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In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

Continued great efforts have been dedicated towards high-quality trajectory generation based on optimization methods, however, most of them do not suitably and effectively consider the situation with moving obstacles; and more particularly,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-05 Xiaoxue Zhang , Jun Ma , Zilong Cheng , Sunan Huang , Shuzhi Sam Ge , Tong Heng Lee

Gaussian process (GP) surrogates are the default tool for emulating expensive computer experiments, but cubic cost, stationarity assumptions, and Gaussian predictive distributions limit their reach. We propose Generative Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

This paper presents an adaptive high performance control method for autonomous miniature race cars. Racing dynamics are notoriously hard to model from first principles, which is addressed by means of a cautious nonlinear model predictive…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-12-19 Lukas Hewing , Alexander Liniger , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We investigate joint modeling of longevity trends using the spatial statistical framework of Gaussian Process regression. Our analysis is motivated by the Human Mortality Database (HMD) that provides unified raw mortality tables for nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

Evolving consumer demands and market trends have led to businesses increasingly embracing a production approach that prioritizes flexibility and customization. Consequently, factory workers must engage in tasks that are more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Issei Saito , Tomoaki Nakamura , Toshiyuki Hatta , Wataru Fujita , Shintaro Watanabe , Shotaro Miwa

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

Autonomous racing is increasingly becoming a proving ground for autonomous vehicle technology at the limits of its current capabilities. The most prominent examples include the F1Tenth racing series, Formula Student Driverless (FSD),…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Jingyun Ning , Madhur Behl

Background: Inference from fMRI data faces the challenge that the hemodynamic system that relates neural activity to the observed BOLD fMRI signal is unknown. New Method: We propose a new Bayesian model for task fMRI data with the following…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-01 Josef Wilzén , Anders Eklund , Mattias Villani

Rolling bearings are subject to various faults due to its long-time operation under harsh environment, which will lead to unexpected breakdown of machinery system and cause severe accidents. Deep learning methods recently have gained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Mingxuan Liang , Kai Zhou

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

Earth observation from satellite sensory data poses challenging problems, where machine learning is currently a key player. In recent years, Gaussian Process (GP) regression has excelled in biophysical parameter estimation tasks from…

Model predictive control allows to provide high performance and safety guarantees in the form of constraint satisfaction. These properties, however, can be satisfied only if the underlying model, used for prediction, of the controlled…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-25 Michael Maiworm , Daniel Limon , Rolf Findeisen

Learning in Gaussian Process models occurs through the adaptation of hyperparameters of the mean and the covariance function. The classical approach entails maximizing the marginal likelihood yielding fixed point estimates (an approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Dysplasia is a recognised risk factor for osteoarthritis (OA) of the hip, early diagnosis of dysplasia is important to provide opportunities for surgical interventions aimed at reducing the risk of hip OA. We have developed a pipeline for…

We introduce a semi-parametric Bayesian model for survival analysis. The model is centred on a parametric baseline hazard, and uses a Gaussian process to model variations away from it nonparametrically, as well as dependence on covariates.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-04 Tamara Fernández , Nicolás Rivera , Yee Whye Teh

Gaussian process (GP) models provide a powerful tool for prediction but are computationally prohibitive using large data sets. In such scenarios, one has to resort to approximate methods. We derive an approximation based on a composite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-02 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Edith C. H. Ngai

Obtaining accurate estimates of satellite drag coefficients in low Earth orbit is a crucial component in positioning and collision avoidance. Simulators can produce accurate estimates, but their computational expense is much too large for…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-25 Furong Sun , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland , Earl Lawrence , Andrew Walker

Recent trends envisage robots being deployed in areas deemed dangerous to humans, such as buildings with gas and radiation leaks. In such situations, the model of the underlying hazardous process might be unknown to the agent a priori,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Fernando S. Barbosa , Bruno Lacerda , Paul Duckworth , Jana Tumova , Nick Hawes

Background: Determining an adequate sample size is essential for developing reliable and generalisable clinical prediction models, yet practical guidance on selecting appropriate methods remains limited. Existing analytical and…