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In this technical note, we consider a collaborative learning framework with principal-agent setting, in which the principal at each time-step determines a set of appropriate aggregation coefficients based on how the current parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-25 Getachew K Befekadu

We present Collaborative Trees, a novel tree model designed for regression prediction, along with its bagging version, which aims to analyze complex statistical associations between features and uncover potential patterns inherent in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-21 Chien-Ming Chi

A general challenge in statistics is prediction in the presence of multiple candidate models or learning algorithms. Model aggregation tries to combine all predictive distributions from individual models, which is more stable and flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Yuling Yao

Prediction is a central task of statistics and machine learning, yet many inferential settings provide only partial information, typically in the form of moment constraints or estimating equations. We develop a finite, fully Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

We consider a distributed learning setting where each agent/learner holds a specific parametric model and data source. The goal is to integrate information across a set of learners to enhance the prediction accuracy of a given learner. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Jiaying Zhou , Jie Ding , Kean Ming Tan , Vahid Tarokh

In this paper, we introduce a new learning strategy based on a seminal idea of Mojirsheibani (1999, 2000, 2002a, 2002b), who proposed a smart method for combining several classifiers, relying on a consensus notion. In many aggregation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-09 Aurélie Fischer , Mathilde Mougeot

In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yi Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

We propose a scalable Bayesian preference learning method for jointly predicting the preferences of individuals as well as the consensus of a crowd from pairwise labels. Peoples' opinions often differ greatly, making it difficult to predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Edwin Simpson , Iryna Gurevych

We consider a group of Bayesian agents who try to estimate a state of the world $\theta$ through interaction on a social network. Each agent $v$ initially receives a private measurement of $\theta$: a number $S_v$ picked from a Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-24 Elchanan Mossel , Noah Olsman , Omer Tamuz

Considering some predictive mechanisms, we show that ultrafast average-consensus can be achieved in networks of interconnected agents. More specifically, by predicting the dynamics of the network several steps ahead and using this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-12-06 Hai-Tao Zhang , Guy-Bart Stan , Michael ZhiQiang Chen , Jan M. Maciejowski , Tao Zhou

Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence solutions are essential in today's data-driven applications, prioritizing principles such as robustness, safety, transparency, explainability, and privacy among others. This has led to the emergence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Alberto Argente-Garrido , Cristina Zuheros , M. Victoria Luzón , Francisco Herrera

Collective intelligence is believed to underly the remarkable success of human society. The formation of accurate shared beliefs is one of the key components of human collective intelligence. How are accurate shared beliefs formed in groups…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-08-08 Peter M. Krafft , Julia Zheng , Wei Pan , Nicolás Della Penna , Yaniv Altshuler , Erez Shmueli , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Alex Pentland

Bayesian learning is a powerful learning framework which combines the external information of the data (background information) with the internal information (training data) in a logically consistent way in inference and prediction. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Erdong Guo , David Draper

In distributed learning, the goal is to perform a learning task over data distributed across multiple nodes with minimal (expensive) communication. Prior work (Daume III et al., 2012) proposes a general model that bounds the communication…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-04-17 Hal Daume , Jeff M. Phillips , Avishek Saha , Suresh Venkatasubramanian

Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular technique for facilitating valid predictive inference across a spectrum of machine learning models, under minimal assumption of exchangeability. Recently, Hoff (2023) showed that full conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Pankaj Bhagwat , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

The objective of advanced topic modeling is not only to explore latent topical structures, but also to estimate relationships between the discovered topics and theoretically relevant metadata. Methods used to estimate such relationships…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-29 P. Schulze , S. Wiegrebe , P. W. Thurner , C. Heumann , M. Aßenmacher

Can Large Language Models (AI agents) aggregate dispersed private information through trading and reason about the knowledge of others by observing price movements? We conduct a controlled experiment where AI agents trade in a prediction…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-08 Spyros Galanis

Cooperation is often implicitly assumed when learning from other agents. Cooperation implies that the agent selecting the data, and the agent learning from the data, have the same goal, that the learner infer the intended hypothesis. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Junqi Wang , Pei Wang , Patrick Shafto

Exchangeability is a central notion in statistics and probability theory. The assumption that an infinite sequence of data points is exchangeable is at the core of Bayesian statistics. However, finite exchangeability as a statistical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-24 Mathias Niepert , Guy Van den Broeck

Multi-party learning provides solutions for training joint models with decentralized data under legal and practical constraints. However, traditional multi-party learning approaches are confronted with obstacles such as system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Yuan Gao , Jiawei Li , Maoguo Gong , Yu Xie , A. K. Qin