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Many online networks are measured and studied via sampling techniques, which typically collect a relatively small fraction of nodes and their associated edges. Past work in this area has primarily focused on obtaining a representative…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-05-30 Maciej Kurant , Minas Gjoka , Yan Wang , Zack W. Almquist , Carter T. Butts , Athina Markopoulou

We present an importance sampling algorithm that can produce realisations of Markovian epidemic models that exactly match observations, taken to be the number of a single event type over a period of time. The importance sampling can be used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-16 Andrew J. Black

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Recently there has been increased interest in fitting generative graph models to real-world networks. In particular, Bl\"asius et al. have proposed a framework for systematic evaluation of the expressivity of random graph models. We extend…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Benjamin Dayan , Marc Kaufmann , Ulysse Schaller

Neighborhood selection is a widely used method used for estimating the support set of sparse precision matrices, which helps determine the conditional dependence structure in undirected graphical models. However, reporting only point…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approx- imations of the optimal density leading to a nearly zero-variance estimator. This paper presents a new way to handle the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Virgile Caron

Rare events are events that are expected to occur infrequently, or more technically, those that have low probabilities (say, order of $10^{-3}$ or less) of occurring according to a probability model. In the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-21 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

Sampling methods (e.g., node-wise, layer-wise, or subgraph) has become an indispensable strategy to speed up training large-scale Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). However, existing sampling methods are mostly based on the graph structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Weilin Cong , Rana Forsati , Mahmut Kandemir , Mehrdad Mahdavi

By their very nature, rare event probabilities are expensive to compute; they are also delicate to estimate as their value strongly depends on distributional assumptions on the model parameters. Hence, understanding the sensitivity of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Michael Merritt , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre Gremaud

Graphlets are induced subgraph patterns that are crucial to the understanding of the structure and function of a large network. A lot of efforts have been devoted to calculating graphlet statistics where random walk based approaches are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Simiao Jiao , Zihui Xue , Xiaowei Chen , Yuedong Xu

We consider the problem of embedding the nodes of a hypergraph into Euclidean space under the assumption that the interactions arose through closeness to unknown hyperedge centres. In this way, we tackle the inverse problem associated with…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Francesco Zigliotto , Desmond J. Higham

Graph sampling via crawling has become increasingly popular and important in the study of measuring various characteristics of large scale complex networks. While powerful, it is known to be challenging when the graph is loosely connected…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Junzhou Zhao , John C. S. Lui , Don Towsley , Pinghui Wang , Xiaohong Guan

We develop importance sampling based efficient simulation techniques for three commonly encountered rare event probabilities associated with random walks having i.i.d. regularly varying increments; namely, 1) the large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Karthyek R. A. Murthy , Sandeep Juneja , Jose Blanchet

We study rare-event simulation for a class of problems where the target hitting sets of interest are defined via modern machine learning tools such as neural networks and random forests. This problem is motivated from fast emerging studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Yuanlu Bai , Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

In this study, we investigate the problem of classifying, characterizing, and designing efficient algorithms for hard inference problems on planar graphs, in the limit of infinite size. The problem is considered hard if, for a deterministic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-01 Iuliana Teodorescu , Razvan Teodorescu , Pranav Warman

Learning properties of large graphs from samples has been an important problem in statistical network analysis since the early work of Goodman \cite{Goodman1949} and Frank \cite{Frank1978}. We revisit a problem formulated by Frank…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Jason M. Klusowski , Yihong Wu

We propose a class of strongly efficient rare event simulation estimators for random walks and compound Poisson processes with a regularly varying increment/jump-size distribution in a general large deviations regime. Our estimator is based…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Bohan Chen , Jose Blanchet , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

One of the main problems of importance sampling in Bayesian networks is representation of the importance function, which should ideally be as close as possible to the posterior joint distribution. Typically, we represent an importance…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Changhe Yuan , Marek J. Druzdzel

Random walks are widely used for mining networks due to the computational efficiency of computing them. For instance, graph representation learning learns a d-dimensional embedding space, so that the nodes that tend to co-occur on random…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Sam F. L. Windels , Noel Malod-Dognin , Natasa Przulj

Sampling is an important tool for estimating large, complex sums and integrals over high dimensional spaces. For instance, important sampling has been used as an alternative to exact methods for inference in belief networks. Ideally, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Luis E. Ortiz , Leslie Pack Kaelbling