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This paper investigates two environmental applications related to climate change, where observations consist of bounded counts. The binomial and beta-binomial (BB) models are commonly used for bounded count data, with the BB model offering…

Distributionally robust optimisation (DRO) minimises the worst-case expected loss over an ambiguity set that can capture distributional shifts in out-of-sample environments. While Huber (linear-vacuous) contamination is a classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Mengqi Chen , Thomas B. Berrett , Theodoros Damoulas , Michele Caprio

A novel mixture cure frailty model is introduced for handling censored survival data. Mixture cure models are preferable when the existence of a cured fraction among patients can be assumed. However, such models are heavily underexplored:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Fatih Kızılaslan , David Michael Swanson , Valeria Vitelli

Using offline observational data for policy evaluation and learning allows decision-makers to evaluate and learn a policy that connects characteristics and interventions. Most existing literature has focused on either discrete treatment…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Cheuk Hang Leung , Yiyan Huang , Yijun Li , Qi Wu

As the maximum likelihood method is the most commonly used method for parameters estimation being unbiased, consistent, efficient, and asymptotically normal, MLE is used to fit the new distribution (MBUW). But in small to moderate sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Iman Mohammed Attia

We propose the notion of sub-Weibull distributions, which are characterised by tails lighter than (or equally light as) the right tail of a Weibull distribution. This novel class generalises the sub-Gaussian and sub-Exponential families to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Mariia Vladimirova , Stephane Girard , Hien Nguyen , Julyan Arbel

Additive models belong to the class of structured nonparametric regression models that do not suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Finding the additive components that are nonzero when the true model is assumed to be sparse is an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Suneel Babu Chatla , Abhijit Mandal

With the rapid development of distributed optimization (DO) theory, the distributed stochastic gradient methods (DSGMs) occupy an important position. Although the theory of different DSGMs has been widely established, the main-stream…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Zhan Yu , Zhongjie Shi , Deming Yuan

This study introduces an outlier-robust model for analyzing hierarchically structured bounded count data within a Bayesian framework, utilizing a logistic regression approach implemented in JAGS. Our model incorporates a t-distributed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Divan A. Burger , Sean van der Merwe , Emmanuel Lesaffre

Robust Bayesian linear regression is a classical but essential statistical tool. Although novel robustness properties of posterior distributions have been proved recently under a certain class of error distributions, their sufficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Linear regression with the classical normality assumption for the error distribution may lead to an undesirable posterior inference of regression coefficients due to the potential outliers. This paper considers the finite mixture of two…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We propose Bayesian nonparametric Weibull delegate racing (WDR) for survival analysis with competing events and achieve both model interpretability and flexibility. Utilizing a natural mechanism of surviving competing events, we assume a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Quan Zhang , Yanxun Xu , Mei-Cheng Wang , Mingyuan Zhou

Complex biological networks, encompassing metabolic pathways, gene regulatory systems, and protein-protein interaction networks, often exhibit scale-free structures characterized by heavy-tailed degree distributions. However, empirical…

Distance weighted discrimination (DWD) is a linear discrimination method that is particularly well-suited for classification tasks with high-dimensional data. The DWD coefficients minimize an intuitive objective function, which can solved…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Eric F. Lock

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating an extreme quantile of a Weibull tail-distribution. The new extreme quantile estimator has a reduced bias compared to the more classical ones proposed in the literature. It is based on an…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-01 Jean Diebolt , Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard , Armelle Guillou

Based on suitable left-truncated or censored data, two flexible classes of $M$-estimations of Weibull tail coefficient are proposed with two additional parameters bounding the impact of extreme contamination. Asymptotic normality with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-18 Chengping Gong , Chengxiu Ling

We propose a new class of discrete generalized linear models based on the class of Poisson-Tweedie factorial dispersion models with variance of the form $\mu + \phi\mu^p$, where $\mu$ is the mean, $\phi$ and $p$ are the dispersion and…

In safety-critical applications of machine learning, it is often desirable for a model to be conservative, abstaining from making predictions on unknown inputs which are not well-represented in the training data. However, detecting unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Caroline Choi , Fahim Tajwar , Yoonho Lee , Huaxiu Yao , Ananya Kumar , Chelsea Finn

The Wasserstein distance, rooted in optimal transport (OT) theory, is a popular discrepancy measure between probability distributions with various applications to statistics and machine learning. Despite their rich structure and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Sloan Nietert , Rachel Cummings , Ziv Goldfeld

We develop flexible multi-parameter regression survival models for interval censored survival data arising in longitudinal prospective studies and longitudinal randomised controlled clinical trials. A multi-parameter Weibull regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Defen Peng , Gilbert MacKenzie , Kevin Burke