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The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

We introduce a Bayesian nonparametric inference approach for aggregate adverse event (AE) monitoring across studies. The proposed model seamlessly integrates external data from historical trials to define a relevant background rate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Shijie Yuan , Kevin Roberts , Noirrit Kiran Chandra , Yuan Ji , Peter Müller

Meta-analysis is a systematic approach for understanding a phenomenon by analyzing the results of many previously published experimental studies. It is central to deriving conclusions about the summary effect of treatments and interventions…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Lu Cheng , Dmitriy A. Katz-Rogozhnikov , Kush R. Varshney , Ioana Baldini

Modelling a complex system is almost invariably a challenging task. The incorporation of experimental observations can be used to improve the quality of a model, and thus to obtain better predictions about the behavior of the corresponding…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-11-24 Massimiliano Bonomi , Carlo Camilloni , Andrea Cavalli , Michele Vendruscolo

Systematic reviews aim to summarize all the available evidence relevant to a particular research question. If appropriate, the data from identified studies are quantitatively combined in a meta-analysis. Often only few studies regarding a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 M. Henmi , S. Hattori , T. Friede

Beta regression models are a suitable choice for continuous response variables on the unity interval. Random effects add further flexibility to the models and accommodate data structures such as hierarchical, repeated measures and…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner H. Bonat , Paulo J. Ribeiro , Walmes Marque Zeviani

As the most important tool to provide high-level evidence-based medicine, researchers can statistically summarize and combine data from multiple studies by conducting meta-analysis. In meta-analysis, mean differences are frequently used…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 Dehui Luo , Xiang Wan , Jiming Liu , Tiejun Tong

For many infectious disease outbreaks, the at-risk population changes their behavior in response to the outbreak severity, causing the transmission dynamics to change in real-time. Behavioral change is often ignored in epidemic modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Estimates of uncertainty or variance in experimental means are central to physics. This is especially the case for `world averages' of fundamental physical parameters in particle physics, which aggregate results from a number of experiments…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-10-13 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

Meta-analysis, because of both logistical convenience and statistical efficiency, is widely popular for synthesizing information on common parameters of interest across multiple studies. We propose developing a generalized meta-analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Prosenjit Kundu , Runlong Tang , Nilanjan Chatterjee

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-04 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Serge Assaad , Shuxi Zeng , Michael J. Pencina , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

In the random-effects model of meta-analysis a canonical representation of the restricted likelihood function is obtained. This representation relates the mean effect and the heterogeneity variance estimation problems. An explicit form of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Andrew L. Rukhin

This paper presents a novel nonlinear regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, geared specifically towards situations with small effect sizes, heterogeneous effects, and strong confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Carlos Carvalho

This paper introduces and reviews some of the principles and methods used in Bayesian reliability. It specifically discusses methods used in the analysis of success/no-success data and then reminds the reader of a simple Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Carsten H. Botts

The recent 21st Century Cures Act propagates innovations to accelerate the discovery, development, and delivery of 21st century cures. It includes the broader application of Bayesian statistics and the use of evidence from clinical…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-10 Satrajit Roychoudhury , Beat Neuenschwander

This paper describes a compound Poisson-based random effects structure for modeling zero-inflated data. Data with large proportion of zeros are found in many fields of applied statistics, for example in ecology when trying to model and…

Applications · Statistics 2009-07-29 Marie-Pierre Etienne , Eric Parent , Benoit Hugues , Bernier Jacques

Estimating treatment effects conditional on observed covariates can improve the ability to tailor treatments to particular individuals. Doing so effectively requires dealing with potential confounding, and also enough data to adequately…

Assessing variability according to distinct factors in data is a fundamental technique of statistics. The method commonly regarded to as analysis of variance (ANOVA) is, however, typically confined to the case where all levels of a factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-15 Steven Geinitz , Reinhard Furrer

The general idea of this article is to develop a Bayesian model with a flexible link function connecting an exponential family treatment response to a linear combination of covariates and a treatment indicator and the interaction between…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-05 Hyung Park , Danni Wu , Eva Petkova , Thaddeus Tarpey , R. Todd Ogden