Related papers: Autocorrelation functions for point-process time s…
This article introduces estimators of trend and seasonality for time series of point processes. We assume the point processes follow a temporal or spatial doubly-stochastic Poisson model with log-Gaussian intensity functions. The proposed…
Temporal correlations in the time series observed in various systems have been characterized by the autocorrelation function. Such correlations can be explained by heavy-tailed interevent time distributions as well as by correlations…
We discuss several examples of point processes (all taken from Hough, Krishnapur, Peres, Vir\'ag (2009)) for which the autocorrelation and diffraction measures can be calculated explicitly. These include certain classes of determinantal and…
Many natural phenomena exhibit a stochastic nature that one attempts at modeling by using stochastic processes of different types. In this context, often one is interested in investigating the memory properties of the natural phenomenon at…
This paper is concerned with the problem of how to speed up computation for Gaussian process models trained on autocorrelated data. The Gaussian process model is a powerful tool commonly used in nonlinear regression applications. Standard…
An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…
Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…
Describing a time series parsimoniously is the first step to study the underlying dynamics. For a time-discrete system, a generating partition provides a compact description such that a time series and a symbolic sequence are one-to-one.…
For stationary time series, it is common to use the plots of partial autocorrelation function (PACF) or PACF-based tests to explore the temporal dependence structure of such processes. To our best knowledge, such analogs for non-stationary…
The classical regular and partial autocorrelation functions are powerful tools for stationary time series modelling and analysis. However, it is increasingly recognized that many time series are not stationary and the use of classical…
The general scheme for the treatment of relaxation processes and temporal autocorrelations of dynamical variables for many particle systems is presented in framework of the recurrence relations approach. The time autocorrelation functions…
Stochastic point processes relevant to the theory of long-range aperiodic order are considered that display diffraction spectra of mixed type, with special emphasis on explicitly computable cases together with a unified approach of…
Inhomogeneous temporal processes, like those appearing in human communications, neuron spike trains, and seismic signals, consist of high-activity bursty intervals alternating with long low-activity periods. In recent studies such bursty…
Self-exciting spatio-temporal point process models predict the rate of events as a function of space, time, and the previous history of events. These models naturally capture triggering and clustering behavior, and have been widely used in…
Time series graphical models have recently received considerable attention for characterizing (conditional) dependence structures in multivariate time series. In many applications, the multivariate series exhibit variable-partitioned…
Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…
We propose a new autocorrelation measure for functional time series that we term spherical autocorrelation. It is based on measuring the average angle between lagged pairs of series after having been projected onto the unit sphere. This new…
We derive new discrete event simulation algorithms for marked time point processes. The main idea is to couple a special structure, namely the associated local independence graph, as defined by Didelez arXiv:0710.5874, with the activity…
Understanding patterns of demand is fundamental for fleet management of bike sharing systems. In this paper we analyze data from the Divvy system of the city of Chicago. We show that the demand of bicycles can be modeled as a multivariate…
In this chapter we review some examples, methods, and recent results involving comparison of clustering properties of point processes. Our approach is founded on some basic observations allowing us to consider void probabilities and moment…