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An artificial agent for financial risk and returns' prediction is built with a modular cognitive system comprised of interconnected recurrent neural networks, such that the agent learns to predict the financial returns, and learns to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Carlos Pedro Gonçalves

This paper proposes a simulation-based framework for assessing and improving the performance of a pension fund management scheme. This framework is modular and allows the definition of customized performance metrics that are used to assess…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Raphael Chinchilla , Thomas D. Rueter , Timothy R. McDade , Peter R. Fisher , Emmanuel Candes , Trevor Hastie , Stephen Boyd

Machine Learning is proving invaluable across disciplines. However, its success is often limited by the quality and quantity of available data, while its adoption by the level of trust that models afford users. Human vs. machine performance…

Predicting the probability of default (PD) of prospective loans is a critical objective for financial institutions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) algorithms have achieved remarkable success across a wide variety of prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Adrian Iulian Cristescu , Matteo Giordano

Financial risk prediction plays a crucial role in the financial sector. Machine learning methods have been widely applied for automatically detecting potential risks and thus saving the cost of labor. However, the development in this field…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-02 Yuwei Yin , Yazheng Yang , Jian Yang , Qi Liu

The last two centuries have seen a significant increase in life expectancy. Although past trends suggest that mortality will continue to decline in the future, uncertainty and instability about the development is greatly increased due to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-28 Asmik Nalmpatian , Christian Heumann , Stefan Pilz

Machine learning and quantum machine learning (QML) have gained significant importance, as they offer powerful tools for tackling complex computational problems across various domains. This work gives an extensive overview of QML uses in…

The provision of social care applications is crucial for elderly people to improve their quality of life and enables operators to provide early interventions. Accurate predictions of user dropouts in healthy ageing applications are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-11 Christos Chrysanthos Nikolaidis , Vasileios Perifanis , Nikolaos Pavlidis , Pavlos S. Efraimidis

Employee's knowledge is an organization asset. Turnover may impose apparent and hidden costs and irreparable damages. To overcome and mitigate this risk, employee's condition should be monitored. Due to high complexity of analyzing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Mahyar Karimi , Kamyar Seyedkazem Viliyani

This paper introduces the Actuarial Neural Additive Model, an inherently interpretable deep learning model for general insurance pricing that offers fully transparent and interpretable results while retaining the strong predictive power of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Patrick J. Laub , Tu Pho , Bernard Wong

In the face of global economic uncertainty, financial auditing has become essential for regulatory compliance and risk mitigation. Traditional manual auditing methods are increasingly limited by large data volumes, complex business…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Tingyu Yuan , Xi Zhang , Xuanjing Chen

This systematic review examines how machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) have transformed forecasting, decision-making, and financial modelling, promoting innovation and efficiency in financial systems. Following PRISMA 2020…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Soufiane El Amine El Alami , Abderazzak Mouiha , Abdelatif Hafid , Ahmed El Hilali Alaoui

We introduce a neural network approach for assessing the risk of a portfolio of assets and liabilities over a given time period. This requires a conditional valuation of the portfolio given the state of the world at a later time, a problem…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-27 Patrick Cheridito , John Ery , Mario V. Wüthrich

In portfolio analysis, the traditional approach of replacing population moments with sample counterparts may lead to suboptimal portfolio choices. I show that optimal portfolio weights can be estimated using a machine learning (ML)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Daniel Kinn

The Artificial Prediction Market is a recent machine learning technique for multi-class classification, inspired from the financial markets. It involves a number of trained market participants that bet on the possible outcomes and are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-18 Nathan Lay , Adrian Barbu

Machine learning models that aim to predict dementia onset usually follow the classification methodology ignoring the time until an event happens. This study presents an alternative, using survival analysis within the context of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Daniel Stamate , Henry Musto , Olesya Ajnakina , Daniel Stahl

In the data-driven world of actuarial science, machine learning (ML) plays a crucial role in predictive modeling, enhancing risk assessment and pricing strategies. Neural networks, specifically combined actuarial neural networks (CANN), are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-18 Belguutei Ariuntugs , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Madurang

The stock market has been established since the 13th century, but in the current epoch of time, it is substantially more practicable to anticipate the stock market than it was at any other point in time due to the tools and data that are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-27 Ryan Chipwanya

This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

In the world of advice and financial planning, there is seldom one right answer. While traditional algorithms have been successful in solving linear problems, its success often depends on choosing the right features from a dataset, which…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-26 Shareefuddin Mohammed , Rusty Bealer , Jason Cohen