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As we move away from the data, the predictive uncertainty should increase, since a great variety of explanations are consistent with the little available information. We introduce Distance-Aware Prior (DAP) calibration, a method to correct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-19 Gianluca Detommaso , Alberto Gasparin , Andrew Wilson , Cedric Archambeau

Deep learning (DL) models have received particular attention in medical imaging due to their promising pattern recognition capabilities. However, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) require a huge amount of data, and because of the lack of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-27 Donya Khaledyan , AmirReza Tajally , Ali Sarkhosh , Afshar Shamsi , Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , Abbas Khosravi , Saeid Nahavandi

Deep neural network models degrade significantly in the long-tailed data distribution, with the overall training data dominated by a small set of classes in the head, and the tail classes obtaining less training examples. Addressing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Brainard Philemon Jagati , Jitendra Tembhurne , Harsh Goud , Rudra Pratap Singh , Chandrashekhar Meshram

As large language models attract increasing attention and find widespread application, concurrent challenges of reliability also arise at the same time. Confidence calibration, an effective analysis method for gauging the reliability of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Chiwei Zhu , Benfeng Xu , Quan Wang , Yongdong Zhang , Zhendong Mao

A multiclass classifier is said to be top-label calibrated if the reported probability for the predicted class -- the top-label -- is calibrated, conditioned on the top-label. This conditioning on the top-label is absent in the closely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Chirag Gupta , Aaditya Ramdas

Much recent work has been devoted to the problem of ensuring that a neural network's confidence scores match the true probability of being correct, i.e. the calibration problem. Of note, it was found that training with focal loss leads to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Arindam Ghosh , Thomas Schaaf , Matthew R. Gormley

Being cautious is crucial for enhancing the trustworthiness of machine learning systems integrated into decision-making pipelines. Although calibrated probabilities help in optimal decision-making, perfect calibration remains unattainable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Mari-Liis Allikivi , Joonas Järve , Meelis Kull

Calibration strengthens the trustworthiness of black-box models by producing better accurate confidence estimates on given examples. However, little is known about if model explanations can help confidence calibration. Intuitively, humans…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Dongfang Li , Baotian Hu , Qingcai Chen

Recently, learning with soft labels has been shown to achieve better performance than learning with hard labels in terms of model generalization, calibration, and robustness. However, collecting pointwise labeling confidence for all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Wei Wang , Lei Feng , Yuchen Jiang , Gang Niu , Min-Ling Zhang , Masashi Sugiyama

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated inherent calibration capabilities, where predicted probabilities align well with correctness, despite prior findings that deep neural networks are often overconfident. Recent studies have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Abhinav Joshi , Areeb Ahmad , Ashutosh Modi

In critical decision support systems based on medical imaging, the reliability of AI-assisted decision-making is as relevant as predictive accuracy. Although deep learning models have demonstrated significant accuracy, they frequently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Hua Xu , Julián D. Arias-Londoño , Juan I. Godino-Llorente

Functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) is a valuable non-invasive tool for monitoring brain activity. The classification of fNIRS data in relation to conscious activity holds significance for advancing our understanding of the brain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Zhihao Cao , Zizhou Luo

Modern convolutional neural networks (CNNs)-based face detectors have achieved tremendous strides due to large annotated datasets. However, misaligned results with high detection confidence but low localization accuracy restrict the further…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Shi Luo , Xiongfei Li , Xiaoli Zhang

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

Deep learning has achieved the state-of-the-art performance across medical imaging tasks; however, model calibration is often not considered. Uncalibrated models are potentially dangerous in high-risk applications since the user does not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Skylar E. Stolte , Kyle Volle , Aprinda Indahlastari , Alejandro Albizu , Adam J. Woods , Kevin Brink , Matthew Hale , Ruogu Fang

Perturbation-based explanations are widely utilized to enhance the transparency of modern machine-learning models. However, their reliability is often compromised by the unknown model behavior under the specific perturbations used. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Thomas Decker , Volker Tresp , Florian Buettner

In many safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving and surgical robots, it is desirable to obtain prediction uncertainties from object detection modules to help support safe decision-making. Specifically, such modules need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Buu Phan , Rick Salay , Krzysztof Czarnecki , Vahdat Abdelzad , Taylor Denouden , Sachin Vernekar

This paper studies the problem of post-hoc calibration of machine learning classifiers. We introduce the following desiderata for uncertainty calibration: (a) accuracy-preserving, (b) data-efficient, and (c) high expressive power. We show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Jize Zhang , Bhavya Kailkhura , T. Yong-Jin Han

Continual Learning enables models to learn and adapt to new tasks while retaining prior knowledge. Introducing new tasks, however, can naturally lead to feature entanglement across tasks, limiting the model's capability to distinguish…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Zhongyi Zhou , Yaxin Peng , Pin Yi , Minjie Zhu , Chaomin Shen

This work investigates the impact of data augmentation on confidence calibration and uncertainty estimation in Named Entity Recognition (NER) tasks. For the future advance of NER in safety-critical fields like healthcare and finance, it is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Wataru Hashimoto , Hidetaka Kamigaito , Taro Watanabe