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Production networks constitute the backbone of every economic system. They are inherently fragile as several recent crises clearly highlighted. Estimating the system-wide consequences of local disruptions (systemic risk) requires detailed…

Supply chain networks (SCN) form the structural backbone of any society. They constitute the societal metabolism that literally produces everything for everybody by coordinating practically every single person on the planet. SCNs are by no…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-27 Tobias Reisch , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

This paper investigates the endogenous formation of supply chains and its consequences for disruption propagation. In production networks where upstream risk is highly correlated and supplier relationships are not observable, the marginal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-24 Andrea Titton

In today's global economy, supply chain (SC) entities have become increasingly interconnected with demand and supply relationships due to the need for strategic outsourcing. Such interdependence among firms not only increases efficiency but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-16 Qihui Yang , Caterina Scoglio , Don Gruenbacher

Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Christian Diem , Anton Pichler , Stefan Thurner

Realistic credit risk assessment, the estimation of losses from counterparty's failure, is central for the financial stability. Credit risk models focus on the financial conditions of borrowers and only marginally consider other risks from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Zlata Tabachová , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Csaba Burger , Stefan Thurner

National economies rest on networks of millions of customer-supplier relations. Some companies -- in the case of their default -- can trigger significant cascades of shock in the supply-chain network and are thus systemically risky. Up to…

General Economics · Economics 2021-10-13 Tobias Reisch , Georg Heiler , Christian Diem , Stefan Thurner

Recent crises like the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions have exposed vulnerabilities and caused disruptions of supply chains, leading to product shortages, increased costs, and economic instability. This has prompted increasing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-27 Anna Mancini , Balázs Lengyel , Riccardo Di Clemente , Giulio Cimini

Supply chain disruptions constitute an often underestimated risk for financial stability. As in financial networks, systemic risks in production networks arises when the local failure of one firm impacts the production of others and might…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Jan Fialkowski , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

Supply chains are the backbone of the global economy. Disruptions to them can be costly. Centrally managed supply chains invest in ensuring their resilience. Decentralized supply chains, however, must rely upon the self-interest of their…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Victor Amelkin , Rakesh Vohra

Crises like COVID-19 or the Japanese earthquake in 2011 exposed the fragility of corporate supply networks. The production of goods and services is a highly interdependent process and can be severely impacted by the default of critical…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-16 Christian Diem , András Borsos , Tobias Reisch , János Kertész , Stefan Thurner

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

Recent global and local phenomena have exposed vulnerabilities in critical supply chain networks (SCNs), drawing significant attention from researchers across various fields. Typically, SCNs are viewed as static entities regularly optimized…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-11 Shirantha Welikala , Hai Lin , Panos J. Antsaklis

We study cascades on a two-layer multiplex network, with asymmetric feedback that depends on the coupling strength between the layers. Based on an analytical branching process approximation, we calculate the systemic risk measured by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-24 Rebekka Burkholz , Matt V. Leduc , Antonios Garas , Frank Schweitzer

Risk assessment is a major challenge for supply chain managers, as it potentially affects business factors such as service costs, supplier competition and customer expectations. The increasing interconnectivity between organisations has put…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-27 Alberto Redondo , Alberto Torres-Barrán , David Ríos Insua , Jordi Domingo

A growing body of studies on systemic risk in financial markets has emphasized the key importance of taking into consideration the complex interconnections among financial institutions. Much effort has been put in modeling the contagion…

Resilient supply chains are often inherently dependent on the nature of their complex interconnected networks that are simultaneously multi-dimensional and multi-layered. This article presents a Supply Chain Network (SCN) model that can be…

In this paper, we study an adaptive spatial network. We consider an SIS (susceptible-infectedsusceptible) epidemic on the network, with a link/contact rewiring process constrained by spatial proximity. In particular, we assume that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-25 P. Rattana , L. Berthouze , I. Z. Kiss

Due to the increasingly complex and interconnected nature of global supply chain networks (SCNs), a recent strand of research has applied network science methods to model SCN growth and subsequently analyse various topological features,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-28 Supun Perera , Michael Bell , Michiel Bliemer

Link failures repeatedly induce large-scale outages in power grids and other supply networks. Yet, it is still not well understood, which links are particularly prone to inducing such outages. Here we analyze how the nature and location of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-06 Dirk Witthaut , Martin Rohden , Xiaozhu Zhang , Sarah Hallerberg , Marc Timme
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