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Exponential random graph models, or ERGMs, are a flexible and general class of models for modeling dependent data. While the early literature has shown them to be powerful in capturing many network features of interest, recent work…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-10 Vishesh Karwa , Sonja Petrović , Denis Bajić

Exponential random graph models are a class of widely used exponential family models for social networks. The topological structure of an observed network is modelled by the relative prevalence of a set of local sub-graph configurations…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-21 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

Exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) can be understood in terms of a set of structural biases that act on an underlying reference distribution. This distribution determines many aspects of the behavior and interpretation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Carter T. Butts

Inferring the parameters of a stochastic model based on experimental observations is central to the scientific method. A particularly challenging setting is when the model is strongly indeterminate, i.e. when distinct sets of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Pedro L. C. Rodrigues , Thomas Moreau , Gilles Louppe , Alexandre Gramfort

Adoption of deep neural networks in fields such as economics or finance has been constrained by the lack of interpretability of model outcomes. This paper proposes a generative neural network architecture - the parameter encoder neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Johann Pfitzinger

Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a simulation-based computational approach for Bayesian inference, has shown great success in approximating complex posterior distributions. Existing NPE methods typically rely on normalizing flows, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Tianyu Chen , Vansh Bansal , James G. Scott

The paper demonstrates the use of LASSO-based estimation in network models. Taking the Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) as a flexible and widely used model for network data analysis, the paper focuses on the question of how to specify…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Sergio Buttazzo , Göran Kauermann

Spatial individual-level models (ILMs) provide a flexible framework for modelling infectious disease transmission across populations with known locations. Bayesian inference for these models relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Yicheng Mao , Rob Deardon

With the growth of interest in network data across fields, the Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) has emerged as the leading approach to the statistical analysis of network data. ERGM parameter estimation requires the approximation of an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-10 Christian S. Schmid , Bruce A. Desmarais

Exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) provide a principled and flexible way to model and simulate features common in social networks, such as propensities for homophily, mutuality, and friend-of-a-friend triad closure, through…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-01 Pavel N. Krivitsky

Retrieving the physical parameters from spectroscopic observations of exoplanets is key to understanding their atmospheric properties. Exoplanetary atmospheric retrievals are usually based on approximate Bayesian inference and rely on…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-19 Malavika Vasist , François Rozet , Olivier Absil , Paul Mollière , Evert Nasedkin , Gilles Louppe

Random graphs, where the connections between nodes are considered random variables, have wide applicability in the social sciences. Exponential-family Random Graph Models (ERGM) have shown themselves to be a useful class of models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-02 Ian Fellows , Mark S. Handcock

Exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) are a family of network models originating in social network analysis, which have also been applied to biological networks. Advances in estimation algorithms have increased the practical scope…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-12 Alex Stivala

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a promising Bayesian inference framework that alleviates the need for analytic likelihoods to estimate posterior distributions. Recent advances using neural density estimators in SBI algorithms have…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Justine Zeghal , François Lanusse , Alexandre Boucaud , Benjamin Remy , Eric Aubourg

Much of the theory of estimation for exponential family models, which include exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) as a special case, is well-established and maximum likelihood estimates in particular enjoy many desirable…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-07 Christian S. Schmid , David R. Hunter

We define a general class of network formation models, Statistical Exponential Random Graph Models (SERGMs), that nest standard exponential random graph models (ERGMs) as a special case. We provide the first general results on when these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-26 Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Matthew O. Jackson

Simulation-based inference with conditional neural density estimators is a powerful approach to solving inverse problems in science. However, these methods typically treat the underlying forward model as a black box, with no way to exploit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Maximilian Dax , Stephen R. Green , Jonathan Gair , Michael Deistler , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jakob H. Macke

The exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) have emerged as an important framework for modeling social networks for a wide variety of relational types. ERGMs for valued networks are less well-developed than their unvalued…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Peng Huang , Carter T. Butts

Statistical models for social networks have enabled researchers to study complex social phenomena that give rise to observed patterns of relationships among social actors and to gain a rich understanding of the interdependent nature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-11 George G. Vega Yon , Andrew Slaughter , Kayla de la Haye

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire