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Recent developments on deep learning established some theoretical properties of deep neural networks estimators. However, most of the existing works on this topic are restricted to bounded loss functions or (sub)-Gaussian or bounded input.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-09 William Kengne , Modou Wade

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

Reliable causal effect estimation from observational data requires adjustment for confounding and sufficient overlap in covariate distributions between treatment groups. However, in high-dimensional settings, lack of overlap often inflates…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-21 Linying Yang , Robin J. Evans

Anecdotally, using an estimated propensity score is superior to the true propensity score in estimating the average treatment effect based on observational data. However, this claim comes with several qualifications: it holds only if…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Fangzhou Su , Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright

This paper investigates asymptotic properties of algorithms that can be viewed as robust analogues of the classical empirical risk minimization. These strategies are based on replacing the usual empirical average by a robust proxy of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Stanislav Minsker

Unmeasured confounding and selection bias are often of concern in observational studies and may invalidate a causal analysis if not appropriately accounted for. Under outcome-dependent sampling, a latent factor that has causal effects on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Kendrick Qijun Li , Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Regression adjustments are often considered by investigators to improve the estimation efficiency of causal effect in randomized experiments when there exists many pre-experiment covariates. In this paper, we provide conditions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Hanzhong Liu , Yuehan Yang

Subsampling techniques can reduce the computational costs of processing big data. Practical subsampling plans typically involve initial uniform sampling and refined sampling. With a subsample, big data inferences are generally built on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Yan Fan , Yang Liu , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin

Adaptive experiments, including efficient average treatment effect estimation and multi-armed bandit algorithms, have garnered attention in various applications, such as social experiments, clinical trials, and online advertisement…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-24 Masahiro Kato

Estimating the mean counterfactual outcome under a treatment rule is a central problem in causal inference and policy evaluation. Standard estimators, including inverse probability weighting (IPW), augmented IPW (AIPW), and targeted maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Yichen Xu , Mark J. van der Laan

In survey sampling, survey data do not necessarily represent the target population, and the samples are often biased. However, information on the survey weights aids in the elimination of selection bias. The Horvitz-Thompson estimator is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Kosuke Morikawa , Yoshikazu Terada , Jae Kwang Kim

Plausible identification of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) may rely on controlling for a large number of variables to account for confounding factors. In these high-dimensional settings, estimation of the CATE requires…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-18 Adam Baybutt , Manu Navjeevan

Average treatment effect estimation is the most central problem in causal inference with application to numerous disciplines. While many estimation strategies have been proposed in the literature, the statistical optimality of these methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Jikai Jin , Vasilis Syrgkanis

This paper proposes a novel non-parametric multidimensional convex regression estimator which is designed to be robust to adversarial perturbations in the empirical measure. We minimize over convex functions the maximum (over Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Jun Yan , Zhengqing Zhou

If multiway cluster-robust standard errors are used routinely in applied economics, surprisingly few theoretical results justify this practice. This paper aims to fill this gap. We first prove, under nearly the same conditions as with…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-06 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch

In modern scientific applications, large volumes of covariate data are readily available, while outcome labels are costly, sparse, and often subject to distribution shift. This asymmetry has spurred interest in semi-supervised (SS)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Lorenzo Testa , Qi Xu , Jing Lei , Kathryn Roeder

Across health applications, researchers model outcomes as a function of time to an event, but the event time is right-censored for participants who exit the study or otherwise do not experience the event during follow-up. When censoring…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Jesus E. Vazquez , Yanyuan Ma , Karen Marder , Tanya P. Garcia

Suppose we are interested in the mean of an outcome variable missing not at random. Suppose however that one has available a fully observed shadow variable, which is associated with the outcome but independent of the missingness process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We introduce a consistent estimator of the extreme value index under random truncation based on a single sample fraction of top observations from truncated and truncation data. We establish the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-02 S. Benchaira , D. Meraghni , A. Necir

When studying treatment effects in multilevel studies, investigators commonly use (semi-)parametric estimators, which make strong parametric assumptions about the outcome, the treatment, and/or the correlation structure between study units…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang
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