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Gaussian process are a widely-used statistical tool for conducting non-parametric inference in applied sciences, with many computational packages available to fit to data and predict future observations. We study the use of the Greta…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-31 Eva Gunn , Nikhil Sengupta , Ben Swallow

Causal discovery from time-series data has been a central task in machine learning. Recently, Granger causality inference is gaining momentum due to its good explainability and high compatibility with emerging deep neural networks. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Yuxiao Cheng , Runzhao Yang , Tingxiong Xiao , Zongren Li , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He , Qionghai Dai

Data mining, particularly the analysis of multivariate time series data, plays a crucial role in extracting insights from complex systems and supporting informed decision-making across diverse domains. However, assessing the similarity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Franck Tonle , Henri Tonnang , Milliam Ndadji , Maurice Tchendji , Armand Nzeukou , Kennedy Senagi , Saliou Niassy

We propose a comprehensive Bayesian approach for graphical model determination in observational studies that can accommodate binary, ordinal or continuous variables simultaneously. Our new models are called copula Gaussian graphical models…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-09 Adrian Dobra , Alex Lenkoski

Metabolomics is the study of small molecules in biological samples. Metabolomics data are typically high-dimensional and contain highly correlated variables and frequent missing values. Both missing at random (MAR) data, due to acquisition…

Multivariate categorical data occur in many applications of machine learning. One of the main difficulties with these vectors of categorical variables is sparsity. The number of possible observations grows exponentially with vector length,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yarin Gal , Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

G-formula is a popular approach for estimating treatment or exposure effects from longitudinal data that are subject to time-varying confounding. G-formula estimation is typically performed by Monte-Carlo simulation, with non-parametric…

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a chronic disease characterized by progressive or alternate impairment of neurological functions (motor, sensory, visual, and cognitive). Predicting disease progression with a probabilistic and time-dependent…

Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) classification has gained importance over the past decade with the increase in the number of temporal datasets in multiple domains. The current state-of-the-art MTS classifier is a heavyweight deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Kevin Fauvel , Tao Lin , Véronique Masson , Élisa Fromont , Alexandre Termier

Multivariate time series forecasting, which analyzes historical time series to predict future trends, can effectively help decision-making. Complex relations among variables in MTS, including static, dynamic, predictable, and latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Yueyang Wang , Ziheng Duan , Yida Huang , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren

Multiple imputation (MI) is an established technique to handle missing data in observational studies. Joint modeling (JM) and fully conditional specification (FCS) are commonly used methods for imputing multilevel clustered data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-28 Mei Dong , Aya Mitani

This article introduces the Python package gcimpute for missing data imputation. gcimpute can impute missing data with many different variable types, including continuous, binary, ordinal, count, and truncated values, by modeling data as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Yuxuan Zhao , Madeleine Udell

Causal discovery from time series is a fundamental task in machine learning. However, its widespread adoption is hindered by a reliance on untestable causal assumptions and by the lack of robustness-oriented evaluation in existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Huiyang Yi , Xiaojian Shen , Yonggang Wu , Duxin Chen , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

Copulas provide a modular parameterization of multivariate distributions that decouples the modeling of marginals from the dependencies between them. Gaussian Mixture Copula Model (GMCM) is a highly flexible copula that can model many kinds…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-29 Siva Rajesh Kasa , Vaibhav Rajan

In this paper, we revisit batch state estimation through the lens of Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider continuous-discrete estimation problems wherein a trajectory is viewed as a one-dimensional GP, with time as the independent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Sean Anderson , Timothy D. Barfoot , Chi Hay Tong , Simo Särkkä

Marginal Structural Models (MSM) are the most popular models for causal inference from time-series observational data. However, they have two main drawbacks: (a) they do not capture subject heterogeneity, and (b) they only consider fixed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Debmalya Mandal , David Parkes

Background and Objectives: Multidrug Resistance (MDR) is a critical global health issue, causing increased hospital stays, healthcare costs, and mortality. This study proposes an interpretable Machine Learning (ML) framework for MDR…

Data collected in clinical trials are often composed of multiple types of variables. For example, laboratory measurements and vital signs are longitudinal data of continuous or categorical variables, adverse events may be recurrent events,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Tuo Wang , Rachel Zilinskas , Ying Li , Yongming Qu

We discuss the Gaussian graphical model (GGM; an undirected network of partial correlation coefficients) and detail its utility as an exploratory data analysis tool. The GGM shows which variables predict one-another, allows for sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-09 Sacha Epskamp , Lourens J. Waldorp , René Mõttus , Denny Borsboom