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Tipping points are one of the hot topics in modern physics of complex systems. But what is a tipping point? A generic definition declares it as ``a state of the system where a small change in its parameters can lead to a significant change…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-25 Alan Hastings , Sergei Petrovskii , Valerio Lucarini , Andrew Morozov

The fitness of a biological strategy is typically measured by its expected reproductive rate, the first moment of its offspring distribution. However, strategies with high expected rates can also have high probabilities of extinction. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-17 Sterling Sawaya , Steffen Klaere

We study the optimal sustainable harvesting of a population that lives in a random environment. The novelty of our setting is that we maximize the asymptotic harvesting yield, both in an expected value and almost sure sense, for a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Luis H. R. Alvarez E. , Alexandru Hening

Earth system tipping elements have been predominantly investigated for their potential to trigger \textit{negative} ecological, climatic, and societal shifts. Yet, an overlooked but seminal avenue exists in the form of \textit{positive}…

We model recruitment in adaptive social networks in the presence of birth and death processes. Recruitment is characterized by nodes changing their status to that of the recruiting class as a result of contact with recruiting nodes. Only a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-20 Maxim S. Shkarayev , Ira B. Schwartz , Leah B. Shaw

Heterozygote disadvantage is potentially a potent driver of population genetic divergence. Also referred to as underdominance, this phenomena describes a situation where a genetic heterozygote has a lower overall fitness than either…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-29 Áki J. Láruson , Floyd A. Reed

Predicting the adaptation of populations to a changing environment is crucial to assess the impact of human activities on biodiversity. Many theoretical studies have tackled this issue by modeling the evolution of quantitative traits…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Jimmy Garnier , O Cotto , T Bourgeron , E Bouin , T Lepoutre , O Ronce , V Calvez

Recruitment is calculated by summing random offspring-numbers entering the population, where the number of summands (i.e. spawning population size) is also a random process. A priori, it is not clear that individual reproductive variability…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-17 Hiro-Sato Niwa

Renewable energy has attracted significant attention over the last decade, conceivably due to its environmental benefits and the recent drops in the development and deployment cost of the technology. The increase in renewable generation,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-25 Alireza Majzoobi , Amin Khodaei , Shay Bahramirad , Math H J Bollen

Tipping points characterize situations where a regulated system may experience a sudden and irreversible change and are generally associated with a random state of the system below which the change materializes. In this paper, we study a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Jean-Paul Décamps , Fabien Gensbittel , Thomas Mariotti , Stéphane Villeneuve

Resource allocation takes place in various types of real-world complex systems such as urban traf- fic, social services institutions, economical and ecosystems. Mathematically, the dynamical process of complex resource allocation can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-05 Ji-Qiang Zhang , Zi-Gang Huang , Zhi-Xi Wu , Riqi Su , Ying-Cheng Lai

In an ecosystem, environmental changes as a result of natural and human processes can cause some key parameters of the system to change with time. Depending on how fast such a parameter changes, a tipping point can occur. Existing works on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-16 Shirin Panahi , Younghae Do , Alan Hastings , Ying-Cheng Lai

In subdivided populations, migration acts together with selection and genetic drift and determines their evolution. Building up on a recently proposed method, which hinges on the emergence of a time scale separation between local and global…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-24 Pierangelo Lombardo , Andrea Gambassi , Luca Dall'Asta

As the penetration level of transmission-scale time-intermittent renewable generation resources increases, control of flexible resources will become important to mitigating the fluctuations due to these new renewable resources. Flexible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-11 Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Scott Backhaus , Misha Chertkov

We analyze the long term behavior of interacting populations which can be controlled through harvesting. The dynamics is assumed to be discrete in time and stochastic due to the effect of environmental fluctuations. We present extinction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-18 Alexandru Hening

Tipping points associated with bifurcations (B-tipping) or induced by noise (N-tipping) are recognized mechanisms that may potentially lead to sudden climate change. We focus here a novel class of tipping points, where a sufficiently rapid…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Peter Ashwin , Sebastian Wieczorek , Renato Vitolo , Peter Cox

Many biological populations exhibit diversity in their strategy for survival and reproduction in a given environment, and microbes are an example. We explore the fate of different strategies under sustained environmental change by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-24 Ruixi Huang , David Waxman

Microbial communities routinely have several alternative stable states observed for the same environmental parameters. Sudden and irreversible transitions between these states make external manipulation of these systems more complicated. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-12 Veronika Dubinkina , Yulia Fridman , Parth Pandey , Sergei Maslov

We discuss tipping phenomena (critical transitions) in nonautonomous systems using an example of a bistable ecosystem model with environmental changes represented by time-varying parameters [Scheffer et al., Ecosystems, 11 (2008), pp.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Paul E. O'Keeffe , Sebastian Wieczorek

The strategic selection of resources by selfish agents has long been a key area of research, with Resource Selection Games and Congestion Games serving as prominent examples. In these traditional frameworks, agents choose from a set of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Henri Zeiler