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This paper introduces a martingale that characterizes two properties of evolving forecast distributions. Ideal forecasts of a future event behave as martingales, sequen- tially updating the forecast to leverage the available information as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Dean P. Foster , Robert A. Stine

We completely characterize $\Delta$- and local subexponentialities of positive-half compound Poisson distributions and extend the characterization on two-sided distributions. Moreover, $\Delta$-subexponentiality of infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Muneya Matsui , Toshiro Watanabe

Let $X_1, X_2,\ldots, X_n$ (resp. $Y_1, Y_2,\ldots, Y_n$) be independent random variables such that $X_i$ (resp. $Y_i$) follows generalized exponential distribution with shape parameter $\theta_i$ and scale parameter $\lambda_i$ (resp.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-18 Amarjit Kundu , Shovan Chowdhury , Asok K. Nanda , Nil Kamal Hazra

This article carries out a large dimensional analysis of standard regularized discriminant analysis classifiers designed on the assumption that data arise from a Gaussian mixture model with different means and covariances. The analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-19 Khalil Elkhalil , Abla Kammoun , Romain Couillet , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

A complete characterization of the possible joint distributions of the maximum and terminal value of uniformly integrable martingale has been known for some time, and the aim of this paper is to establish a similar characterization for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-04 Moritz Duembgen , L. C. G. Rogers

A class of probability distributions is characterized via equalities in law between two order statistics shifted by independent exponential variables. An explicit formula for the quintile function of the identified family of distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-26 M. Ahsanullah , V. B. Nevzorov , George P. Yanev

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama

Probabilistic model checking traditionally verifies properties on the expected value of a measure of interest. This restriction may fail to capture the quality of service of a significant proportion of a system's runs, especially when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Xiaotong Ji , Hanchun Wang , Antonio Filieri , Ilenia Epifani

We present a method to characterize the distribution of length-scales of finite, disordered patterns with, on average, radial symmetry. This method makes it possible to quantify the distribution of characteristic length scales in cases…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-03-19 Andreas A. Hennig , Ilaria Beechey-Newman , Natalya Kizilova , Erika Eiser

In this paper, we study the risk bounds for samples independently drawn from an infinitely divisible (ID) distribution. In particular, based on a martingale method, we develop two deviation inequalities for a sequence of random variables of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-02-20 Chao Zhang , Dacheng Tao

Let $ X_{n} $ be $ n\times N $ random complex matrices, $R_{n}$ and $T_{n}$ be non-random complex matrices with dimensions $n\times N$ and $n\times n$, respectively. We assume that the entries of $ X_{n} $ are independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Huanchao Zhou , Zhidong Bai , Jiang Hu

Random permutations with distribution conditionally uniform given the set of record values can be generated in a unified way, coherently for all values of $n$. Our central example is a two-parameter family of random permutations that are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Gnedin

Distributional equation is an important tool in the characterization theory because many characteristic properties of distributions can be transferred to such equations. Using a novel and natural approach, we retreat a remarkable…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Chin-Yuan Hu , Gwo Dong Lin

A striking result of [Acharya et al. 2017] showed that to estimate symmetric properties of discrete distributions, plugging in the distribution that maximizes the likelihood of observed multiset of frequencies, also known as the profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Yanjun Han , Kirankumar Shiragur

The study of records in the Linear Drift Model (LDM) has attracted much attention recently due to applications in several fields. In the present paper we study $\delta$-records in the LDM, defined as observations which are greater than all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

We study the distributional properties of the linear discriminant function under the assumption of normality by comparing two groups with the same covariance matrix but different mean vectors. A stochastic representation for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Taras Bodnar , Stepan Mazur , Edward Ngailo , Nestor Parolya

We derive the asymptotic distribution of the domination number of a new family of random digraph called proximity catch digraph (PCD), which has application to statistical testing of spatial point patterns and to pattern recognition. The…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-02-06 E. Ceyhan , C. E. Priebe

Motivated by applications to prediction and forecasting, we suggest methods for approximating the conditional distribution function of a random variable Y given a dependent random d-vector X. The idea is to estimate not the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Hall , Qiwei Yao

Multidimensional record patterns are random sets of lattice points defined by means of a recursive stochastic construction. The patterns thus generated owe their richness to the fact that the construction is not based on a total order,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-06-11 P. L. Krapivsky , J. M. Luck

In this paper, we analyse singular values of a large $p\times n$ data matrix $\mathbf{X}_n= (\mathbf{x}_{n1},\ldots,\mathbf{x}_{nn})$ where the column $\mathbf{x}_{nj}$'s are independent $p$-dimensional vectors, possibly with different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Tianxing Mei , Chen Wang , Jianfeng Yao