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Related papers: Interpretable Hybrid-Rule Temporal Point Processes

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In this paper, we develop a novel logic-based approach to detecting high-level temporally extended events from timestamped data and background knowledge. Our framework employs logical rules to capture existence and termination conditions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Yvon K. Awuklu , Meghyn Bienvenu , Katsumi Inoue , Vianney Jouhet , Fleur Mougin

This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

Video action anticipation aims to predict future action categories from observed frames. Current state-of-the-art approaches mainly resort to recurrent neural networks to encode history information into hidden states, and predict future…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Wen Wang , Xiaojiang Peng , Yanzhou Su , Yu Qiao , Jian Cheng

Accurate and interpretable mortality risk prediction in intensive care units (ICUs) remains a critical challenge due to the irregular temporal structure of electronic health records (EHRs), the complexity of longitudinal disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Zahra Jafari , Azadeh Zamanifar , Amirfarhad Farhadi

Resource scheduling and coordination is an NP-hard optimization requiring an efficient allocation of agents to a set of tasks with upper- and lower bound temporal and resource constraints. Due to the large-scale and dynamic nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Rohan Paleja , Andrew Silva , Letian Chen , Matthew Gombolay

Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs), particularly smaller, deployable variants, exhibit a critical deficiency in understanding temporal and procedural visual data, a bottleneck hindering their application in real-world embodied AI.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Zhenkun Gao , Xuhong Wang , Xin Tan , Yuan Xie

Despite the high performance of neural network-based time series forecasting methods, the inherent challenge in explaining their predictions has limited their applicability in certain application areas. Due to the difficulty in identifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Ozan Ozyegen , Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik

Event sequences can be modeled by temporal point processes (TPPs) to capture their asynchronous and probabilistic nature. We propose an intensity-free framework that directly models the point process distribution by utilizing normalizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Nazanin Mehrasa , Ruizhi Deng , Mohamed Osama Ahmed , Bo Chang , Jiawei He , Thibaut Durand , Marcus Brubaker , Greg Mori

The multivariate Hawkes process (MHP) is widely used for analyzing data streams that interact with each other, where events generate new events within their own dimension (via self-excitation) or across different dimensions (via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Pio Calderon , Alexander Soen , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu

We propose a Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Neural Hawkes Process for modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics. The proposed model extends continuous-time neural Hawkes processes by integrating spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Christopher Chukwuemeka , Hojun You , Mikyoung Jun

For optimization models to be used in practice, it is crucial that users trust the results. A key factor in this aspect is the interpretability of the solution process. A previous framework for inherently interpretable optimization models…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Marc Goerigk , Michael Hartisch , Sebastian Merten , Kartikey Sharma

Mixtures of Hidden Markov Models (MHMMs) are frequently used for clustering of sequential data. An important aspect of MHMMs, as of any clustering approach, is that they can be interpretable, allowing for novel insights to be gained from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Negar Safinianaini , Henrik Boström

Application of interpretable machine learning techniques on medical datasets facilitate early and fast diagnoses, along with getting deeper insight into the data. Furthermore, the transparency of these models increase trust among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Sreejita Ghosh , Elizabeth S. Baranowski , Michael Biehl , Wiebke Arlt , Peter Tino , Kerstin Bunte

Modeling event dynamics is central to many disciplines. Patterns in observed event arrival times are commonly modeled using point processes. Such event arrival data often exhibits self-exciting, heterogeneous and sporadic trends, which is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-16 Jing Wu , Owen G. Ward , James Curley , Tian Zheng

With the increasing availability of patient data, modern medicine is shifting towards prospective healthcare. Electronic health records offer a variety of information useful for clinical patient characterization and the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Fabio Azzalini , Tommaso Dolci , Marco Vagaggini

Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning (HRL) enhances the scalability of decision-making in long-horizon tasks by introducing temporal abstraction through options-policies that span multiple timesteps. Despite its theoretical appeal, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Hemanath Arumugam , Falong Fan , Bo Liu

Many real world applications can be formulated as event forecasting on Continuous Time Dynamic Graphs (CTDGs) where the occurrence of a timed event between two entities is represented as an edge along with its occurrence timestamp in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Xuhong Wang , Sirui Chen , Yixuan He , Minjie Wang , Quan Gan , Yupu Yang , Junchi Yan

This paper introduces HuLP, a Human-in-the-Loop for Prognosis model designed to enhance the reliability and interpretability of prognostic models in clinical contexts, especially when faced with the complexities of missing covariates and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Muhammad Ridzuan , Mai Kassem , Numan Saeed , Ikboljon Sobirov , Mohammad Yaqub

Scaling probabilistic models to large realistic problems and datasets is a key challenge in machine learning. Central to this effort is the development of tractable probabilistic models (TPMs): models whose structure guarantees efficient…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Honghua Zhang , Steven Holtzen , Guy Van den Broeck

Predicting irregularly spaced event sequences with discrete marks poses significant challenges due to the complex, asynchronous dependencies embedded within continuous-time data streams.Existing sequential approaches capture dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Yuxiang Liu , Qiao Liu , Tong Luo , Yanglei Gan , Peng He , Yao LIu
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