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Predicting particle trajectories with neural networks (NNs) has substantially enhanced many scientific and engineering domains. However, effectively quantifying and visualizing the inherent uncertainty in predictions remains challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Jixian Li , Timbwaoga Aime Judicael Ouermi , Mengjiao Han , Chris R. Johnson

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have become a prominent approach for learning from graph-structured data. However, their effectiveness can be significantly compromised when the graph structure is suboptimal. To address this issue, Graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Shen Han , Zhiyao Zhou , Jiawei Chen , Zhezheng Hao , Sheng Zhou , Gang Wang , Yan Feng , Chun Chen , Can Wang

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have been widely used to facilitate large-scale molecular simulations with accuracy comparable to ab initio methods. In practice, MLIP-based molecular simulations often encounter the issue of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-04-17 Han Xu , Taoyong Cui , Chenyu Tang , Jinzhe Ma , Dongzhan Zhou , Yuqiang Li , Xiang Gao , Xingao Gong , Wanli Ouyang , Shufei Zhang , Mao Su

Ensembles of neural networks achieve superior performance compared to stand-alone networks in terms of accuracy, uncertainty calibration and robustness to dataset shift. \emph{Deep ensembles}, a state-of-the-art method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Sheheryar Zaidi , Arber Zela , Thomas Elsken , Chris Holmes , Frank Hutter , Yee Whye Teh

With the advancement of GPS, remote sensing, and computational simulations, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected at an increasing speed. Such emerging spatiotemporal big data assets, together with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang

With the increasing popularity of graph-based learning, graph neural networks (GNNs) emerge as the essential tool for gaining insights from graphs. However, unlike the conventional CNNs that have been extensively explored and exhaustively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Boyuan Feng , Yuke Wang , Zheng Wang , Yufei Ding

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are the currently most effective methods for predicting molecular properties but there remains a need for more accurate models. GNN accuracy can be improved by increasing the model complexity but this also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Teng Jiek See , Daokun Zhang , Mario Boley , David K. Chalmers

Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIPs) achieve near ab initio accuracy at a fraction of the cost of quantum-mechanical simulations, yet they remain prone to silent failures on out-of-distribution configurations, making principled…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Olga Zaghen , Maksim Zhdanov , Dario Coscia , David R. Wessels , Erik J. Bekkers

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are fundamental for theoretically describing numerous physical processes that are based on some input fields in spatial configurations. Understanding the physical process, in general, requires…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Mahadevan Ganesh , Stuart C Hawkins , Alexandre Tartakovsky , Ramakrishna Tipireddy

Recent research on graph neural networks (GNNs) has explored mechanisms for capturing local uncertainty and exploiting graph hierarchies to mitigate data sparsity and leverage structural properties. However, the synergistic integration of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Yoonhyuk Choi , Jiho Choi , Taewook Ko , Chong-Kwon Kim

Deep neural network (DNN) models have achieved state-of-the-art predictive accuracy in a wide range of supervised learning applications. However, accurately quantifying the uncertainty in DNN predictions remains a challenging task. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Daiwei Zhang , Tianci Liu , Jian Kang

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) to detect samples with large expected errors (outliers) is applied to reactive molecular potential energy surfaces (PESs). Three methods - Ensembles, Deep Evidential Regression (DER), and Gaussian Mixture…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-02-28 Luis Itza Vazquez-Salazar , Silvan Käser , Markus Meuwly

We propose a novel Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) framework to address the problem of learning uncertainty-aware representations for graph-structured data. While Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (GNODEs) have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Richard Bergna , Sergio Calvo-Ordoñez , Felix L. Opolka , Pietro Liò , Jose Miguel Hernandez-Lobato

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

Operator learning is a recently developed generalization of regression to mappings between functions. It promises to drastically reduce expensive numerical integration of PDEs to fast evaluations of mappings between functional states of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Tian Yu Yen , Reese E. Jones , Ravi G. Patel

Deep neural networks have achieved significant success in the last decades, but they are not well-calibrated and often produce unreliable predictions. A large number of literature relies on uncertainty quantification to evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Russell Alan Hart , Linlin Yu , Yifei Lou , Feng Chen

The high dimensionality of kinetic equations with stochastic parameters poses major computational challenges for uncertainty quantification (UQ). Traditional Monte Carlo (MC) sampling methods, while widely used, suffer from slow convergence…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Wei Chen , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Uncertainty estimation in deep learning has become a leading research field in medical image analysis due to the need for safe utilisation of AI algorithms in clinical practice. Most approaches for uncertainty estimation require sampling…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-12 Kaisar Kushibar , Víctor Manuel Campello , Lidia Garrucho Moras , Akis Linardos , Petia Radeva , Karim Lekadir

The changesets (or patches) that fix open source software vulnerabilities form critical datasets for various machine learning security-enhancing applications, such as automated vulnerability patching and silent fix detection. These patch…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Hui Chen , Yunhua Zhao , Kostadin Damevski

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial for deploying reliable Deep Learning (DL) models in high-stakes applications. Recently, General Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems (GT2-FLSs) have been proven to be effective for UQ, offering Prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Yusuf Guven , Tufan Kumbasar