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Joint models are a common and important tool in the intersection of machine learning and the physical sciences, particularly in contexts where real-world measurements are scarce. Recent developments in rainfall-runoff modeling, one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Guy Shalev , Ran El-Yaniv , Daniel Klotz , Frederik Kratzert , Asher Metzger , Sella Nevo

There has been active investigation into deep learning approaches for time series analysis, including foundation models. However, most studies do not address significant scientific applications. This paper aims to identify key features in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Junyang He , Ying-Jung Chen , Alireza Jafari , Anushka Idamekorala , Geoffrey Fox

Regional rainfall-runoff modeling is an old but still mostly out-standing problem in Hydrological Sciences. The problem currently is that traditional hydrological models degrade significantly in performance when calibrated for multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Guy Shalev , Günter Klambauer , Sepp Hochreiter , Grey Nearing

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing

Climate change affects occurrences of floods and droughts worldwide. However, predicting climate impacts over individual watersheds is difficult, primarily because accurate hydrological forecasts require models that are calibrated to past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Johannes Brandstetter , Pieter-Jan Hoedt , Grey Nearing , Sepp Hochreiter

Streamflow prediction is one of the key challenges in the field of hydrology due to the complex interplay between multiple non-linear physical mechanisms behind streamflow generation. While physics based models are rooted in rich…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-12 Ankush Khandelwal , Shaoming Xu , Xiang Li , Xiaowei Jia , Michael Stienbach , Christopher Duffy , John Nieber , Vipin Kumar

The partitioning of precipitation (P) water input on land between green (evapotranspiration, ET) and blue (runoff, R) water fluxes distributes the annually renewable freshwater resource among sectors and ecosystems. We decipher the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-23 Daniel Althoff , Georgia Destouni

Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Cynthia Zeng , Dimitris Bertsimas

The Everglades play a crucial role in flood and drought regulation, water resource planning, and ecosystem management in the surrounding regions. However, traditional physics-based and statistical methods for predicting water levels often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Rahuul Rangaraj , Jimeng Shi , Azam Shirali , Rajendra Paudel , Yanzhao Wu , Giri Narasimhan

Recent advances in machine learning such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models and Transformers have been widely adopted in hydrological applications, demonstrating impressive performance amongst deep learning models and outperforming…

The evaluation of hydrological models is essential for both model selection and reliability assessment. However, simply comparing predictions to observations is insufficient for understanding the global landscape of model behavior. This is…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-06 Yang Yang , Joseph Janssen , Hoshin Gupta , Ting Fong May Chui

In recent years, the paradigms of data-driven science have become essential components of physical sciences, particularly in geophysical disciplines such as climatology. The field of hydrology is one of these disciplines where machine…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Martin Gauch , Jimmy Lin

Recent advances in time series research facilitate the development of foundation models. While many state-of-the-art time series foundation models have been introduced, few studies examine their effectiveness in specific downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Junyang He , Judy Fox , Alireza Jafari , Ying-Jung Chen , Geoffrey Fox

Flooding is a destructive and dangerous hazard and climate change appears to be increasing the frequency of catastrophic flooding events around the world. Physics-based flood models are costly to calibrate and are rarely generalizable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Chelsea Sidrane , Dylan J Fitzpatrick , Andrew Annex , Diane O'Donoghue , Yarin Gal , Piotr Biliński

Modern climate projections often suffer from inadequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational limitations, resulting in inaccurate representations of sub-grid processes. A promising technique to address this is the Multiscale…

Understanding environmental ecosystems is vital for the sustainable management of our planet. However,existing physics-based and data-driven models often fail to generalize to varying spatial regions and scales due to the inherent data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Shiyuan Luo , Runlong Yu , Shengyu Chen , Yingda Fan , Yiqun Xie , Yanhua Li , Xiaowei Jia

Climate change has caused disruption in certain weather patterns, leading to extreme weather events like flooding and drought in different parts of the world. In this paper, we propose machine learning methods for analyzing changes in water…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-19 Francesco Mauro , Benjamin Rich , Veronica Wairimu Muriga , Alessandro Sebastianelli , Silvia Liberata Ullo

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Water balance models (WBMs) are often employed to understand regional hydrologic cycles over various time scales. Most WBMs, however, are physically-based, and few employ state-of-the-art statistical methods to reconcile independent input…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-18 Joeseph P. Smith , Andrew D. Gronewold
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