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Fault zones exhibit geometrical complexity and are often surrounded by multiscale fracture networks within their damage zones, influencing rupture dynamics and near-field ground motions. We investigate the ground-motion characteristics of…

Large-scale seismic vulnerability assessment methods use simplified formulas and curves, often without providing uncertainties. They are seldom compared to experimental data. Therefore, we recorded ambient vibrations and estimated modal…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-10-09 Clotaire Michel , Philippe Guéguen , Pierre-Yves Bard

In this paper, I introduce a novel approach to modelling the individual random component (also called the intra-event uncertainty) of a ground-motion relation (GMR), as well as a novel approach to estimating the corresponding parameters. In…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-07-20 Mathias Raschke

Multimodal foundation models offer a promising framework for robotic perception and planning by processing sensory inputs to generate actionable plans. However, addressing uncertainty in both perception (sensory interpretation) and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Neel P. Bhatt , Yunhao Yang , Rohan Siva , Daniel Milan , Ufuk Topcu , Zhangyang Wang

Since long back, scientists have been putting enormous effort to understand earthquake dynamics -the goal is to develop a successful prediction scheme which can provide reliable alarm that an earthquake is imminent. Model studies sometimes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-03 Srutarshi Pradhan

This work presents a framework to inversely quantify uncertainty in the model parameters of the friction model using earthquake data via the Bayesian inference. The forward model is the popular rate- and state- friction (RSF) model along…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Saumik Dana , Karthik Reddy Lyathakula

In our paper published earlier we discussed forecasts of earthquake focal mechanism and ways to test the forecast efficiency. Several verification methods were proposed, but they were based on ad-hoc, empirical assumptions, thus their…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 Y. Y. Kagan , D. D Jackson

Natural disaster strikes at any given moment from seemingly out of nowhere Akin to earthquake that strongly affects human with different magnitudes through the course of time. The main aim of this study is the fractal analysis of seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-28 Santanu Nandi

This study describes a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) based technique for the prediction of intensity measurements (IMs) of ground shaking. The input data to the CNN model consists of multistation 3C broadband and accelerometric…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-13 Dario Jozinović , Anthony Lomax , Ivan Štajduhar , Alberto Michelini

Earthquake prediction has been a challenging research area for many decades, where the future occurrence of this highly uncertain calamity is predicted. In this paper, several parametric and non-parametric features were calculated, where…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-25 Gunbir Singh Baveja , Jaspreet Singh

This paper investigates methods for estimating uncertainty in semantic segmentation predictions derived from satellite imagery. Estimating uncertainty for segmentation presents unique challenges compared to standard image classification,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Melanie Rey , Andriy Mnih , Maxim Neumann , Matt Overlan , Drew Purves

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) aims to prospectively test time-dependent earthquake probability forecasts on their consistency with observations. To compete, time-dependent seismicity models are…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 M. J. Werner , D. Sornette

In earthquake source inversions aimed at understanding diverse fault activities on earthquake faults using seismic observation data, uncertainties in velocity structure models are typically not considered. As a result, biases and…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-01-31 Ryoichiro Agata

Future neutrino-oscillation experiments are expected to bring definite answers to the questions of neutrino-mass hierarchy and violation of charge-parity symmetry in the lepton sector. To realize this ambitious program it is necessary to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-05-15 Artur M Ankowski , Camillo Mariani

We use functional, Fr\'echet, derivatives to quantify how thermodynamic outputs of a molecular dynamics (MD) simulation depend on the potential used to compute atomic interactions. Our approach quantifies the sensitivity of the quantities…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-08 Samuel Temple Reeve , Alejandro Strachan

Analyzing the NEIC-data we have shown that the spatial deep-focus earthquake distribution in the Earth interior over the 1993-2006 is characterized by the clearly defined periodical fine discrete structure with period L=50 km, which is…

A substantial fraction of systematic uncertainties in neutrino oscillation experiments stem from the lack of precision in modeling the nuclear target in neutrino-nucleus interactions. Whilst this has driven significant progress in the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-01-15 J. Chakrani , S. Dolan , M. Buizza Avanzini , A. Ershova , L. Koch , K. McFarland , G. D. Megias , L. Munteanu , L. Pickering , K. Skwarczynski , V. Q. Nguyen , C. Wret

Strong-motion duration and number of cycles of motion are the well-known parameters with which earthquake engineers currently use to take into account the influence of motion duration for the dynamic analysis of structures. In addition to…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-06-09 Mohammadreza Mashayekhi , Mojtaba Harati , Homayoon E. Estekanchi

An enhancement in seismic measuring instrumentation has been proven to have implications in the quantity of observed earthquakes, since denser networks usually allow recording more events. However, phenomena such as strong earthquakes or…