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This article introduces trimmed estimators for the mean and covariance function of general functional data. The estimators are based on a new measure of outlyingness or data depth that is well defined on any metric space, although this…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-03 Daniel Gervini

Thermodynamic parameters such as temperature and pressure can be defined from the statistical behavior of a system. Therefore, thermal fluctuation is an inseparable characteristic of these parameters which eventually finds its way into…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-02-28 Alek Bedroya , Mahmud Bahmanabadi

Given a sequence of $n$ identically distributed random variables with common distribution $F$, the \emph{fragility distribution of order $m$}, represented by $\FD$, is the limit conditional distribution of the number of exceedances given…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 H. L. Gan , A. Xia

A simple expression for the non-equilibrium distribution function in ultra-fast transient processes is proposed. Postulating its dependence on temporal derivatives of the equilibrium integrals of motion, non-equilibrium analogues of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-18 K. S. Glavatskiy

Performativity of predictions refers to the phenomenon where prediction-informed decisions influence the very targets they aim to predict -- a dynamic commonly observed in policy-making, social sciences, and economics. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Xiang Li , Yunai Li , Huiying Zhong , Lihua Lei , Zhun Deng

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

We consider a combination of heavily trimmed sums and sample quantiles which arises when examining properties of clustering criteria and prove limit theorems. The object of interest, which we call the Empirical Cross-over Function, is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-13 Karthik Bharath , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Dipak Dey

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

Point forecasts can be interpreted as functionals (i.e., point summaries) of predictive distributions. We consider the situation where forecasters' directives are hidden and develop methodology for the identification of the unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Patrick Schmidt , Matthias Katzfuß , Tilmann Gneiting

We study the problem of testing the equivalence of functional parameters (such as the mean or variance function) in the two sample functional data problem. In contrast to previous work, which reduces the functional problem to a multiple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Holger Dette , Kevin Kokot

Situations where a spontaneous process of energy or matter transfer is enhanced by an external device are widespread in nature (human sweating system, enzyme catalysis, facilitated diffusion across bio-membranes, industrial heat…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-07-21 Karen Hovhannisyan , Armen E. Allahverdyan

Outer measures can be used for statistical inference in place of probability measures to bring flexibility in terms of model specification. The corresponding statistical procedures such as Bayesian inference, estimators or hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Jeremie Houssineau , Neil K. Chada , Emmanuel Delande

We consider stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems simply by evaluating an observable function along the orbits of the system and study marked point processes associated to extremal observations of such time series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

We derive a functional for the entropy contributed by any microscopic degrees of freedom as arising from their measurable pair correlations. Applicable both in and out of equilibrium, this functional yields the maximum entropy which a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-17 Benjamin Sorkin , Joshua Ricouvier , Haim Diamant , Gil Ariel

The nature of diffusion is usually studied for particles or time-evolving systems. Similar in principle, such studies can be conducted by tracking how a given function of observable properties evolves over time-akin to the evolution of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-10 M. Süzen

Superstatistics [C. Beck and E.G.D. Cohen, Physica A 322, 267 (2003)] is a formalism aimed at describing statistical properties of a generic extensive quantity E in complex out-of-equilibrium systems in terms of a superposition of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-07 F. Sattin

Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

We propose a novel procedure for outlier detection in functional data, in a semi-supervised framework. As the data is functional, we consider the coefficients obtained after projecting the observations onto orthonormal bases (wavelet, PCA).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-14 Clémentine Barreyre , Béatrice Laurent , Jean-Michel Loubes , Bertrand Cabon , Loïc Boussouf

When monitoring the dynamics of stochastic systems, such as interacting particles agitated by thermal noise, disentangling deterministic forces from Brownian motion is challenging. Indeed, we show that there is an information-theoretic…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-04-16 Anna Frishman , Pierre Ronceray

Functional data is a powerful tool for capturing and analyzing complex patterns and relationships in a variety of fields, allowing for more precise modeling, visualization, and decision-making. For example, in healthcare, functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Xiyuan Gao , Jiayi Wang , Guanyu Hu , Jianguo Sun