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This paper extends quantile factor analysis to a probabilistic variant that incorporates regularization and computationally efficient variational approximations. We establish through synthetic and real data experiments that the proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-16 Dimitris Korobilis , Maximilian Schröder

Estimations and applications of factor models often rely on the crucial condition that the number of latent factors is consistently estimated, which in turn also requires that factors be relatively strong, data are stationary and weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao

Expectation propagation (EP) is a family of algorithms for performing approximate inference in probabilistic models. The updates of EP involve the evaluation of moments -- expectations of certain functions -- which can be estimated from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jonathan So , Richard E. Turner

The stochastic approximation EM algorithm (SAEM) is described for the estimation of item and person parameters given test data coded as dichotomous or ordinal variables. The method hinges upon the eigenanalysis of missing variables sampled…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Eugene Geis

This paper studies estimation of linear panel regression models with heterogeneous coefficients, when both the regressors and the residual contain a possibly common, latent, factor structure. Our theory is (nearly) efficient, because based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-01 Marco Avarucci , Paolo Zaffaroni

We introduce a new measure of robustness for statistical estimators, which we call \emph{empirical sensitivity}. An estimator $\hat \theta$ has bounded empirical sensitivity if, with high probability over a dataset $X = (X_1, \dots, X_n)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Valentio Iverson , Gautam Kamath , Argyris Mouzakis , Adam Smith

We develop a weakest-precondition-style calculus \`a la Dijkstra for reasoning about amortized expected runtimes of randomized algorithms with access to dynamic memory - the $\textsf{aert}$ calculus. Our calculus is truly quantitative, i.e.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Kevin Batz , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Christoph Matheja , Lena Verscht

Along with the widespread adoption of high-dimensional data, traditional statistical methods face significant challenges in handling problems with high correlation of variables, heavy-tailed distribution, and coexistence of sparse and dense…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Xiaoyang Wei , Yanlin Tang , Xu Guo , Meiling Hao , Yanmei Shi

We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data, which arise from complex problem-solving items, an emerging testing mode in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Fangyi Chen , Hok Kan Ling , Zhiliang Ying

This paper studies the principal components (PC) estimator for high dimensional approximate factor models with weak factors in that the factor loading ($\boldsymbol{\Lambda}^0$) scales sublinearly in the number $N$ of cross-section units,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-12 Jungjun Choi , Ming Yuan

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a popular dimension reduction technique for vector data. Factored PCA (FPCA) is a probabilistic extension of PCA for matrix data, which can substantially reduce the number of parameters in PCA while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-19 Xuan Ma , Jianhua Zhao , Yue Wang

I develop a feasible weighted projected principal component (FPPC) analysis for factor models in which observable characteristics partially explain the latent factors. This novel method provides more efficient and accurate estimators than…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-23 Sung Hoon Choi

In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

In a recent paper Juodis and Reese (2022) (JR) show that the application of the CD test proposed by Pesaran (2004) to residuals from panels with latent factors results in over-rejection. They propose a randomized test statistic to correct…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-08 M. Hashem Pesaran , Yimeng Xie

We study estimation of large Dynamic Factor models implemented through the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm, jointly with the Kalman smoother. We prove that as both the cross-sectional dimension, $n$, and the sample size, $T$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Matteo Barigozzi , Matteo Luciani

We have tested the theoretical values of critical exponents, predicted for the three--dimensional Heisenberg model, based on the published Monte Carlo (MC) simulation data for the susceptibility. Two different sets of the critical exponents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Kaupuzs

Plausible identification of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) may rely on controlling for a large number of variables to account for confounding factors. In these high-dimensional settings, estimation of the CATE requires…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-18 Adam Baybutt , Manu Navjeevan

Conditional Autoencoders (CAEs) offer a flexible, interpretable approach for estimating latent asset-pricing factors from firm characteristics. However, existing studies usually limit the latent factor dimension to around K=5 due to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Ryan Engel , Yu Chen , Pawel Polak , Ioana Boier

This article investigates the model-robustness of fixed-effects models for analyzing a broad class of longitudinal cluster trials (CTs) such as stepped-wedge, parallel-with-baseline and crossover designs, encompassing both randomized (CRTs)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Kenneth M. Lee , Fan Li

This paper motivates and develops a novel and focused approach to variable selection in linear regression models. For estimating the regression mean $\mu=\E\,(Y\midd x_0)$, for the covariate vector of a given individual, there is a list of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Nils Lid Hjort
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