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Many current autonomous systems are being designed with a strong reliance on black box predictions from deep neural networks (DNNs). However, DNNs tend to be overconfident in predictions on unseen data and can give unpredictable results for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Björn Lütjens , Michael Everett , Jonathan P. How

Vehicle trajectory prediction has increasingly relied on data-driven solutions, but their ability to scale to different data domains and the impact of larger dataset sizes on their generalization remain under-explored. While these questions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Lan Feng , Mohammadhossein Bahari , Kaouther Messaoud Ben Amor , Éloi Zablocki , Matthieu Cord , Alexandre Alahi

In autonomous driving tasks, trajectory prediction in complex traffic environments requires adherence to real-world context conditions and behavior multimodalities. Existing methods predominantly rely on prior assumptions or generative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Yiming Xu , Hao Cheng , Monika Sester

Time-series forecasting is crucial for numerous real-world applications including weather prediction and financial market modeling. While temporal-domain methods remain prevalent, frequency-domain approaches can effectively capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhixuan Li , Naipeng Chen , Seonghwa Choi , Sanghoon Lee , Weisi Lin

A fundamental issue for statistical classification models in a streaming environment is that the joint distribution between predictor and response variables changes over time (a phenomenon also known as concept drifts), such that their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-11 Shujian Yu , Zubin Abraham , Heng Wang , Mohak Shah , Yantao Wei , José C. Príncipe

Understanding the decision processes of deep vision models is essential for their safe and trustworthy deployment in real-world settings. Existing explainability approaches, such as saliency maps or concept-based analyses, often suffer from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Éloi Zablocki , Valentin Gerard , Amaia Cardiel , Eric Gaussier , Matthieu Cord , Eduardo Valle

Motion prediction of vehicles is critical but challenging due to the uncertainties in complex environments and the limited visibility caused by occlusions and limited sensor ranges. In this paper, we study a new task, safety-aware motion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Xuanchi Ren , Tao Yang , Li Erran Li , Alexandre Alahi , Qifeng Chen

Double-machine-learning pipelines for the Average Dose-Response Function rely on kernel-weighted local-linear smoothers, which inherit unbounded functional influence: a single outlier within a kernel window biases the curve across the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-04 Eichi Uehara

Estimating the uncertainty of a neural network plays a fundamental role in safety-critical settings. In perception for autonomous driving, measuring the uncertainty means providing additional calibrated information to downstream tasks, such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Stefano Gasperini , Jan Haug , Mohammad-Ali Nikouei Mahani , Alvaro Marcos-Ramiro , Nassir Navab , Benjamin Busam , Federico Tombari

Deep learning (DL) techniques have achieved great success in predictive accuracy in a variety of tasks, but deep neural networks (DNNs) are shown to produce highly overconfident scores for even abnormal samples. Well-defined uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Yufei Li , Simin Chen , Wei Yang

The modeling of environmental ecosystems plays a pivotal role in the sustainable management of our planet. Accurate prediction of key environmental variables over space and time can aid in informed policy and decision-making, thus improving…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Haoran Li , Junqi Liu , Zexian Wang , Shiyuan Luo , Xiaowei Jia , Huaxiu Yao

Distribution shift, a change in the statistical properties of data over time, poses a critical challenge for deep learning anomaly detection systems. Existing anomaly detection systems often struggle to adapt to these shifts. Specifically,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ehssan Mousavipour , Andrey Dimanchev , Majid Ghaderi

Trajectory prediction in traffic scenes involves accurately forecasting the behaviour of surrounding vehicles. To achieve this objective it is crucial to consider contextual information, including the driving path of vehicles, road…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Leon Mlodzian , Zhigang Sun , Hendrik Berkemeyer , Sebastian Monka , Zixu Wang , Stefan Dietze , Lavdim Halilaj , Juergen Luettin

For the safe and successful navigation of autonomous vehicles in unstructured environments, the traversability of terrain should vary based on the driving capabilities of the vehicles. Actual driving experience can be utilized in a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Junwon Seo , Taekyung Kim , Kiho Kwak , Jihong Min , Inwook Shim

Out-of-training-distribution (OOD) scenarios are a common challenge of learning agents at deployment, typically leading to arbitrary deductions and poorly-informed decisions. In principle, detection of and adaptation to OOD scenes can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Angelos Filos , Panagiotis Tigas , Rowan McAllister , Nicholas Rhinehart , Sergey Levine , Yarin Gal

Estimating uncertainty in deep learning models is critical for reliable decision-making in high-stakes applications such as medical imaging. Prior research has established that the difference between an input sample and its reconstructed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Xinran Xu , Li Rong Wang , Xiuyi Fan

Maritime vessel maneuvers, characterized by their inherent complexity and indeterminacy, requires vessel trajectory prediction system capable of modeling the multi-modality nature of future motion states. Conventional stochastic trajectory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Changlin Li , Yanglei Gan , Tian Lan , Yuxiang Cai , Xueyi Liu , Run Lin , Qiao Liu

Incorporating the dynamics knowledge into the model is critical for achieving accurate trajectory prediction while considering the spatial and temporal characteristics of the vessel. However, existing methods rarely consider the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Huimin Qiang , Zhiyuan Guo , Shiyuan Xie , Xiaodong Peng

Critical transitions are the abrupt shifts between qualitatively different states of a system, and they are crucial to understanding tipping points in complex dynamical systems across ecology, climate science, and biology. Detecting these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Swadesh Pal , Roderick Melnik

Many important problems in the real world don't have unique solutions. It is thus important for machine learning models to be capable of proposing different plausible solutions with meaningful probability measures. In this work we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Di Qiu , Lok Ming Lui