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We use machine learning for designing a medium frequency trading strategy for a portfolio of 5 year and 10 year US Treasury note futures. We formulate this as a classification problem where we predict the weekly direction of movement of the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-22 Abhijit Sharang , Chetan Rao

The application of machine learning to support the processing of large datasets holds promise in many industries, including financial services. However, practical issues for the full adoption of machine learning remain with the focus being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Ismini Psychoula , Andreas Gutmann , Pradip Mainali , S. H. Lee , Paul Dunphy , Fabien A. P. Petitcolas

Spoken language recognition (SLR) is the task of automatically identifying the language present in a speech signal. Existing SLR models are either too computationally expensive or too large to run effectively on devices with limited…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Oriol Nieto , Zeyu Jin , Franck Dernoncourt , Justin Salamon

The ability to detect anomalies in time series is considered highly valuable in numerous application domains. The sequential nature of time series objects is responsible for an additional feature complexity, ultimately requiring specialized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Gabriel Rodriguez Garcia , Gabriel Michau , Mélanie Ducoffe , Jayant Sen Gupta , Olga Fink

We present a new model for prediction markets, in which we use risk measures to model agents and introduce a market maker to describe the trading process. This specific choice on modelling tools brings us mathematical convenience. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Jinli Hu , Amos Storkey

There are inefficiencies in financial markets, with unexploited patterns in price, volume, and cross-sectional relationships. While many approaches use large-scale transformers, we take a domain-focused path: feed-forward and recurrent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Sid Ghatak , Arman Khaledian , Navid Parvini , Nariman Khaledian

This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ adversarial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Fuli Feng , Huimin Chen , Xiangnan He , Ji Ding , Maosong Sun , Tat-Seng Chua

Trend following and momentum investing are common strategies employed by asset managers. Even though they can be helpful in the proper situations, they are limited in the sense that they work just by looking at past, as if we were driving…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-19 Fernando Berzal , Alberto Garcia

The goal of this work is to train effective representations for keyword spotting via metric learning. Most existing works address keyword spotting as a closed-set classification problem, where both target and non-target keywords are…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-19 Jaesung Huh , Minjae Lee , Heesoo Heo , Seongkyu Mun , Joon Son Chung

The feasibility of making profitable trades on a single asset on stock exchanges based on patterns identification has long attracted researchers. Reinforcement Learning (RL) and Natural Language Processing have gained notoriety in these…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-10 Francisco Caio Lima Paiva , Leonardo Kanashiro Felizardo , Reinaldo Augusto da Costa Bianchi , Anna Helena Reali Costa

Stock portfolios are often exposed to rare consequential events (e.g., 2007 global financial crisis, 2020 COVID-19 stock market crash), as they do not have enough historical information to learn from. Large Language Models (LLMs) now…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Kelvin J. L. Koa , Yunshan Ma , Yi Xu , Ritchie Ng , Huanhuan Zheng , Tat-Seng Chua

Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

Over past years, the manually methods to create detection rules were no longer practical in the anti-malware product since the number of malware threats has been growing. Thus, the turn to the machine learning approaches is a promising way…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Khanh Huu The Dam , Charles-Henry Bertrand Van Ouytsel , Axel Legay

The dramatic success of deep learning is largely due to the availability of data. Data samples are often acquired on edge devices, such as smart phones, vehicles and sensors, and in some cases cannot be shared due to privacy considerations.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-18 Tomer Gafni , Nir Shlezinger , Kobi Cohen , Yonina C. Eldar , H. Vincent Poor

We designed a machine learning algorithm that identifies patterns between ESG profiles and financial performances for companies in a large investment universe. The algorithm consists of regularly updated sets of rules that map regions into…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-07 Carmine de Franco , Christophe Geissler , Vincent Margot , Bruno Monnier

The ability to track and monitor relevant and important news in real-time is of crucial interest in multiple industrial sectors. In this work, we focus on the set of cryptocurrency news, which recently became of emerging interest to the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Johannes Beck , Roberta Huang , David Lindner , Tian Guo , Ce Zhang , Dirk Helbing , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Although machine learning tasks are highly sensitive to the quality of input data, relevant datasets can often be challenging for firms to acquire, especially when held privately by a variety of owners. For instance, if these owners are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Thomas Falconer , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

We extract firms' cyber risk with a machine learning algorithm measuring the proximity between their disclosures and a dedicated cyber corpus. Our approach outperforms dictionary methods, uses full disclosure and not devoted-only sections,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-06 Daniel Celeny , Loïc Maréchal

Market indicators such as CPI and GDP have been widely used over decades to identify the stage of business cycles and also investment attractiveness of sectors given market conditions. In this paper, we propose a two-stage methodology that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Tugce Karatas , Ali Hirsa

Stock market prediction has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention from both economists and computer scientists. With the purpose of building an effective prediction model, both linear and machine learning tools have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Weiwei Jiang