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Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

Finite mixtures of regressions with fixed covariates are a commonly used model-based clustering methodology to deal with regression data. However, they assume assignment independence, i.e. the allocation of data points to the clusters is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-27 Salvatore D. Tomarchio , Paul D. McNicholas , Antonio Punzo

This paper develops robust inference methods for predictive regressions that address key challenges posed by endogenously persistent or heavy-tailed regressors, as well as persistent volatility in errors. Building on the Cauchy estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

We investigate the performance of robust estimates of multivariate location under nonstandard data contamination models such as componentwise outliers (i.e., contamination in each variable is independent from the other variables). This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Fatemah Alqallaf , Stefan Van Aelst , Victor J. Yohai , Ruben H. Zamar

Conformal prediction is a flexible framework for calibrating machine learning predictions, providing distribution-free statistical guarantees. In outlier detection, this calibration relies on a reference set of labeled inlier data to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-17 Meshi Bashari , Matteo Sesia , Yaniv Romano

Semi- and non-parametric mixture of regressions are a very useful flexible class of mixture of regressions in which some or all of the parameters are non-parametric functions of the covariates. These models are, however, based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Peterson Mambondimumwe , Sphiwe B. Skhosana , Najmeh Nakhaei Rad

The class of subweibull distributions has recently been shown to generalize the important properties of subexponential and subgaussian random variables. We describe alternative characterizations of subweibull distributions and detail the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-12 F. William Townes

The panel data regression models have gained increasing attention in different areas of research including but not limited to econometrics, environmental sciences, epidemiology, behavioral and social sciences. However, the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Regression is the workhorse of statistics, and is often faced with real data that contain outliers. When these are casewise outliers, that is, cases that are entirely wrong or belong to a different population, the issue can be remedied by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw

How to deal with missing data in observational studies is a common concern for causal inference. When the covariates are missing at random (MAR), multiple approaches have been provided to help solve the issue. However, if the exposure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Yuliang Shi , Yeying Zhu , Joel A. Dubin

We study the problem of linear regression where both covariates and responses are potentially (i) heavy-tailed and (ii) adversarially contaminated. Several computationally efficient estimators have been proposed for the simpler setting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

This paper explores the extension of the classical two-parameter Weibull distribution to a four-parameter Harris extended Weibull (HEW) distribution. The flexibility of this probability distribution is illustrated by the varying shapes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Prithul Chaturvedi , Himanshu Pokhriyal

Using a family of modified Weibull distributions, encompassing both sub-exponentials and super-exponentials, to parameterize the marginal distributions of asset returns and their multivariate generalizations with Gaussian copulas, we offer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

Accurately assessing financial risk requires capturing both individual asset volatility and the complex, asymmetric dependence structures that emerge during extreme market events. While modern diffusion-based models have advanced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 David Huk , Dongshan Wang , Miha Bresar

In this paper, we introduce a new class of bivariate distributions called the bivariate exponentiated extended Weibull distributions. The model introduced here is of Marshall-Olkin type. This new class of bivariate distributions contains…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-28 Rasool Roozegar , Ali Akbar Jafari

This paper studies a distributed algorithm for constrained consensus optimization that is obtained by fusing the Arrow-Hurwicz-Uzawa primal-dual gradient method for centralized constrained optimization and the Wang-Elia method for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Xiaoxing Ren , Michelangelo Bin , Ivano Notarnicola , Thomas Parisini

Outlier detection refers to the identification of data points that deviate from a general data distribution. Existing unsupervised approaches often suffer from high computational cost, complex hyperparameter tuning, and limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Zheng Li , Yue Zhao , Xiyang Hu , Nicola Botta , Cezar Ionescu , George H. Chen

The extreme value theory is very popular in applied sciences including Finance, economics, hydrology and many other disciplines. In univariate extreme value theory, we model the data by a suitable distribution from the general max-domain of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is challenging due to non-stationarity, inter-variable dependencies, and distribution shifts. While recent diffusion and flow matching models have shown promise, they often ignore…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Yanfeng Yang , Siwei Chen , Pingping Hu , Zhaotong Shen , Yingjie Zhang , Zhuoran Sun , Shuai Li , Ziqi Chen , Kenji Fukumizu

We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-24 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev
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