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Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

Infectious disease forecasting has been a key focus and proved to be crucial in controlling epidemic. A recent trend is to develop forecast-ing models based on graph neural networks (GNNs). However, existing GNN-based methods suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Mingjie Qiu , Zhiyi Tan , Bing-kun Bao

Modelling epidemic events such as COVID-19 cases in both time and space dimensions is an important but challenging task. Building on in-depth review and assessment of two popular graph neural network (GNN)-based regional epidemic…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-20 Xiangxin Kong , Hang Wang , Yutong Li , Yanghao Chen , Zudi Lu

Epidemic forecasting is the key to effective control of epidemic transmission and helps the world mitigate the crisis that threatens public health. To better understand the transmission and evolution of epidemics, we propose EpiGNN, a graph…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-25 Feng Xie , Zhong Zhang , Liang Li , Bin Zhou , Yusong Tan

Epidemic prediction is a fundamental task for epidemic control and prevention. Many mechanistic models and deep learning models are built for this task. However, most mechanistic models have difficulty estimating the time/region-varying…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Qi Cao , Renhe Jiang , Chuang Yang , Zipei Fan , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Weather Forecasting is an attractive challengeable task due to its influence on human life and complexity in atmospheric motion. Supported by massive historical observed time series data, the task is suitable for data-driven approaches,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Minbo Ma , Peng Xie , Fei Teng , Tianrui Li , Bin Wang , Shenggong Ji , Junbo Zhang

Accurate epidemic forecasting is a critical task in controlling disease transmission. Many deep learning-based models focus only on static or dynamic graphs when constructing spatial information, ignoring their relationship. Additionally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Junkai Mao , Yuexing Han , Gouhei Tanaka , Bing Wang

Traditional methods for demand forecasting only focus on modeling the temporal dependency. However, forecasting on spatio-temporal data requires modeling of complex nonlinear relational and spatial dependencies. In addition, dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Hongjie Chen , Ryan A. Rossi , Kanak Mahadik , Hoda Eldardiry

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for smart cities to achieve traffic control, route planning, and flow detection. Although many spatial-temporal methods are currently proposed, these methods are deficient in capturing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Aoyu Liu , Yaying Zhang

Travel time estimation is one of the core tasks for the development of intelligent transportation systems. Most previous works model the road segments or intersections separately by learning their spatio-temporal characteristics to estimate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Guangyin Jin , Huan Yan , Fuxian Li , Jincai Huang , Yong Li

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have shown promising results in many domains, from forecasting to epidemiology. However, understanding the dynamics learned by these models and explaining their behaviour is significantly more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Research in deep learning models to forecast traffic intensities has gained great attention in recent years due to their capability to capture the complex spatio-temporal relationships within the traffic data. However, most state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Amit Roy , Kashob Kumar Roy , Amin Ahsan Ali , M Ashraful Amin , A K M Mahbubur Rahman

Predicting the future paths of an agent's neighbors accurately and in a timely manner is central to the autonomous applications for collision avoidance. Conventional approaches, e.g., LSTM-based models, take considerable computational costs…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Chengxin Wang , Shaofeng Cai , Gary Tan

With recent advances in sensing technologies, a myriad of spatio-temporal data has been generated and recorded in smart cities. Forecasting the evolution patterns of spatio-temporal data is an important yet demanding aspect of urban…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Guangyin Jin , Yuxuan Liang , Yuchen Fang , Zezhi Shao , Jincai Huang , Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng

Modeling and simulations of pandemic dynamics play an essential role in understanding and addressing the spreading of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. In this work, we propose a novel deep learning architecture named…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Viet Bach Nguyen , Truong Son Hy , Long Tran-Thanh , Nhung Nghiem

As the COVID-19 pandemic evolves, reliable prediction plays an important role for policy making. The classical infectious disease model SEIR (susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered) is a compact yet simplistic temporal model. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Yunling Zheng , Zhijian Li , Jack Xin , Guofa Zhou

Data-centric methods have shown great potential in understanding and predicting spatiotemporal dynamics, enabling better design and control of the object system. However, deep learning models often lack interpretability, fail to obey…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Yuan Mi , Pu Ren , Hongteng Xu , Hongsheng Liu , Zidong Wang , Yike Guo , Ji-Rong Wen , Hao Sun , Yang Liu

In this work, we examine a novel forecasting approach for COVID-19 case prediction that uses Graph Neural Networks and mobility data. In contrast to existing time series forecasting models, the proposed approach learns from a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Amol Kapoor , Xue Ben , Luyang Liu , Bryan Perozzi , Matt Barnes , Martin Blais , Shawn O'Banion

Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of deep-learning-based, graph-neural-network-based forecasting methods for modern intelligent transportation systems. However, most existing work focuses exclusively on capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Lixiang Fan , Bohao Li , Tao Zou , Junchen Ye , Bowen Du

Temporal networks are suitable for modeling complex evolving systems. It has a wide range of applications, such as social network analysis, recommender systems, and epidemiology. Recently, modeling such dynamic systems has drawn great…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Jiayun Wu , Tao Jia , Yansong Wang , Li Tao
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