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Failure probability estimation problem is an crucial task in engineering. In this work we consider this problem in the situation that the underlying computer models are extremely expensive, which often arises in the practice, and in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-15 Hongji Wang , Tiexin Guo , Jinglai Li , Hongqiao Wang

Target-oriented discovery under limited evaluation budgets requires making reliable progress in high-dimensional, heterogeneous design spaces where each new measurement is costly, whether experimental or high-fidelity simulation. We present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yixuan Zhang , Zhiyuan Li , Weijia He , Mian Dai , Chen Shen , Teng Long , Hongbin Zhang

We construct honest confidence regions for a Hilbert space-valued parameter in various statistical models. The confidence sets can be centered at arbitrary adaptive estimators, and have diameter which adapts optimally to a given selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James Robins , Aad van der Vaart

In this paper, we formulate a simple algorithm that detects contours around a region of interest in an image. After an initial smoothing, the method is based on viewing an image as a topographic surface and finding convex and/or concave…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-31 Victor Churchill

When we interact with small screen devices, sometimes we make errors, due to our abilities/disabilities, contextual factors that distract our attention or problems related to the interface. Recovering from these errors may be time consuming…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-04-15 Elgin Akpınar , Yeliz Yeşilada , Selim Temizer

We present a new approach to study measures on ensembles of contours, polymers or other objects interacting by some sort of exclusion condition. For concreteness we develop it here for the case of Peierls contours. Unlike existing methods,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Roberto Fernández , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nancy L. Garcia

We study in this paper two classes of experimental designs, support points and projected support points, which can provide robust and effective emulation of computer experiments with Gaussian processes. These designs have two important…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Simon Mak , V. Roshan Joseph

Adaptive sampling algorithms are modern and efficient methods that dynamically adjust the sample size throughout the optimization process. However, they may encounter difficulties in risk-averse settings, particularly due to the challenge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Sandra Pieraccini , Tommaso Vanzan

This paper introduces a conformal inference method to evaluate uncertainty in classification by generating prediction sets with valid coverage conditional on adaptively chosen features. These features are carefully selected to reflect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yanfei Zhou , Matteo Sesia

Adaptive filters are at the core of many signal processing applications, ranging from acoustic noise supression to echo cancelation, array beamforming, channel equalization, to more recent sensor network applications in surveillance, target…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-24 Jerónimo Arenas-García , Luis A. Azpicueta-Ruiz , Magno T. M. Silva , Vitor H. Nascimento , Ali H. Sayed

In experiments to estimate parameters of a parametric model, Bayesian experiment design allows measurement settings to be chosen based on utility, which is the predicted improvement of parameter distributions due to modeled measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 Robert D. McMichael , Sean M. Blakley

We propose a novel approach to sufficient dimension reduction in regression, based on estimating contour directions of negligible variation for the response surface. These directions span the orthogonal complement of the minimal space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-15 Bing Li , Hongyuan Zha , Francesca Chiaromonte

Motivated by the problem of optimization of force-field systems in physics using large-scale computer simulations, we consider exploration of a deterministic complex multivariate response surface. The objective is to find input combinations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-15 Mert Y. Sengul , Yao Song , Linglin He , Adri C. T. van Duin , Ying Hung , Tirthankar Dasgupta

We derive computationally tractable methods to select a small subset of experiment settings from a large pool of given design points. The primary focus is on linear regression models, while the technique extends to generalized linear models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-21 Yining Wang , Adams Wei Yu , Aarti Singh

A computational/analytics framework for assessing the value of drill-hole information in ore grade estimation is described using Gaussian Process and statistics. A distinguishing feature is that it presents both a near-term and long-term…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Raymond Leung , Arman Melkumyan

Driven by the flexible manufacturing trend in the process control industry and the uncertain nature of chemical process models, this article aims to achieve offset-free tracking for a family of uncertain nonlinear systems (e.g., using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Lai Wei , Ryan McCloy , Jie Bao

Design of experiments is a fundamental topic in applied statistics with a long history. Yet its application is often limited by the complexity and costliness of constructing experimental designs, which involve searching a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Matthew T. Pratola , C. Devon Lin , Peter F. Craigmile

We introduce adaptive sampling methods for stochastic programs with deterministic constraints. First, we propose and analyze a variant of the stochastic projected gradient method where the sample size used to approximate the reduced…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Florian Beiser , Brendan Keith , Simon Urbainczyk , Barbara Wohlmuth

Causal discovery aims to uncover cause-and-effect relationships encoded in causal graphs by leveraging observational, interventional data, or their combination. The majority of existing causal discovery methods are developed assuming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu , Mahsa Ghasemi

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye