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Related papers: Preferences with Multiple Forecasts

200 papers

Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

In a broad range of classification and decision making problems, one is given the advice or predictions of several classifiers, of unknown reliability, over multiple questions or queries. This scenario is different from the standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-07 Fabio Parisi , Francesco Strino , Boaz Nadler , Yuval Kluger

Machine learning (ML) applications have automated numerous real-life tasks, improving both private and public life. However, the black-box nature of many state-of-the-art models poses the challenge of model verification; how can one be sure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Ioannis Papantonis , Vaishak Belle

ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

Theoretically as well as experimentally it is investigated how people represent their knowledge in order to make decisions or to share their knowledge with others. Experiment 1 probes into the ways how people 6ather information about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alf C. Zimmer

Social choice is replete with various settings including single-winner voting, multi-winner voting, probabilistic voting, multiple referenda, and public decision making. We study a general model of social choice called Sub-Committee Voting…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Haris Aziz , Barton E. Lee

A researcher observes a finite sequence of choices made by multiple agents in a binary-state environment. Agents maximize expected utilities that depend on their chosen alternative and the unknown underlying state. Agents learn about the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-11 Rahul Deb , Ludovic Renou

This paper investigates the voting behaviors of Large Language Models (LLMs), specifically GPT-4 and LLaMA-2, their biases, and how they align with human voting patterns. Our methodology involved using a dataset from a human voting…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Joshua C. Yang , Damian Dailisan , Marcin Korecki , Carina I. Hausladen , Dirk Helbing

This paper is concerned with multi-view reinforcement learning (MVRL), which allows for decision making when agents share common dynamics but adhere to different observation models. We define the MVRL framework by extending partially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Minne Li , Lisheng Wu , Haitham Bou Ammar , Jun Wang

Many prediction tasks contain uncertainty. In some cases, uncertainty is inherent in the task itself. In future prediction, for example, many distinct outcomes are equally valid. In other cases, uncertainty arises from the way data is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-08-23 Christian Rupprecht , Iro Laina , Robert DiPietro , Maximilian Baust , Federico Tombari , Nassir Navab , Gregory D. Hager

In contrast to conventional (single-label) classification, the setting of multilabel classification (MLC) allows an instance to belong to several classes simultaneously. Thus, instead of selecting a single class label, predictions take the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-27 Vu-Linh Nguyen , Eyke Hüllermeier

We introduce a new algorithm for multi-objective reinforcement learning (MORL) with linear preferences, with the goal of enabling few-shot adaptation to new tasks. In MORL, the aim is to learn policies over multiple competing objectives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Runzhe Yang , Xingyuan Sun , Karthik Narasimhan

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

We consider a voting model, where a number of candidates need to be selected subject to certain feasibility constraints. The model generalises committee elections (where there is a single constraint on the number of candidates that need to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Tomáš Masařík , Grzegorz Pierczyński , Piotr Skowron

In approval-based multiwinner voting, voters express approval preferences over a set of candidates, and the goal is to return a winning committee. This model captures a broad range of subset selection problems under preferences. Prior work…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Niclas Boehmer , Luca Kreisel , Jannik Peters

Decision making whenever and wherever it is happened is key to organizations success. In order to make correct decision, individuals, teams and organizations need both knowledge management (to manage content) and collaboration (to manage…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-27 Nesrine Ben Yahia , Narjès Bellamine , Henda Ben Ghezala

Large language models are increasingly used to predict human preferences in both scientific and business endeavors, yet current approaches rely exclusively on analyzing model outputs without considering the underlying mechanisms. Using…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Sarah Ball , Simeon Allmendinger , Niklas Kühl , Frauke Kreuter

General regression and classification models are constructed as linear combinations of simple rules derived from the data. Each rule consists of a conjunction of a small number of simple statements concerning the values of individual input…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-12 Jerome H. Friedman , Bogdan E. Popescu

A task of interest in machine learning (ML) is that of ascribing explanations to the predictions made by ML models. Furthermore, in domains deemed high risk, the rigor of explanations is paramount. Indeed, incorrect explanations can and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Mohamed Siala , Jordi Planes , Joao Marques-Silva

Probabilities in the multiverse can be calculated by assuming that we are typical representatives in a given reference class. But is this class well defined? What should be included in the ensemble in which we are supposed to be typical?…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Jaume Garriga , Alexander Vilenkin