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Stock trading is one of the popular ways for financial management. However, the market and the environment of economy is unstable and usually not predictable. Furthermore, engaging in stock trading requires time and effort to analyze,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Yunfei Luo , Zhangqi Duan

Tree-based models are widely recognized for their interpretability and have proven effective in various application domains, particularly in high-stakes domains. However, learning decision trees (DTs) poses a significant challenge due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Sascha Marton

The intricate behavior patterns of financial markets are influenced by fundamental, technical, and psychological factors. During times of high volatility and regime shifts causes many traditional strategies like trend-following or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Varun Narayan Kannan Pillai , Akshay Ajith , Sumesh K J

This paper proposes a Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithm for financial portfolio trading based on Deep Q-learning. The algorithm is capable of trading high-dimensional portfolios from cross-sectional datasets of any size which may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Uta Pigorsch , Sebastian Schäfer

The stock market offers a platform where people buy and sell shares of publicly listed companies. Generally, stock prices are quite volatile; hence predicting them is a daunting task. There is still much research going to develop more…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Jaydip Sen , Arpit Awad , Aaditya Raj , Gourav Ray , Pusparna Chakraborty , Sanket Das , Subhasmita Mishra

In this work we present a data-driven end-to-end Deep Learning approach for time series prediction, applied to financial time series. A Deep Learning scheme is derived to predict the temporal trends of stocks and ETFs in NYSE or NASDAQ. Our…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-15 Ariel Navon , Yosi Keller

Sub-new stock price prediction, forecasting the price trends of stocks listed less than one year, is crucial for effective quantitative trading. While deep learning methods have demonstrated effectiveness in predicting old stock prices,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Linghao Wang , Zhen Liu , Peitian Ma , Qianli Ma

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

This paper presents a data-driven interpretable machine learning algorithm for semi-static hedging of Exchange Traded options, considering transaction costs with efficient run-time. Further, we provide empirical evidence on the performance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-03 Vikranth Lokeshwar Dhandapani , Shashi Jain

Price movement prediction has always been one of the traders' concerns in financial market trading. In order to increase their profit, they can analyze the historical data and predict the price movement. The large size of the data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Naseh Majidi , Mahdi Shamsi , Farokh Marvasti

Investors and stock market analysts face major challenges in predicting stock returns and making wise investment decisions. The predictability of equity stock returns can boost investor confidence, but it remains a difficult task. To…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Adebola K. Ojo , Ifechukwude Jude Okafor

Market timing is an investment technique that tries to continuously switch investment into assets forecast to have better returns. What is the likelihood of having a successful market timing strategy? With an emphasis on modeling…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-20 Guy Metcalfe

Machine learning techniques have been used in the past using Monte Carlo samples to construct predictors of the dynamic stability of power systems. In this paper we move beyond the task of prediction and propose a comprehensive approach to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Jochen L. Cremer , Ioannis Konstantelos , Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

We adopt Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithms to design trading strategies for continuous futures contracts. Both discrete and continuous action spaces are considered and volatility scaling is incorporated to create reward functions which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

The effectiveness of long short term memory networks trained by backpropagation through time for stock price prediction is explored in this paper. A range of different architecture LSTM networks are constructed trained and tested.

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Hengjian Jia

This paper will analyze and implement a time series dynamic neural network to predict daily closing stock prices. Neural networks possess unsurpassed abilities in identifying underlying patterns in chaotic, non-linear, and seemingly random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 David Noel

One of the pillars to build a country's economy is the stock market. Over the years, people are investing in stock markets to earn as much profit as possible from the amount of money that they possess. Hence, it is vital to have a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Ishu Gupta , Tarun Kumar Madan , Sukhman Singh , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Forecasting financial market trends through time series analysis and natural language processing poses a complex and demanding undertaking, owing to the numerous variables that can influence stock prices. These variables encompass a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-04 Ali Asgarov

Accurately predicting short-term stock price movement remains a challenging task due to the market's inherent volatility and sensitivity to investor sentiment. This paper discusses a deep learning framework that integrates emotion features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 An Vuong , Susan Gauch

Offline reinforcement-learning (RL) algorithms learn to make decisions using a given, fixed training dataset without online data collection. This problem setting is captivating because it holds the promise of utilizing previously collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Dan Elbaz , Gal Novik , Oren Salzman