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Previous studies have shown that human movement is predictable to a certain extent at different geographic scales. Existing prediction techniques exploit only the past history of the person taken into consideration as input of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-17 Manlio De Domenico , Antonio Lima , Mirco Musolesi

Accurate traffic flow forecasting is essential for intelligent transportation systems and urban traffic management. However, single model approaches often fail to capture the complex, nonlinear, and multi scale temporal patterns in traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Fujiang Yuan , Yangrui Fan , Xiaohuan Bing , Zhen Tian , Chunhong Yuan , Yankang Li

Precise fare prediction is crucial in ride-hailing platforms and urban mobility systems. This study examines three machine learning models-Graph Attention Networks (GAT), XGBoost, and TimesNet to evaluate their predictive capabilities for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Padmavathi Moorthy

Time-series forecasting has seen significant advancements with the introduction of token prediction mechanisms such as multi-head attention. However, these methods often struggle to achieve the same performance as in language modeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Panayiotis Christou , Shichu Chen , Xupeng Chen , Parijat Dube

As deep spatio-temporal neural networks are increasingly utilised in urban computing contexts, the deployment of such methods can have a direct impact on users of critical urban infrastructure, such as public transport, emergency services,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Sichen Zhao , Wei Shao , Jeffrey Chan , Ziqi Xu , Flora Salim

The availability of large amounts of time series data, paired with the performance of deep-learning algorithms on a broad class of problems, has recently led to significant interest in the use of sequence-to-sequence models for time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Zelda Mariet

Effective resource allocation in higher education depends on reliable enrolment forecasts, yet institutional planners frequently face data series disrupted by structural shifts. This paper investigates whether zero-shot Time Series…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Jittarin Jetwiriyanon , Teo Susnjak , Surangika Ranathunga

Urban spatio-temporal flow prediction, encompassing traffic flows and crowd flows, is crucial for optimizing city infrastructure and managing traffic and emergency responses. Traditional approaches have relied on separate models tailored to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Chonghua Han , Zhi Sheng , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

Traffic flow forecasting is hot spot research of intelligent traffic system construction. The existing traffic flow prediction methods have problems such as poor stability, high data requirements, or poor adaptability. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Boyi Liu , Xiangyan Tang , Jieren Cheng , Pengchao Shi

Reliable forecasting of traffic flow requires efficient modeling of traffic data. Indeed, different correlations and influences arise in a dynamic traffic network, making modeling a complicated task. Existing literature has proposed many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Kishor Kumar Bhaumik , Fahim Faisal Niloy , Saif Mahmud , Simon Woo

Time series prediction can be generalized as a process that extracts useful information from historical records and then determines future values. Learning long-range dependencies that are embedded in time series is often an obstacle for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Yuxiu Hua , Zhifeng Zhao , Rongpeng Li , Xianfu Chen , Zhiming Liu , Honggang Zhang

Trajectory data mining is crucial for smart city management. However, collecting large-scale trajectory datasets is challenging due to factors such as commercial conflicts and privacy regulations. Therefore, we urgently need trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Jingyuan Wang , Yujing Lin , Yudong Li

We introduce LatentTimePFN (LaT-PFN), a foundational Time Series model with a strong embedding space that enables zero-shot forecasting. To achieve this, we perform in-context learning in latent space utilizing a novel integration of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Stijn Verdenius , Andrea Zerio , Roy L. M. Wang

The science of cities is a relatively new and interdisciplinary topic. It borrows techniques from agent-based modeling, stochastic processes, and partial differential equations. However, how the cities rise and fall, how they evolve, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-28 Simone Daniotti , Bernardo Monechi , Enrico Ubaldi

Robots operating in human-populated environments must navigate safely and efficiently while minimizing social disruption. Achieving this requires estimating crowd movement to avoid congested areas in real-time. Traditional microscopic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Maryam Kazemi Eskeri , Thomas Wiedemann , Ville Kyrki , Dominik Baumann , Tomasz Piotr Kucner

Recently, forecasting the crowd flows has become an important research topic, and plentiful technologies have achieved good performances. As we all know, the flow at a citywide level is in a mixed state with several basic patterns (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Hongjun Wang , Jiyuan Chen , Zipei Fan , Zhiwen Zhang , Zekun Cai , Xuan Song

The transport literature is dense regarding short-term traffic predictions, up to the scale of 1 hour, yet less dense for long-term traffic predictions. The transport literature is also sparse when it comes to city-scale traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Julien Monteil , Anton Dekusar , Claudio Gambella , Yassine Lassoued , Martin Mevissen

Current time-series forecasting models are primarily based on transformer-style neural networks. These models achieve long-term forecasting mainly by scaling up the model size rather than through genuinely autoregressive (AR) rollout. From…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Zheng Li , Jerry Cheng , Huanying Gu

Efficient traffic management is crucial for maintaining urban mobility, especially in densely populated areas where congestion, accidents, and delays can lead to frustrating and expensive commutes. However, existing prediction methods face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Xuhong Wang , Ding Wang , Liang Chen , Yilun Lin

In literature, scientists describe human mobility in a range of granularities by several different models. Using frameworks like MATSIM, VehiLux, or Sumo, they often derive individual human movement indicators in their most detail. However,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-01-14 David Ziegler , Johannes Betz , Markus Lienkamp