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We introduce constrained Gaussian process (CGP), a Gaussian process model for random functions that allows easy placement of mathematical constrains (e.g., non-negativity, monotonicity, etc) on its sample functions. CGP comes with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jeremiah Zhe Liu

Optimization of problems with high computational power demands is a challenging task. A probabilistic approach to such optimization called Bayesian optimization lowers performance demands by solving mathematically simpler model of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Jakub Klus , Pavel Grunt , Martin Dobrovolný

Safety-critical control systems, such as spacecraft performing proximity operations, must provide formal safety guarantees despite stochastic uncertainties from state estimation and unmodeled dynamics. Although Control Barrier Functions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-13 Kazuya Echigo , David E. J. van Wijk , Pol Mestres , Ersin Daş , Joel W. Burdick , Aaron D. Ames

This paper investigates the challenges of optimal online policy learning under missing data. State-of-the-art algorithms implicitly assume that rewards are always observable. I show that when rewards are missing at random, the Upper…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Filippo Palomba

Probabilistic encoding introduces Gaussian noise into neural networks, enabling a smooth transition from deterministic to uncertain states and enhancing generalization ability. However, the randomness of Gaussian noise distorts point-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Pengjiu Xia , Yidian Huang , Wenchao Wei , Yuwen Tan

When sample data are governed by an unknown sequence of independent but possibly non-identical distributions, the data-generating process (DGP) in general cannot be perfectly identified from the data. For making decisions facing such…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-11 Xiaoyu Cheng

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective technique for black-box optimization. However, its applicability is typically limited to moderate-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of fitting the Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Qiyu Wei , Haowei Wang , Zirui Cao , Songhao Wang , Richard Allmendinger , Mauricio A Álvarez

This paper introduces a model-free real-time optimization (RTO) framework based on unconstrained Bayesian optimization with embedded constraint control. The main contribution lies in demonstrating how this approach simplifies the black-box…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Dinesh Krishnamoorthy

Bayesian optimization has recently attracted the attention of the automatic machine learning community for its excellent results in hyperparameter tuning. BO is characterized by the sample efficiency with which it can optimize expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-19 Ruben Martinez-Cantin , Michael McCourt , Kevin Tee

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are essential for making reliable predictions about latent functions from noisy data, and thus, a key enabler for safe learning-based control. In this domain, kernel methods such as Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Amon Lahr , Anna Scampicchio , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Bayesian optimization is a powerful tool for optimizing an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function. In particular, the effectiveness of expected improvement (EI) has been demonstrated in a wide range of applications. However, theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Shion Takeno , Yu Inatsu , Masayuki Karasuyama , Ichiro Takeuchi

Safe Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms promise to find optimal control policies without knowing the system dynamics while at the same time guaranteeing safety with high probability. In exchange for those guarantees, popular algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Abdullah Tokmak , Thomas B. Schön , Dominik Baumann

Maximizing high-dimensional, non-convex functions through noisy observations is a notoriously hard problem, but one that arises in many applications. In this paper, we tackle this challenge by modeling the unknown function as a sample from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Bo Chen , Rui Castro , Andreas Krause

Variational approximation techniques and inference for stochastic models in machine learning has gained much attention the last years. Especially in the case of Gaussian Processes (GP) and their deep versions, Deep Gaussian Processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Roman Föll , Ingo Steinwart

The requirement to generate robust robotic platforms is a critical enabling step to allow such platforms to permeate safety-critical applications (i.e., the localization of autonomous platforms in urban environments). One of the primary…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-14 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

In this paper, we consider algorithm-independent lower bounds for the problem of black-box optimization of functions having a bounded norm is some Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS), which can be viewed as a non-Bayesian Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-25 Xu Cai , Jonathan Scarlett

We study the trade-offs between convergence rate and robustness to gradient errors in designing a first-order algorithm. We focus on gradient descent (GD) and accelerated gradient (AG) methods for minimizing strongly convex functions when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Necdet Serhat Aybat , Alireza Fallah , Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Asuman Ozdaglar

We study the problem of preferential Bayesian optimization (BO), where we aim to optimize a black-box function with only preference feedback over a pair of candidate solutions. Inspired by the likelihood ratio idea, we construct a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Wenjie Xu , Wenbin Wang , Yuning Jiang , Bratislav Svetozarevic , Colin N. Jones

Control algorithms such as model predictive control (MPC) and state estimators rely on a number of different parameters. The performance of the closed loop usually depends on the correct setting of these parameters. Tuning is often done…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-15 David Stenger , Muzaffer Ay , Dirk Abel
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