted learning method to handle non-separable cases. Unlike the previous confidence-weighted learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Jialei Wang , Peilin Zhao , Steven C. H. Hoi

Randomized smoothing is currently considered the state-of-the-art method to obtain certifiably robust classifiers. Despite its remarkable performance, the method is associated with various serious problems such as "certified accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Peter Súkeník , Aleksei Kuvshinov , Stephan Günnemann

The challenge of Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization poses a foundational concern for the application of machine learning algorithms to risk-sensitive areas. Inspired by traditional importance weighting and propensity weighting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Han Yu , Yue He , Renzhe Xu , Dongbai Li , Jiayin Zhang , Wenchao Zou , Peng Cui

In this paper, we investigate the probabilistic formal verification of stochastic dynamical systems over continuous state spaces. Motivated by problems in state estimation and information-flow security, we introduce the notion of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Bohan Cui , Jianing Zhao , Yu Chen , Alessandro Abate , Marta Kwiatkowska , Xiang Yin

Effective software safety standards will contribute to confidence, or assurance, in the safety of the systems in which the software is used. It is infeasible to demonstrate a correlation between standards and accidents, but there is an…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-04-29 John A. McDermid

This study presents a sampling-based method to guarantee robust stability of general control systems with uncertainty. The method allows the system dynamics and controllers to be represented by various data-driven models, such as Gaussian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-11 Yuji Ito , Kenji Fujimoto

Evaluating side-channel analysis (SCA) security is a complex process, involving applying several techniques whose success depends on human engineering. Therefore, it is crucial to avoid a false sense of confidence provided by non-optimal…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Unai Rioja , Lejla Batina , Igor Armendariz , Jose Luis Flores

Understanding how neural networks arrive at their predictions is essential for debugging, auditing, and deployment. Mechanistic interpretability pursues this goal by identifying circuits - minimal subnetworks responsible for specific…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Alaa Anani , Tobias Lorenz , Bernt Schiele , Mario Fritz , Jonas Fischer

Randomized smoothing is a general technique for computing sample-dependent robustness guarantees against adversarial attacks for deep classifiers. Prior works on randomized smoothing against L_1 adversarial attacks use additive smoothing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Alexander Levine , Soheil Feizi

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for deploying machine learning systems in high-stakes domains. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guarantees but often produces overly large prediction sets, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has achieved remarkable success in safety-critical areas, but it can be weakened by adversarial attacks. Recent studies have introduced "smoothed policies" in order to enhance its robustness. Yet, it is still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Ronghui Mu , Leandro Soriano Marcolino , Tianle Zhang , Yanghao Zhang , Xiaowei Huang , Wenjie Ruan

We introduce probability estimation, a broadly applicable framework to certify randomness in a finite sequence of measurement results without assuming that these results are independent and identically distributed. Probability estimation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Yanbao Zhang , Emanuel Knill , Peter Bierhorst

Extensively evaluating the capabilities of (large) language models is difficult. Rapid development of state-of-the-art models induce benchmark saturation, while creating more challenging datasets is labor-intensive. Inspired by the recent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Alan Sun

While certified robustness is widely promoted as a solution to adversarial examples in Artificial Intelligence systems, significant challenges remain before these techniques can be meaningfully deployed in real-world applications. We…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Andrew C. Cullen , Paul Montague , Sarah M. Erfani , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

We study feature selection in high-dimensional regression under two distinct sources of instability: sampling variability and measurement error in the design matrix. Stability Selection addresses the former through sub-sampling and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Houying Zhu , Samuel Muller

In safety-critical deep learning applications robustness measurement is a vital pre-deployment phase. However, existing robustness verification methods are not sufficiently practical for deploying machine learning systems in the real world.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Tianle Zhang , Wenjie Ruan , Jonathan E. Fieldsend