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We develop a general approach to valid inference after model selection. At the core of our framework is a result that characterizes the distribution of a post-selection estimator conditioned on the selection event. We specialize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Jason D. Lee , Dennis L. Sun , Yuekai Sun , Jonathan E. Taylor

We propose a unified framework to draw inferences for regression coefficients in a generalized linear model (GLM) following Lasso-based variable selection. We adapt to non-Gaussian GLMs a recently developed parametric programming strategy…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Qinyan Shen , Karl Gregory , Xianzheng Huang

We present a new method for post-selection inference for L1 (lasso)-penalized likelihood models, including generalized regression models. Our approach generalizes the post-selection framework presented in Lee et al (2014). The method…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-17 Jonathan Taylor , Robert Tibshirani

Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

After selection with the Group LASSO (or generalized variants such as the overlapping, sparse, or standardized Group LASSO), inference for the selected parameters is unreliable in the absence of adjustments for selection bias. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Snigdha Panigrahi , Peter W. MacDonald , Daniel Kessler

Post-selection inference is a statistical technique for determining salient variables after model or variable selection. Recently, selective inference, a kind of post-selection inference framework, has garnered the attention in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

We propose new inference tools for forward stepwise regression, least angle regression, and the lasso. Assuming a Gaussian model for the observation vector y, we first describe a general scheme to perform valid inference after any selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Jonathan Taylor , Richard Lockhart , Robert Tibshirani

Detecting influential features in non-linear and/or high-dimensional data is a challenging and increasingly important task in machine learning. Variable selection methods have thus been gaining much attention as well as post-selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Tobias Freidling , Benjamin Poignard , Héctor Climente-González , Makoto Yamada

Statistical inference after model selection requires an inference framework that takes the selection into account in order to be valid. Following recent work on selective inference, we derive analytical expressions for inference after…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-26 David Rügamer , Sonja Greven

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

We propose robust methods for inference on the effect of a treatment variable on a scalar outcome in the presence of very many controls. Our setting is a partially linear model with possibly non-Gaussian and heteroscedastic disturbances.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen

Among the most popular variable selection procedures in high-dimensional regression, Lasso provides a solution path to rank the variables and determines a cut-off position on the path to select variables and estimate coefficients. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 X. Jessie Jeng , Huimin Peng , Wenbin Lu

When the model is not known and parameter testing or interval estimation is conducted after model selection, it is necessary to consider selective inference. This paper discusses this issue in the context of sparse estimation. Firstly, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Joe Suzuki

Inference for high-dimensional logistic regression models using penalized methods has been a challenging research problem. As an illustration, a major difficulty is the significant bias of the Lasso estimator, which limits its direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yuming Zhang , Stéphane Guerrier , Runze Li

Construction of valid statistical inference for estimators based on data-driven selection has received a lot of attention in the recent times. Berk et al. (2013) is possibly the first work to provide valid inference for Gaussian…

Penalized regression models such as the Lasso have proved useful for variable selection in many fields - especially for situations with high-dimensional data where the numbers of predictors far exceeds the number of observations. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Kasper Brink-Jensen , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm

We develop a post-selection inference method for the Cox proportional hazards model with interval-censored data, which provides asymptotically valid p-values and confidence intervals conditional on the model selected by lasso. The method is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-02 Jianrui Zhang , Chenxi Li , Haolei Weng

We investigate a class of methods for selective inference that condition on a selection event. Such methods follow a two-stage process. First, a data-driven (sub)collection of hypotheses is chosen from some large universe of hypotheses.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Jelle Goeman , Aldo Solari

The graphical lasso is a widely used algorithm for fitting undirected Gaussian graphical models. However, for inference on functionals of edge values in the learned graph, standard tools lack formal statistical guarantees, such as control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Sofia Guglielmini , Gerda Claeskens , Snigdha Panigrahi

Investigators often use the data to generate interesting hypotheses and then perform inference for the generated hypotheses. P-values and confidence intervals must account for this explorative data analysis. A fruitful method for doing so…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Keli Liu , Jelena Markovic , Robert Tibshirani
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