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We consider the problem of approximating the stationary distribution of an ergodic Markov chain given a set of sampled transitions. Classical simulation-based approaches assume access to the underlying process so that trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Junfeng Wen , Bo Dai , Lihong Li , Dale Schuurmans

We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

This paper presents a new algorithmic framework for computing sparse solutions to large-scale linear discrete ill-posed problems. The approach is motivated by recent perspectives on iteratively reweighted norm schemes, viewed through the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Lucas Onisk , Malena Sabaté Landman

We present an algorithm that can efficiently compute a broad class of inferences for discrete-time imprecise Markov chains, a generalised type of Markov chains that allows one to take into account partially specified probabilities and other…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Natan T'Joens , Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

Many problems of interest for cyber-physical network systems can be formulated as Mixed-Integer Linear Programs in which the constraints are distributed among the agents. In this paper we propose a distributed algorithmic framework to solve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Andrea Testa , Alessandro Rucco , Giuseppe Notarstefano

Renewed interest in mixed-precision algorithms has emerged due to growing data capacity and bandwidth concerns, as well as the advancement of GPUs, which enable significant speedup for low precision arithmetic. In light of this, we propose…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Alec Michael Dunton , Alyson Fox

Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

Markov decision processes continue to gain in popularity for modeling a wide range of applications ranging from analysis of supply chains and queuing networks to cognitive science and control of autonomous vehicles. Nonetheless, they tend…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Ali Eshragh

The approximation of integral functionals with respect to a stationary Markov process by a Riemann-sum estimator is studied. Stationarity and the functional calculus of the infinitesimal generator of the process are used to get a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Randolf Altmeyer , Jakub Chorowski

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

The evolution of a continuous time Markov process with a finite number of states is usually calculated by the Master equation - a linear differential equations with a singular generator matrix. We derive a general method for reducing the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-19 Daniel Soudry , Ron Meir

Traditional methods for unsupervised learning of finite mixture models require to evaluate the likelihood of all components of the mixture. This becomes computationally prohibitive when the number of components is large, as it is, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Milan Papež , Tomáš Pevný , Václav Šmídl

We prove a complete class theorem that characterizes \emph{all} stationary time reversible Markov processes whose finite dimensional marginal distributions (of all orders) are infinitely divisible. Aside from two degenerate cases (iid and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Robert L Wolpert , Lawrence D. Brown

To understand the long-run behavior of Markov population models, the computation of the stationary distribution is often a crucial part. We propose a truncation-based approximation that employs a state-space lumping scheme, aggregating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-05 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

Recent research in decision theoretic planning has focussed on making the solution of Markov decision processes (MDPs) more feasible. We develop a family of algorithms for structured reachability analysis of MDPs that are suitable when an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-24 Craig Boutilier , Ronen I. Brafman , Christopher W. Geib

We provide a framework for speeding up algorithms for time-bounded reachability analysis of continuous-time Markov decision processes. The principle is to find a small, but almost equivalent subsystem of the original system and only analyse…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Pranav Ashok , Yuliya Butkova , Holger Hermanns , Jan Křetínský

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms provide a very general recipe for estimating properties of complicated distributions. While their use has become commonplace and there is a large literature on MCMC theory and practice, MCMC users…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Murali Haran , Luke Tierney

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We propose a novel, tractable latent state inference scheme for Markov jump processes, for which exact inference is often intractable. Our approach is based on an entropic matching framework that can be embedded into the well-known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Yannick Eich , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl