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In this paper, we develop a new and effective approach to nonparametric quantile regression that accommodates ultrahigh-dimensional data arising from spatio-temporal processes. This approach proves advantageous in staving off computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Soudeep Deb , Claudia Neves , Subhrajyoty Roy

We consider the problem of least squares parameter estimation from single-trajectory data for discrete-time, unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems, with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming a region of the state space…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-06 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

We consider bounded extremum seeking controls for time-varying linear systems with uncertain coefficient matrices and measurement uncertainty. Using a new change of variables, Lyapunov functions, and a comparison principle, we provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Frederic Mazenc , Michael Malisoff , Emilia Fridman

For uncertain multiple inputs multi-outputs (MIMO) nonlinear systems, it is nontrivial to achieve asymptotic tracking, and most existing methods normally demand certain controllability conditions that are rather restrictive or even…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-02 Bing Zhou , Xiucai Huang , Yongduan Song

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We consider a sequential decision making task where we are not allowed to evaluate parameters that violate an a priori unknown (safety) constraint. A common approach is to place a Gaussian process prior on the unknown constraint and allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Alessandro G. Bottero , Carlos E. Luis , Julia Vinogradska , Felix Berkenkamp , Jan Peters

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

We propose an open loop methodology based on sample statistics to solve chance constrained stochastic optimal control problems with probabilistic safety guarantees for linear systems where the additive Gaussian noise has unknown mean and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-24 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

This paper proposes a safe data-driven control framework for nonlinear systems with partially known dynamics. The method ensures stability and constraint satisfaction during online learning, assuming only a stabilizable linear approximation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Stefano Tonini , Soroush Rastegarpour , Hamid Reza Feyzmahdavian , Nicola Bastianello , Karl Henrik Johansson

We study time-uniform statistical inference for parameters in stochastic approximation (SA), which encompasses a bunch of applications in optimization and machine learning. To that end, we analyze the almost-sure convergence rates of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Chuhan Xie , Kaicheng Jin , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

This paper focuses on drawing inference on the causal impact of an intervention at a specific time point, as manifested in an outcome variable over time. We operate on the interrupted time series framework and expand on approaches such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-07 Gianluca Giudice , Sara Geneletti , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

The target trial framework enables causal inference from longitudinal observational data by emulating randomized trials initiated at multiple time points. Precision is often improved by pooling information across trials, with standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Edoardo Efrem Gervasoni , Liesbet De Bus , Stijn Vansteelandt , Oliver Dukes

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Satyaki Mazumder , Sayantan Banerjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

In this paper we develop novel results on self triggering control of nonlinear systems, subject to perturbations and actuation delays. First, considering an unperturbed nonlinear system with bounded actuation delays, we provide conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-08-29 M. D. Di Benedetto , S. Di Gennaro , A. D'Innocenzo

This paper presents novel method for distribution-free robust trajectory optimization and control of discrete-time, nonlinear, and non-Gaussian stochastic systems, with closed-loop guarantees on chance constraint satisfaction. Our framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Rihan Aaron D'Silva , Hiroyasu Tsukamoto

Non-linear gravitational collapse introduces non-Gaussian statistics into the matter fields of the late Universe. As the large-scale structure is the target of current and future observational campaigns, one would ideally like to have the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-12 Elena Sellentin , Andrew H. Jaffe , Alan F. Heavens

The performance of learning-based control techniques crucially depends on how effectively the system is explored. While most exploration techniques aim to achieve a globally accurate model, such approaches are generally unsuited for systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Alexandre Capone , Jonas Umlauft , Thomas Beckers , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

Pure exploration (aka active testing) is the fundamental task of sequentially gathering information to answer a query about a stochastic environment. Good algorithms make few mistakes and take few samples. Lower bounds (for multi-armed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-26 Rémy Degenne , Wouter M. Koolen , Pierre Ménard

We consider a class of misspecified dynamical models where the governing term is only approximately known. Under the assumption that observations of the system's evolution are accessible for various initial conditions, our goal is to infer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-06 Gal Shulkind , Lior Horesh , Haim Avron