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As data-driven predictive models are increasingly used to inform decisions, it has been argued that decision makers should provide explanations that help individuals understand what would have to change for these decisions to be beneficial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Stratis Tsirtsis , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

In this paper the authors study a model for the optimal operation of a bank or insurance company which was recently introduced by Peura and Keppo. The model generalizes a previous one of Milne and Robertson by allowing the bank to raise…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Joseph G. Conlon , Hyekyung Min

In macroeconomics, an emerging discussion of alternative monetary systems addresses the dimensions of systemic risk in advanced financial systems. Monetary regime changes with the aim of achieving a more sustainable financial system have…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-11 Florian Peters , Doris Neuberger , Oliver Reinhardt , Adelinde Uhrmacher

This paper considers an insurer with two collaborating business lines that faces three critical decisions: (1) dividend payout, (2) reinsurance coverage, and (3) capital injection between the lines, in the presence of model uncertainty. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Tim J. Boonen , Engel John C. Dela Vega , Len Patrick Dominic M. Garces

This paper analyzes the equilibrium of insurance market in a dynamic setting, focusing on the interaction between insurers' underwriting and investment strategies. Three possible equilibrium outcomes are identified: a positive insurance…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-11 Bingzheng Chen , Zongxia Liang , Shunzhi Pang

The use of dynamic pricing by profit-maximizing firms gives rise to demand fairness concerns, measured by discrepancies in consumer groups' demand responses to a given pricing strategy. Notably, dynamic pricing may result in buyer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Jesse Thibodeau , Hadi Nekoei , Afaf Taïk , Janarthanan Rajendran , Golnoosh Farnadi

This paper considers an insurer with two collaborating business lines that must make three critical decisions: (1) dividend payout, (2) a combination of proportional and excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage, and (3) capital injection between…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Tim J. Boonen , Engel John C. Dela Vega

Motivated by the AIG bailout case in the financial crisis of 2007-2008, we consider an insurer who wants to maximize the expected utility of the terminal wealth by selecting optimal investment and risk control strategies. The insurer's risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-10 Bin Zou , Abel Cadenillas

In this paper, we consider the problem of optimal reinsurance design, when the risk is measured by a distortion risk measure and the premium is given by a distortion risk premium. First, we show how the optimal reinsurance design for the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-12 Hirbod Assa

In this paper, we focus on formal synthesis of control policies for finite Markov decision processes with non-negative real-valued costs. We develop an algorithm to automatically generate a policy that guarantees the satisfaction of a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-09-10 Maria Svorenova , Ivana Cerna , Calin Belta

Since beginning of the 2008 financial crisis almost half a trillion euros have been spent to financially assist EU member states in taxpayer-funded bail-outs. These crisis resolutions are often accompanied by austerity programs causing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-03 Peter Klimek , Sebastian Poledna , J. Doyne Farmer , Stefan Thurner

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

This paper studies optimal consumption and saving decisions under uncertainty about the transition dynamics of the economic environment. We consider a general optimal savings problem in which the exogenous state governing discounting,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-10 Qingyin Ma , Xinxin Zhang

We study undominated mechanisms with transfers for regulating a monopolist who privately observes the marginal cost of production. We show that in any undominated mechanism, there is a quantity floor, which depends only on the primitives,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-13 Debasis Mishra , Sanket Patil

We forecast the full conditional distribution of macroeconomic outcomes by systematically integrating three key principles: using high-dimensional data with appropriate regularization, adopting rigorous out-of-sample validation procedures,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-14 Ta-Chung Chi , Ting-Han Fan , Raffaele M. Ghigliazza , Domenico Giannone , Zixuan , Wang

Nonlinear optimization-based control policies, such as those those arising in nonlinear Model Predictive Control, have seen remarkable success in recent years. These policies require solving computationally demanding nonlinear optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Riccardo Zuliani , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros

A decision maker (DM) has some funds invested through two investment firms. She wishes to allocate additional funds according to the firms' earnings. The DM, on the one hand, tries to maximize the total expected earnings, while the firms,…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 David Lagziel , Ehud Lehrer

This thesis mainly focuses on two problems in capital structure and individual's life-cycle portfolio choice. In the first problem, we derive a stochastic control model to optimize banks' dividend and recapitalization policies and calibrate…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Shan Huang

In consequential domains, it is often impossible to compel individuals to take treatment, so that optimal policy rules are merely suggestions in the presence of human non-adherence to treatment recommendations. We study personalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Angela Zhou

Sustaining efficiency and stability by properly controlling the equity to asset ratio is one of the most important and difficult challenges in bank management. Due to unexpected and abrupt decline of asset values, a bank must closely…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-14 Masahiko Egami , Kazutoshi Yamazaki