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Seasonal climate forecasts are socioeconomically important for managing the impacts of extreme weather events and for planning in sectors like agriculture and energy. Climate predictability on seasonal timescales is tied to boundary effects…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-14 Chenggong Wang , Michael S. Pritchard , Noah Brenowitz , Yair Cohen , Boris Bonev , Thorsten Kurth , Dale Durran , Jaideep Pathak

The meridional temperature profile of the upper layers of planetary atmospheres is set through a balance between differential radiative heating by a nearby star, or by intrinsic heat fluxes emanating from the deep interior, and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-10 Basile Gallet , Raffaele Ferrari

Internal modes of climate variability, such as El Ni\~no and the North Atlantic Oscillation, can have strong influences upon distant weather patterns, effects that are referred to as "teleconnections". The extent to which anthropogenic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Eran Vos , Peter Huybers , Eli Tziperman

Understanding the interactions between ice sheets and global climate forcings over geological timescales is essential for projecting their future. Previous studies have highlighted the role of ice dynamics and climate interactions in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Pijush Patra , Ludovico T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer

Antarctic meltwater is expected to increase throughout the coming centuries and impact sea level, ocean circulation, and the coupled climate evolution. This motivates interest in understanding the ocean response to Antarctic freshwater…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Rory Basinski-Ferris , Laure Zanna , Ian Eisenman

In the marine environment, many fields have fluctuations over a large range of different spatial and temporal scales. These quantities can be nonlinear \red{and} non-stationary, and often interact with each other. A good method to study the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-01-20 Y. X. Huang , Francois G. Schmitt

Due to computational constraints, climate simulations cannot resolve a range of small-scale physical processes, which have a significant impact on the large-scale evolution of the climate system. Parameterization is an approach to capture…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-12 Cem Gultekin , Adam Subel , Cheng Zhang , Matan Leibovich , Pavel Perezhogin , Alistair Adcroft , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Laure Zanna

Global deep-learning weather prediction models have recently been shown to produce forecasts that rival those from physics-based models run at operational centers. It is unclear whether these models have encoded atmospheric dynamics, or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-21 Gregory J. Hakim , Sanjit Masanam

The diurnal variability of sea surface temperature (SST) may play an important role for cloud organization above the tropical ocean, with implications for precipitation extremes, storminess, and climate sensitivity. Recent cloud-resolving…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Reyk Börner , Jan O. Haerter , Romain Fiévet

Water-rich planets such as Earth are expected to become eventually uninhabitable, because liquid water does not remain stable at the surface as surface temperatures increase with the solar luminosity over time. Whether a large increase of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-10 Max Popp , Hauke Schmidt , Jochem Marotzke

The sensitivity of climate models to increasing CO2 concentration and the climate response at decadal time scales are still major factors of uncertainty for the assessment of the long and short term effects of anthropogenic climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Francesco Ragone , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit

We present simulations of atmospheres of Earth-like aquaplanets that are tidally locked to their star, that is, planets whose orbital period is equal to the rotation period about their spin axis, so that one side always faces the star and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2011-03-11 Timothy M. Merlis , Tapio Schneider

Urban-induced microclimate variations, such as urban heat islands and air pollution, scale with city size, producing distinctive relations between average climate variables and city-scale quantities (e.g., total population). However, these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-20 Marc Duran-Sala , Martin Hendrick , Gabriele Manoli

In this paper we perform a careful analysis of the forced PP04 model for climate change, in particular the behaviour of the ice-ages. This system models the transition from a glacial to an inter-glacial state through a sudden release of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-05-19 Kgomotso S. Morupisi , Chris J. Budd

A global hybrid coupled model is developed, with the aim of studying the effects of ocean-atmosphere feedbacks on the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. The model includes a global ocean general circulation model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-17 Andrea A. Cimatoribus , Sybren S. Drijfhout , Henk A. Dijkstra

Climate tipping points are critical thresholds in Earth's climate system where a small change can cause abrupt and potentially irreversible shifts towards a new state. Tipping points in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Jasmine Noory

In a recent article by Dickey, J. O., Marcus, S.L. and O. de Viron, 2011, the authors show evidences for correlations in the multi-decadal variability of Earth's rotation rate [i.e., length of day (LOD)], the angular momentum of the core…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-03-28 Stefano Sello

Wave-sea ice interactions shape the transition zone between open ocean and pack ice in the polar regions. Most theoretical paradigms, implemented in coupled wave-sea ice models, predict exponential decay of the wave energy but some recent…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-09 Rhys Ransome , Davide Proment , Ian A. Renfrew , Alberto Alberello

Anthropic activities have a significant causal effect on climatic change but climate has also major impact on human societies. Population vulnerability to natural hazards and limited natural resources are deemed problematic, particularly on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-23 Julien Gargani

Given multi-model ensemble climate projections, the goal is to accurately and reliably predict future sea-level rise while lowering the uncertainty. This problem is important because sea-level rise affects millions of people in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Subhankar Ghosh , Shuai An , Arun Sharma , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar , Aneesh Subramanian