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Related papers: Model Selection via MCRB Optimization

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Suppose data are fitted to some parametric model but that the true model happens to be one with an additional parameter. When a parameter is to be estimated one can use likelihood estimation in the wider model or in the narrow model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Nils Lid Hjort

In decision-making under uncertainty, Contextual Robust Optimization (CRO) provides reliability by minimizing the worst-case decision loss over a prediction set. While recent advances use conformal prediction to construct prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-25 Yajie Bao , Yang Hu , Haojie Ren , Peng Zhao , Changliang Zou

The model selection procedure is usually a single-criterion decision making in which we select the model that maximizes a specific metric in a specific set, such as the Validation set performance. We claim this is very naive and can perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Felipe Costa Farias , Teresa Bernarda Ludermir , Carmelo José Albanez Bastos-Filho

This paper aims at providing a fresh look at semiparametric estimation theory and, in particular, at the Semiparametric Cram\'{e}r-Rao Bound (SCRB). Semiparametric models are characterized by a finite-dimensional parameter vector of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-03-02 Stefano Fortunati , Fulvio Gini , Maria S. Greco , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , Muralidhar Rangaswamy

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Jelena Bradic , Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Yinchu Zhu

We consider regression models with data of the type $y_i=m(x_i)+\varepsilon_i$, where the $m(x)$ curve is taken locally constant, with unknown levels and jump points. We investigate the large-sample properties of the minimum least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Steffen Grønneberg , Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort

In this article, the analysis of misspecification was extended to the recently introduced stochastic restricted biased estimators when multicollinearity exists among the explanatory variables. The Stochastic Restricted Ridge Estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Manickavasagar Kayanan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

In standard RL, a learner attempts to learn an optimal policy for a Markov Decision Process whose structure (e.g. state space) is known. In online model selection, a learner attempts to learn an optimal policy for an MDP knowing only that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Alireza Masoumian , James R. Wright

We consider the classical problem of missing-mass estimation, which deals with estimating the total probability of unseen elements in a sample. The missing-mass estimation problem has various applications in machine learning, statistics,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-17 Shir Cohen , Tirza Routtenberg , Lang Tong

Often the goal of model selection is to choose a model for future prediction, and it is natural to measure the accuracy of a future prediction by squared error loss. Under the Bayesian approach, it is commonly perceived that the optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Maria Maddalena Barbieri , James O. Berger

Practical model building processes are often time-consuming because many different models must be trained and validated. In this paper, we introduce a novel algorithm that can be used for computing the lower and the upper bounds of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-11 Yoshiki Suzuki , Kohei Ogawa , Yuki Shinmura , Ichiro Takeuchi

We study conditional risk minimization (CRM), i.e. the problem of learning a hypothesis of minimal risk for prediction at the next step of sequentially arriving dependent data. Despite it being a fundamental problem, successful learning in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Alexander Zimin , Christoph Lampert

We develop an algorithm for model selection which allows for the consideration of a combinatorially large number of candidate models governing a dynamical system. The innovation circumvents a disadvantage of standard model selection which…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-01 Niall M. Mangan , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor

Precision matrix is of significant importance in a wide range of applications in multivariate analysis. This paper considers adaptive minimax estimation of sparse precision matrices in the high dimensional setting. Optimal rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-13 T. Tony Cai , Weidong Liu , Harrison H. Zhou

This article considers Bayesian model selection via mean-field (MF) variational approximation. Towards this goal, we study the non-asymptotic properties of MF inference under the Bayesian framework that allows latent variables and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Yangfan Zhang , Yun Yang

For many scientific questions, understanding the underlying mechanism is the goal. To help investigators better understand the underlying mechanism, variable selection is a crucial step that permits the identification of the most associated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Shuangshuang Xu , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Allison N. Tegge

Machine learning models have traditionally been developed under the assumption that the training and test distributions match exactly. However, recent success in few-shot learning and related problems are encouraging signs that these models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-15 James Lucas , Mengye Ren , Irene Kameni , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

We present novel lower bounds on the mean square error (MSE) of the location estimation of an emitting source via a network where the sensors are deployed randomly. The sensor locations are modeled as a homogenous Poisson point process. In…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Itsik Bergel , Yair Noam

Artificial neural networks have become important tools to harness the complexity of disordered or random photonic systems. Recent applications include the recovery of information from light that has been scrambled during propagation through…

Model predictive control (MPC) is a promising approach for the lateral and longitudinal control of autonomous vehicles. However, the parameterization of the MPC with respect to high-level requirements such as passenger comfort as well as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-14 David Stenger , Robert Ritschel , Felix Krabbes , Rick Voßwinkel , Hendrik Richter
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