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In recent years, the growing availability of biomedical datasets featuring numerous longitudinal covariates has motivated the development of several multi-step methods for the dynamic prediction of survival outcomes. These methods employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Mirko Signorelli , Sophie Retif

Optimal design facilitates intelligent data collection. In this paper, we introduce a fully Bayesian design approach for spatial processes with complex covariance structures, like those typically exhibited in natural ecosystems. Coordinate…

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

A Bayesian approach is developed to analyze change points in multivariate time series and space-time data. The methodology is used to assess the impact of extended inundation on the ecosystem of the Gulf Plains bioregion in northern…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-21 Chris Strickland , Robert Burdett , Robert Denham , Robert Kohn , Kerrie Mengersen

In many problems of data-driven modeling for dynamical systems, the governing equations are not known a priori and must be selected phenomenologically from a large set of candidate interactions and basis functions. In such situations, point…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-14 Shuhei Kashiwamura , Yusuke Kato , Hiroshi Kori , Masato Okada

Joint modeling of spatially-oriented dependent variables is commonplace in the environmental sciences, where scientists seek to estimate the relationships among a set of environmental outcomes accounting for dependence among these outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee , Andrew O. Finley

Accelerated degradation tests are used to provide accurate estimation of lifetime properties of highly reliable products within a relatively short testing time. There data from particular tests at high levels of stress (e.\,g.\ temperature,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-13 Helmi Shat , Rainer Schwabe

Multilevel compositional data are data that are repeatedly measured or clustered within groups and are non-negative and sum to a constant value. These data arise in various settings, such as intensive, longitudinal studies using ecological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Flora Le , Tyman E. Stanford , Dorothea Dumuid , Joshua F. Wiley

This paper investigates the modeling of an important class of degradation data, which are collected from a spatial domain over time; for example, the surface quality degradation. Like many existing time-dependent stochastic degradation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Jayant Kalagnanam

Learning Bayesian networks from raw data can help provide insights into the relationships between variables. While real data often contains a mixture of discrete and continuous-valued variables, many Bayesian network structure learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-19 Yi-Chun Chen , Tim Allan Wheeler , Mykel John Kochenderfer

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

A major problem in numerical weather prediction (NWP) is the estimation of high-dimensional covariance matrices from a small number of samples. Maximum likelihood estimators cannot provide reliable estimates when the overall dimension is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-13 Robert J. Webber , Matthias Morzfeld

We propose novel Bayesian Dynamic Clustering Factor Models (BDCFM) for the analysis of multivariate longitudinal data. BDCFM combines factor models with hidden Markov models to concomitantly perform dimension reduction, clustering, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 Tsering Dolkar , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Hwasoo Shin , Allison N. Tegge

The prediction of crack initiation and propagation in ductile failure processes are challenging tasks for the design and fabrication of metallic materials and structures on a large scale. Numerical aspects of ductile failure dictate a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Nima Noii , Amirreza Khodadadian , Jacinto Ulloa , Fadi Aldakheel , Thomas Wick , Stijn Francois , Peter Wriggers

We develop a Bayesian graphical modeling framework for functional data for correlated multivariate random variables observed over a continuous domain. Our method leads to graphical Markov models for functional data which allows the graphs…

Multi-dimensional functional data arises in numerous modern scientific experimental and observational studies. In this paper we focus on longitudinal functional data, a structured form of multidimensional functional data. Operating within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-20 John Shamshoian , Damla Senturk , Shafali Jeste , Donatello Telesca

Biopharmaceutical manufacturing is a rapidly growing industry with impact in virtually all branches of medicines. Biomanufacturing processes require close monitoring and control, in the presence of complex bioprocess dynamics with many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Hua Zheng , Wei Xie , Ilya O. Ryzhov , Dongming Xie

Multi-dimensional data frequently occur in many different fields, including risk management, insurance, biology, environmental sciences, and many more. In analyzing multivariate data, it is imperative that the underlying modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Orla A. Murphy , Juliana Schulz

Complex dynamical systems are prevalent in various domains, but their analysis and prediction are hindered by their high dimensionality and nonlinearity. Dimensionality reduction techniques can simplify the system dynamics by reducing the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Chengyi Tu , Ying Fan , Tianyu Shi

Varying coefficient models are useful in applications where the effect of the covariate might depend on some other covariate such as time or location. Various applications of these models often give rise to case-specific prior distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-05 Maria Franco-Villoria , Massimo Ventrucci , Håvard Rue