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We present the first general purpose framework for marginal maximum a posteriori estimation of probabilistic program variables. By using a series of code transformations, the evidence of any probabilistic program, and therefore of any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-17 Tom Rainforth , Tuan Anh Le , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Michael A. Osborne , Frank Wood

Uncertainties such as manufacturing tolerances cause performance variations in complex engineering systems, making robust design optimization (RDO) essential. However, simulation-based RDO faces high computational cost for statistical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Hyunho Jang , Dongjin Lee

In robotics, methods and softwares usually require optimizations of hyperparameters in order to be efficient for specific tasks, for instance industrial bin-picking from homogeneous heaps of different objects. We present a developmental…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Maxime Petit , Emmanuel Dellandrea , Liming Chen

A challenging problem in both engineering and computer science is that of minimising a function for which we have no mathematical formulation available, that is expensive to evaluate, and that contains continuous and integer variables, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Laurens Bliek , Arthur Guijt , Sicco Verwer , Mathijs de Weerdt

This paper presents a novel methodology that uses surrogate models in the form of neural networks to reduce the computation time of simulation-based optimization of a reference trajectory. Simulation-based optimization is necessary when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Evelyn Ruff , Rebecca Russell , Matthew Stoeckle , Piero Miotto , Jonathan P. How

From a pool of admissible designs, we aim to identify a structure that achieves a target macroscopic stress response. For each candidate, the response is obtained from a high-fidelity oracle, such as expensive computational homogenization…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hooman Danesh , Henning Wessels

Optimizing expensive black-box objectives over mixed search spaces is a common challenge across the natural sciences. Bayesian optimization (BO) offers sample-efficient strategies through probabilistic surrogate models and acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Yuhao Zhang , Ti John , Matthias Stosiek , Patrick Rinke

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

Although Bayesian Optimization (BO) has been employed for accelerating materials design in computational materials engineering, existing works are restricted to problems with quantitative variables. However, real designs of materials…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-07 Yichi Zhang , Daniel Apley , Wei Chen

We propose a model order reduction approach for non-intrusive surrogate modeling of parametric dynamical systems. The reduced model over the whole parameter space is built by combining surrogates in frequency only, built at few selected…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-23 Fabio Nobile , Davide Pradovera

Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Dongwei Ye , Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

Identification of optimal dose combinations in early phase dose-finding trials is challenging, due to the trade-off between precisely estimating the many parameters required to flexibly model the possibly non-monotonic dose-response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , Bruno Boulanger , Bradley P. Carlin

Building local surrogates to accelerate stationary point searches on potential energy surfaces spans decades of effort. Done correctly, surrogates can reduce the number of expensive electronic structure evaluations by roughly an order of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Rohit Goswami

A body of work has been done to automate machine learning algorithm to highlight the importance of model choice. Automating the process of choosing the best forecasting model and its corresponding parameters can result to improve a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Nadhir Hassen , Irina Rish

Surrogate Optimization (SO) algorithms have shown promise for optimizing expensive black-box functions. However, their performance is heavily influenced by hyperparameters related to sampling and surrogate fitting, which poses a challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Nazanin Nezami , Hadis Anahideh

Optimization is becoming increasingly common in scientific and engineering domains. Oftentimes, these problems involve various levels of stochasticity or uncertainty in generating proposed solutions. Therefore, optimization in these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Peter D. Tonner , Daniel V. Samarov , A. Gilad Kusne

Optimal Bayesian design techniques provide an estimate for the best parameters of an experiment in order to maximize the value of measurements prior to the actual collection of data. In other words, these techniques explore the space of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-11 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Automatically searching for optimal hyperparameter configurations is of crucial importance for applying deep learning algorithms in practice. Recently, Bayesian optimization has been proposed for optimizing hyperparameters of various…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Ilija Ilievski , Taimoor Akhtar , Jiashi Feng , Christine Annette Shoemaker

This work presents a robust design optimization approach for a char combustion process in a limited-data setting, where simulations of the fluid-solid coupled system are computationally expensive. We integrate a polynomial dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Yulin Guo , Dongjin Lee , Boris Kramer

Understanding structure-property relations is essential to optimally design materials for specific applications. Two-scale simulations are often employed to analyze the effect of the microstructure on a component's macroscopic properties.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Theron Guo , Francesco A. B. Silva , Ondřej Rokoš , Karen Veroy