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We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

It is well known that if the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process does not have a compact support, data sampled from that process at any uniform sampling rate leads to biased and inconsistent spectrum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

Given a Wiener process with unknown and unobservable drift, we try to estimate this drift as effectively but also as quickly as possible, in the presence of a quadratic penalty for the estimation error and of a fixed, positive cost per unit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas , Juozas Vaicenavicius

High-dimensional covariance estimation is notoriously sensitive to outliers. While statistically optimal estimators exist for general heavy-tailed distributions, they often rely on computationally expensive techniques like semidefinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Even He

Sequential tests and their implied confidence sequences, which are valid at arbitrary stopping times, promise flexible statistical inference and on-the-fly decision making. However, strong guarantees are limited to parametric sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Aurelien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Michael Lindon

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

Low-rank tensor models are widely used in statistics. However, most existing methods rely heavily on the assumption that data follows a sub-Gaussian distribution. To address the challenges associated with heavy-tailed distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Xiaoyu Zhang , Di Wang , Guodong Li , Defeng Sun

In this paper, we consider robust estimation of claim severity models in insurance, when data are affected by truncation (due to deductibles), censoring (due to policy limits), and scaling (due to coinsurance). In particular, robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal , Vytaras Brazauskas

The problem of controller reduction has a rich history in control theory. Yet, many questions remain open. In particular, there exist very few results on the order reduction of general non-observer based controllers and the subsequent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Zhaolin Ren , Yang Zheng , Maryam Fazel , Na Li

Let $B^{a,b}:=\{B_t^{a,b},t\geq0\}$ be a weighted fractional Brownian motion of parameters $a>-1$, $|b|<1$, $|b|<a+1$. We consider a least square-type method to estimate the drift parameter $\theta>0$ of the weighted fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Mishari Al-Foraih , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

We develop a continuous-time penalized regression framework for the estimation of time-varying coefficients and variable selection when both the response and covariates are It\^o semimartingales with jumps. The coefficient paths are…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Aleksey Kolokolov , Shifan Yu

Chirp signal models and their generalizations have been used to model many natural and man-made phenomena in signal processing and time series literature. In recent times, several methods have been proposed for parameter estimation of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Abhinek Shukla , Rhythm Grover , Debasis Kundu , Amit Mitra

It is challenging to deal with censored data, where we only have access to the incomplete information of survival time instead of its exact value. Fortunately, under linear predictor assumption, people can obtain guaranteed coverage for the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Jiaye Teng , Zeren Tan , Yang Yuan

The observational limitations of astronomical surveys lead to significant statistical inference challenges. One such challenge is the estimation of luminosity functions given redshift $z$ and absolute magnitude $M$ measurements from an…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-11 Chad M. Schafer

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

We study the effect of stochastic sampling on the estimation of the drift parameter of continuous time AR(1) process. A natural distribution free moment estimator is considered for the drift based on stochastically observed time points. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Radhendushka Srivastava , Ping Li

In various capacities of statistical signal processing two-dimensional (2-D) chirp models have been considered significantly, particularly in image processing$-$ to model gray-scale and texture images, magnetic resonance imaging, optical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Rhythm Grover , Debasis Kundu , Amit Mitra

Distributional linear quadratic regulator (LQR) is a new framework that integrates the distributional reinforcement learning and classical LQR, which offers a new way to study the random return instead of the expected cost. Unlike iterative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Ruyi Teng , Dan Wang , Wei Chen , Yulong Gao