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Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Machine Learning (ML) models are often complex and difficult to interpret due to their 'black-box' characteristics. Interpretability of a ML model is usually defined as the degree to which a human can understand the cause of decisions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-25 Simon Kocbek , Primoz Kocbek , Leona Cilar , Gregor Stiglic

Both industry and academia have made considerable progress in developing trustworthy and responsible machine learning (ML) systems. While critical concepts like fairness and explainability are often addressed, the safety of systems is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-08 Patrick Kaiser , Christoph Kern , David Rügamer

Quantum Machine Learning (QML) presents as a revolutionary approach to weather forecasting by using quantum computing to improve predictive modeling capabilities. In this study, we apply QML models, including Quantum Gated Recurrent Units…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 Saiyam Sakhuja , Shivanshu Siyanwal , Abhishek Tiwari , Britant , Savita Kashyap

This review aims to draw attention to two issues of concern when we set out to make machine learning work in the chemical and materials domain, i.e., statistical loss function metrics for the validation and benchmarking of data-derived…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-01-26 Gaurav Vishwakarma , Aditya Sonpal , Johannes Hachmann

Image classification is often prone to labelling uncertainty. To generate suitable training data, images are labelled according to evaluations of human experts. This can result in ambiguities, which will affect subsequent models. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-24 Katharina Hechinger , Xiao Xiang Zhu , Göran Kauermann

The value of uncertainty quantification on predictions for trained neural networks (NNs) on quantum chemical reference data is quantitatively explored. For this, the architecture of the PhysNet NN was suitably modified and the resulting…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-07-22 Luis Itza Vazquez-Salazar , Eric D. Boittier , M. Meuwly

The uncertainty quantification of prediction models (e.g., neural networks) is crucial for their adoption in many robotics applications. This is arguably as important as making accurate predictions, especially for safety-critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Junan Chen , Josephine Monica , Wei-Lun Chao , Mark Campbell

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being employed to assist human decision makers, it becomes critical to provide these decision makers with relevant inputs which can help them decide if and how to incorporate model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Sean McGrath , Parth Mehta , Alexandra Zytek , Isaac Lage , Himabindu Lakkaraju

Economic assessment in environmental science concerns the measurement or valuation of environmental impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Integrated assessment modeling is a unifying framework of environmental economics, which attempts to…

General Economics · Economics 2020-09-02 Ruda Zhang , Patrick Wingo , Rodrigo Duran , Kelly Rose , Jennifer Bauer , Roger Ghanem

Evaluating uncertainty is critical for reliable use of Mobile Laser Scanning (MLS) point clouds in many high-precision applications such as Scan-to-BIM, deformation analysis, and 3D modeling. However, obtaining the ground truth (GT) for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Ziyang Xu , Olaf Wysocki , Christoph Holst

Binary logit (BNL) and multinomial logit (MNL) models are the two most widely used discrete choice models for travel behavior modeling and prediction. However, in many scenarios, the collected data for those models are subject to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Baichuan Mo , Yunhan Zheng , Xiaotong Guo , Ruoyun Ma , Jinhua Zhao

Large language models (LLMs) are widely used as scalable evaluators of model responses in lieu of human annotators. However, imperfect sensitivity and specificity of the LLM judges induce bias in naive evaluation scores. We propose a simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Chungpa Lee , Thomas Zeng , Jongwon Jeong , Jy-yong Sohn , Kangwook Lee

Large language models (LLMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their reliable deployment requires effective uncertainty quantification (UQ). Existing UQ methods are often heuristic and lack a probabilistic interpretation.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Haoyi Song , Ruihan Ji , Naichen Shi , Fan Lai , Raed Al Kontar

Recent years have seen a substantial development of quantitative methods, mostly led by the computer science community with the goal of developing better machine learning applications, mainly focused on predictive modeling. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Daniel Hain , Roman Jurowetzki

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has increasing importance in building robust high-performance and generalizable materials property prediction models. It can also be used in active learning to train better models by focusing on getting new…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-11-14 Daniel Varivoda , Rongzhi Dong , Sadman Sadeed Omee , Jianjun Hu

We define a generalized likelihood function based on uncertainty measures and show that maximizing such a likelihood function for different measures induces different types of classifiers. In the probabilistic framework, we obtain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Loo-Nin Teow , Kia-Fock Loe

Process capability indices such as $C_{pk}$ are widely used for manufacturing decisions, yet are typically applied via deterministic thresholding of finite-sample estimates, ignoring uncertainty and leading to unstable outcomes near the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-16 Fei Jiang , Lei Yang

The use of machine learning systems in clinical routine is still hampered by the necessity of a medical device certification and/or by difficulty to implement these systems in a clinic's quality management system. In this context, the key…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-10-18 Lorenzo Mercolli , Axel Rominger , Kuangyu Shi

In machine learning (ML) workflows, determining the invariance qualities of an ML model is a common testing procedure. Traditionally, invariance qualities are evaluated using simple formula-based scores, e.g., accuracy. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Zukang Liao , Pengfei Zhang , Min Chen
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