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Anticipating future activities in video is a task with many practical applications. While earlier approaches are limited to just a few seconds in the future, the prediction time horizon has just recently been extended to several minutes in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Yazan Abu Farha , Juergen Gall

The significance of estimating video watch time has been highlighted by the rising importance of (short) video recommendation, which has become a core product of mainstream social media platforms. Modeling video watch time, however, has…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Shentao Yang , Haichuan Yang , Linna Du , Adithya Ganesh , Bo Peng , Boying Liu , Serena Li , Ji Liu

Watch-time prediction remains to be a key factor in reinforcing user engagement via video recommendations. It has become increasingly important given the ever-growing popularity of online videos. However, prediction of watch time not only…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Ruohan Zhan , Changhua Pei , Qiang Su , Jianfeng Wen , Xueliang Wang , Guanyu Mu , Dong Zheng , Peng Jiang

Video activity anticipation aims to predict what will happen in the future, embracing a broad application prospect ranging from robot vision and autonomous driving. Despite the recent progress, the data uncertainty issue, reflected as the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Zhaobo Qi , Shuhui Wang , Weigang Zhang , Qingming Huang

Accurately predicting watch time is crucial for optimizing recommendations and user experience in short video platforms. However, existing methods that estimate a single average watch time often fail to capture the inherent uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Chengzhi Lin , Shuchang Liu , Chuyuan Wang , Yongqi Liu

In the video recommendation, watch time is commonly adopted as an indicator of user interest. However, watch time is not only influenced by the matching of users' interests but also by other factors, such as duration bias and noisy…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Haiyuan Zhao , Lei Zhang , Jun Xu , Guohao Cai , Zhenhua Dong , Ji-Rong Wen

As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Apoorva Karagappa , Pawandeep Kaur Betz , Jonas Gilg , Moritz Zeumer , Andreas Gerndt , Bernhard Preim

Recommender systems rely heavily on user feedback to learn effective user and item representations. Despite their widespread adoption, limited attention has been given to the uncertainty inherent in the feedback used to train these systems.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Bruno Sguerra , Viet-Anh Tran , Romain Hennequin , Manuel Moussallam

An accurate prediction of watch time has been of vital importance to enhance user engagement in video recommender systems. To achieve this, there are four properties that a watch time prediction framework should satisfy: first, despite its…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Xiao Lin , Xiaokai Chen , Linfeng Song , Jingwei Liu , Biao Li , Peng Jiang

Watch time is widely used as a proxy for user satisfaction in video recommendation platforms. However, raw watch times are influenced by confounding factors such as video duration, popularity, and individual user behaviors, potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Emily Liu , Kuan Han , Minfeng Zhan , Bocheng Zhao , Guanyu Mu , Yang Song

A fundamental challenge in recommender systems is balancing reliability for Low-Active Users (LAUs) with diversity for High-Active Users (HAUs). The key to this balance lies in quantifying model uncertainty, which approximates the risk of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Bob Junyi Zou , Sai Li , Tianyun Sun , Wentao Guo , Qinglei Wang

User preferences follow a dynamic pattern over a day, e.g., at 8 am, a user might prefer to read news, while at 8 pm, they might prefer to watch movies. Time modeling aims to enable recommendation systems to perceive time changes to capture…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Yongchun Zhu , Jingwu Chen , Ling Chen , Yitan Li , Feng Zhang , Zuotao Liu

One of the most crucial issues in data mining is to model human behaviour in order to provide personalisation, adaptation and recommendation. This usually involves implicit or explicit knowledge, either by observing user interactions, or by…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-08-21 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

Human behavior modeling is important for the design and implementation of human-automation interactive control systems. In this context, human behavior refers to a human's control input to systems. We propose a novel method for human…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Sooyung Byeon , Dawei Sun , Inseok Hwang

Recommender systems are prone to be misled by biases in the data. Models trained with biased data fail to capture the real interests of users, thus it is critical to alleviate the impact of bias to achieve unbiased recommendation. In this…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Yu Zheng , Chen Gao , Jingtao Ding , Lingling Yi , Depeng Jin , Yong Li , Meng Wang

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Predicting query execution time is a fundamental issue underlying many database management tasks. Existing predictors rely on information such as cardinality estimates and system performance constants that are difficult to know exactly. As…

Databases · Computer Science 2014-08-29 Wentao Wu , Xi Wu , Hakan Hacıgümüş , Jeffrey F. Naughton

Many data mining approaches aim at modelling and predicting human behaviour. An important quantity of interest is the quality of model-based predictions, e.g. for finding a competition winner with best prediction performance. In real life,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-02-27 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

Large Internet video delivery systems serve millions of videos to tens of millions of users on daily basis, via Video-on-Demand and live streaming. Video popularity evolves over time. It represents the workload, as welll as business value,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Jiqiang Wu , Yipeng Zhou , Dah Ming Chiu , Youwei Hua , Zirong Zhu

In online video platforms, accurate watch time prediction has become a fundamental and challenging problem in video recommendation. Previous research has revealed that the accuracy of watch time prediction highly depends on both the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Xiaokai Chen , Xiao Lin , Changcheng Li , Peng Jiang
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