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Trajectory prediction is a critical functionality of autonomous systems that share environments with uncontrolled agents, one prominent example being self-driving vehicles. Currently, most prediction methods do not enforce scene…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Yuxiao Chen , Boris Ivanovic , Marco Pavone

Neural networks are often overconfident about their predictions, which undermines their reliability and trustworthiness. In this work, we present a novel technique, named Error-Driven Uncertainty Aware Training (EUAT), which aims to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Pedro Mendes , Paolo Romano , David Garlan

Pedestrian trajectory prediction plays an important role in autonomous driving systems and robotics. Recent work utilizing prominent deep learning models for pedestrian motion prediction makes limited a priori assumptions about human…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Honghui Wang , Weiming Zhi , Gustavo Batista , Rohitash Chandra

Tabular learning transforms raw features into optimized spaces for downstream tasks, but its effectiveness deteriorates under distribution shifts between training and testing data. We formalize this challenge as the Distribution Shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Wangyang Ying , Nanxu Gong , Dongjie Wang , Xinyuan Wang , Arun Vignesh Malarkkan , Vivek Gupta , Chandan K. Reddy , Yanjie Fu

Since the past few decades, human trajectory forecasting has been a field of active research owing to its numerous real-world applications: evacuation situation analysis, deployment of intelligent transport systems, traffic operations, to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Parth Kothari , Sven Kreiss , Alexandre Alahi

Traversing terrain with good traction is crucial for achieving fast off-road navigation. Instead of manually designing costs based on terrain features, existing methods learn terrain properties directly from data via self-supervision to…

Motion prediction plays an important role in autonomous driving. This study presents LMFormer, a lane-aware transformer network for trajectory prediction tasks. In contrast to previous studies, our work provides a simple mechanism to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Harsh Yadav , Maximilian Schaefer , Kun Zhao , Tobias Meisen

Accurate and robust trajectory prediction of neighboring agents is critical for autonomous vehicles traversing in complex scenes. Most methods proposed in recent years are deep learning-based due to their strength in encoding complex…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Yujun Jiao , Mingze Miao , Zhishuai Yin , Chunyuan Lei , Xu Zhu , Linzhen Nie , Bo Tao

For safe operation, a robot must be able to avoid collisions in uncertain environments. Existing approaches for motion planning under uncertainties often assume parametric obstacle representations and Gaussian uncertainty, which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Ralf Römer , Armin Lederer , Samuel Tesfazgi , Sandra Hirche

We introduce ForeSight, a novel joint detection and forecasting framework for vision-based 3D perception in autonomous vehicles. Traditional approaches treat detection and forecasting as separate sequential tasks, limiting their ability to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Sandro Papais , Letian Wang , Brian Cheong , Steven L. Waslander

Identifying mobility behaviors in rich trajectory data is of great economic and social interest to various applications including urban planning, marketing and intelligence. Existing work on trajectory clustering often relies on similarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Mingxuan Yue , Yaguang Li , Haoze Yang , Ritesh Ahuja , Yao-Yi Chiang , Cyrus Shahabi

Accurately predicting the trajectory of surrounding vehicles is a critical challenge for autonomous vehicles. In complex traffic scenarios, there are two significant issues with the current autonomous driving system: the cognitive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Wen Wei , Jiankun Wang

One of the ways to make artificial intelligence more natural is to give it some room for doubt. Two main questions should be resolved in that way. First, how to train a model to estimate uncertainties of its own predictions? And then, what…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Alexey Kornaev , Elena Kornaeva , Oleg Ivanov , Ilya Pershin , Danis Alukaev

Deep neural networks often produce overconfident predictions, undermining their reliability in safety-critical applications. This miscalibration is further exacerbated under distribution shift, where test data deviates from the training…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Yilin Zhang , Cai Xu , You Wu , Ziyu Guan , Wei Zhao

Deployed machine learning models are confronted with the problem of changing data over time, a phenomenon also called concept drift. While existing approaches of concept drift detection already show convincing results, they require true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Lucas Baier , Tim Schlör , Jakob Schöffer , Niklas Kühl

An accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for safe and efficient autonomous driving in complex traffic environments. In recent years, artificial intelligence has shown strong capabilities in improving prediction accuracy. However, its…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Wenbo Shao , Yanchao Xu , Jun Li , Chen Lv , Weida Wang , Hong Wang

Robust waypoint prediction is crucial for mobile robots operating in open-world, safety-critical settings. While Imitation Learning (IL) methods have demonstrated great success in practice, they are susceptible to distribution shifts: the…

Most predictive models assume that training and test data are generated from a stationary process. However, this assumption does not hold true in practice. In this paper, we consider the scenario of a gradual concept drift due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Subhro Das , Prasanth Lade , Soundar Srinivasan

Safe motion planning for robotic systems in dynamic environments is nontrivial in the presence of uncertain obstacles, where estimation of obstacle uncertainties is crucial in predicting future motions of dynamic obstacles. The worst-case…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Jian Zhou , Yulong Gao , Ola Johansson , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

While trajectory prediction plays a critical role in enabling safe and effective path-planning in automated vehicles, standardized practices for evaluating such models remain underdeveloped. Recent efforts have aimed to unify dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Julian F. Schumann , Anna Mészáros , Jens Kober , Arkady Zgonnikov
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