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We study interactions with uncertainty about demand sensitivity. In our solution concept (1) firms choose seemingly-optimal strategies given the level of sophistication of their data analytics, and (2) the levels of sophistication form best…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-06 Ron Berman , Yuval Heller

In recent years, machine learning algorithms have become ubiquitous in a multitude of high-stakes decision-making applications. The unparalleled ability of machine learning algorithms to learn patterns from data also enables them to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-14 José Pombal , André F. Cruz , João Bravo , Pedro Saleiro , Mário A. T. Figueiredo , Pedro Bizarro

Knowledge spillovers occur when a firm researches a new technology and that technology is adapted or adopted by another firm, resulting in a social value of the technology that is larger than the initially predicted private value. As a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Matt Barker , Pierre Degond , Ralf Martin , Mirabelle Muûls

AI-driven decision-making systems are becoming instrumental in the public sector, with applications spanning areas like criminal justice, social welfare, financial fraud detection, and public health. While these systems offer great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Unai Fischer-Abaigar , Christoph Kern , Noam Barda , Frauke Kreuter

We document a fundamental paradox in AI transparency: explanations improve decisions when algorithms are correct but systematically worsen them when algorithms err. In an experiment with 257 medical students making 3,855 diagnostic…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-10 Manshu Khanna , Ziyi Wang , Lijia Wei , Lian Xue

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

This paper explores the economic underpinnings of open sourcing advanced large language models (LLMs) by for-profit companies. Empirical analysis reveals that: (1) LLMs are compatible with R&D portfolios of numerous technologically…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-22 Mahyar Habibi

Designing a financial market that works well is very important for developing and maintaining an advanced economy, but is not easy because changing detailed rules, even ones that seem trivial, sometimes causes unexpected large impacts and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Takanobu Mizuta

Different agents need to make a prediction. They observe identical data, but have different models: they predict using different explanatory variables. We study which agent believes they have the best predictive ability -- as measured by…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-01 Jose Luis Montiel Olea , Pietro Ortoleva , Mallesh M Pai , Andrea Prat

A hybrid simulation-based framework involving system dynamics and agent-based simulation is proposed to address duopoly game considering multiple strategic decision variables and rich payoff, which cannot be addressed by traditional…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Dong Xu , Chao Meng , Qingpeng Zhang , Puneet Bhardwaj , Young-Jun Son

As financial institutions increasingly rely on machine learning models to automate lending decisions, concerns about algorithmic fairness have risen. This paper explores the tradeoff between enforcing fairness constraints (such as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Aayam Bansal

As Machine Learning (ML) models are becoming increasingly complex, one of the central challenges is their deployment at scale, such that companies and organizations can create value through Artificial Intelligence (AI). An emerging paradigm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Lam Duc Nguyen , Shashi Raj Pandey , Soret Beatriz , Arne Broering , Petar Popovski

Federated learning (FL) has emerged as a transformative paradigm for edge intelligence, enabling collaborative model training while preserving data privacy across distributed personal devices. However, the inherent volatility of edge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Obaidullah Zaland , Feras M. Awaysheh , Sawsan Al Zubi , Abdul Rahman Safi , Monowar Bhuyan

We study statistical parameter estimation in the setting of data markets. A buyer seeks to estimate a parameter based on samples that can be purchased from competing providers that differ in their data quality and provision costs. When…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Yuchen Hu , Martin J. Wainwright , Stephen Bates

Developing a reliable parametric cost model at the conceptual stage of the project is crucial for projects managers and decision-makers. Existing methods, such as probabilistic and statistical algorithms have been developed for project cost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Haytham H. Elmousalami

In a human-AI collaboration, users build a mental model of the AI system based on its reliability and how it presents its decision, e.g. its presentation of system confidence and an explanation of the output. Modern NLP systems are often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Shehzaad Dhuliawala , Vilém Zouhar , Mennatallah El-Assady , Mrinmaya Sachan

We study the competition for partners in two-sided matching markets with heterogeneous agent preferences, with a focus on how the equilibrium outcomes depend on the connectivity in the market. We model random partially connected markets,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Yash Kanoria , Seungki Min , Pengyu Qian

In today's world, with the rise of numerous social platforms, it has become relatively easy for anyone to spread false information and lure people into traps. Fraudulent schemes and traps are growing rapidly in the investment world. Due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Prabh Simran Singh Baweja , Orathai Sangpetch , Akkarit Sangpetch

It is curious that AI increasingly outperforms human decision makers, yet much of the public distrusts AI to make decisions affecting their lives. In this paper we explore a novel theory that may explain one reason for this. We propose that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Bran Knowles , Jason D'Cruz , John T. Richards , Kush R. Varshney

In real time electricity markets, the objective of generation companies while bidding is to maximize their profit. The strategies for learning optimal bidding have been formulated through game theoretical approaches and stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Jahnvi Patel , Devika Jay , Balaraman Ravindran , K. Shanti Swarup