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Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang

Improved communication systems, shrinking battery sizes and the price drop of tracking devices have led to an increasing availability of trajectory tracking data. These data are often analyzed to understand animal behavior. In this work, we…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Clara Grazian , Sara Mancinelli , Enrico Bibbona

In nonlinear latent variable models or dynamic models, if we consider the latent variables as confounders (common causes), the noise dependencies imply further relations between the observed variables. Such models are then closely related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Kun Zhang , Bernhard Schoelkopf , Dominik Janzing

Many machine learning problems can be framed in the context of estimating functions, and often these are time-dependent functions that are estimated in real-time as observations arrive. Gaussian processes (GPs) are an attractive choice for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-09 Michael Minyi Zhang , Bianca Dumitrascu , Sinead A. Williamson , Barbara E. Engelhardt

We identify a new variational inference scheme for dynamical systems whose transition function is modelled by a Gaussian process. Inference in this setting has either employed computationally intensive MCMC methods, or relied on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-14 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen

High-dimensional classification and feature selection tasks are ubiquitous with the recent advancement in data acquisition technology. In several application areas such as biology, genomics and proteomics, the data are often functional in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-30 W Yu , S Wade , H D Bondell , L Azizi

In this paper, we unify popular non-rigid registration methods for point sets and surfaces under our general framework, GiNGR. GiNGR builds upon Gaussian Process Morphable Models (GPMM) and hence separates modeling the deformation prior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Dennis Madsen , Jonathan Aellen , Andreas Morel-Forster , Thomas Vetter , Marcel Lüthi

As we aim to control complex systems, use of a simulator in model-based reinforcement learning is becoming more common. However, it has been challenging to overcome the Reality Gap, which comes from nonlinear model bias and susceptibility…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Gilwoo Lee , Siddhartha S. Srinivasa , Matthew T. Mason

Interference prediction and resource allocation are critical challenges in mission-critical applications where stringent latency and reliability constraints must be met. This paper proposes a novel Gaussian process regression (GPR)-based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Syed Luqman Shah , Nurul Huda Mahmood , Matti Latva-aho

Recognizing the successes of treed Gaussian process (TGP) models as an interpretable and thrifty model for nonparametric regression, we seek to extend the model to classification. Both treed models and Gaussian processes (GPs) have,…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-28 Tamara Broderick , Robert B. Gramacy

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-15 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

Big spatio-temporal datasets, available through both open and administrative data sources, offer significant potential for social science research. The magnitude of the data allows for increased resolution and analysis at individual level.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-27 Anastasia Ushakova , Slava J. Mikhaylov

Two popular approaches for relating correlated measurements of a non-Gaussian response variable to a set of predictors are to fit a marginal model using generalized estimating equations and to fit a generalized linear mixed model by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Jeffrey J. Gory , Peter F. Craigmile , Steven N. MacEachern

Gaussian Processes (GPs) has experienced tremendous success in geoscience in general and for bio-geophysical parameter retrieval in the last years. GPs constitute a solid Bayesian framework to formulate many function approximation problems…

This tutorial aims to provide an intuitive introduction to Gaussian process regression (GPR). GPR models have been widely used in machine learning applications due to their representation flexibility and inherent capability to quantify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Jie Wang

Dynamic topic models (DTMs) model the evolution of prevalent themes in literature, online media, and other forms of text over time. DTMs assume that word co-occurrence statistics change continuously and therefore impose continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-22 Patrick Jähnichen , Florian Wenzel , Marius Kloft , Stephan Mandt

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

We develop a space-time large-deviation point of view on Gibbs-non-Gibbs transitions in spin systems subject to a stochastic spin-flip dynamics. Using the general theory for large deviations of functionals of Markov processes outlined in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Aernout van Enter , Roberto Fernández , Frank den Hollander , Frank Redig

Recommender systems based on graph neural networks receive increasing research interest due to their excellent ability to learn a variety of side information including social networks. However, previous works usually focus on modeling…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Junfa Lin , Siyuan Chen , Jiahai Wang