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A multivariate Hawkes process enables self- and cross-excitations through a triggering matrix that behaves like an asymmetrical covariance structure, characterizing pairwise interactions between the event types. Full-rank estimation of all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-26 Myrl G. Marmarelis , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

A three-dimensional simulation model is proposed here to study the erosive wear of structure caused by solid particles, which accounts for the accumulation of surface deformation and degradation during the erosion process. Although there…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-04 Vinh D. X. Nguyen , A. Kiet Tieu , Damien Andre , Hongtao Zhu

Software engineering is continuously facing the challenges of growing complexity of software packages and increased level of data on defects and drawbacks from software production process. This makes a clarion call for inventions and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-11-15 R. Selvarani , T. R. Gopalakrishnan Nair , V. Kamakshi Prasad

Scheduling the maintenance based on the condition, respectively the degradation level of the system leads to improved system's reliability while minimizing the maintenance cost. Since the degradation level changes dynamically during the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Pegah Rokhforoz , Olga Fink

Large-scale quantum systems require optical coherence between distant quantum devices, necessitating spectral indistinguishability. Scalable solid-state platforms offer promising routes to this goal. However, environmental disorders,…

We introduce the dynamics mode decomposition for monitoring wide-area power grid networks from sparse measurement data. The mathematical framework fuses data from multiple sensors based on multivariate statistics, providing accurate full…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2019-06-11 J. Jorge Ramos , J. Nathan Kutz

Sequences of events including infectious disease outbreaks, social network activities, and crimes are ubiquitous and the data on such events carry essential information about the underlying diffusion processes between communities (e.g.,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Maya Okawa , Tomoharu Iwata , Yusuke Tanaka , Hiroyuki Toda , Takeshi Kurashima , Hisashi Kashima

In a discrete-time setting, we consider an arrival process $\left\{\xi_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots \right\}$, which models the occurrence of events, and a corresponding point process $\left\{H_n \, \middle| \, n = 1, 2, \ldots…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Utpal Jyoti Deba Sarma , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu

A Hawkes process model with a time-varying background rate is developed for analyzing the high-frequency financial data. In our model, the logarithm of the background rate is modeled by a linear model with a relatively large number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-24 Takahiro Omi , Yoshito Hirata , Kazuyuki Aihara

This work focuses on a self-exciting point process defined by a Hawkes-like intensity and a switching mechanism based on a hidden Markov chain. Previous works in such a setting assume constant intensities between consecutive events. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Timothée Fabre , Ioane Muni Toke

This study explores contagion in the Chinese stock market using Hawkes processes to analyze autocorrelation and cross-correlation in multivariate time series data. We examine whether market indices exhibit trending behavior and whether…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-10 Junwei Yang

It is often assumed that events cannot occur simultaneously when modelling data with point processes. This raises a problem as real-world data often contains synchronous observations due to aggregation or rounding, resulting from…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-30 Leigh Shlomovich , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall Adams

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

Predicting discrete events in time and space has many scientific applications, such as predicting hazardous earthquakes and outbreaks of infectious diseases. History-dependent spatio-temporal Hawkes processes are often used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Negar Erfanian , Santiago Segarra , Maarten de Hoop

Corrosion is a major problem affecting the durability of reinforced concrete structures. Corrosion related maintenance and repair of reinforced concrete structures cost multibillion USD per annum globally. It is often triggered by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Woubishet Zewdu Taffese

Dynamical downscaling with high-resolution regional climate models may offer the possibility of realistically reproducing precipitation and weather events in climate simulations. As resolutions fall to order kilometers, the use of explicit…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-01 Won Chang , Jiali Wang , Julian Marohnic , Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Maintenance optimization of naval ship equipment is crucial in terms of national defense. However, the mixed effect of the maintenance and the pure deterioration processes in the observed data hinders an exact comparison between candidate…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-11 Hyunji Moon , Jungin Choi , Seoyeon Cha

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat

Additional training of a deep learning model can cause negative effects on the results, turning an initially positive sample into a negative one (degradation). Such degradation is possible in real-world use cases due to the diversity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Akihito Yoshii , Susumu Tokumoto , Fuyuki Ishikawa

Image degradations can occur during acquisition, processing, and transmission, altering visual appearance and affecting downstream vision tasks. They are studied in several communities, including synthetic corruption benchmarks for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Stefan Becker , Simon Weiss , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens