English
Related papers

Related papers: PROPHET: An Inferable Future Forecasting Benchmark…

200 papers

Entity Linking (EL) is an essential and challenging task in natural language processing that seeks to link some text representing an entity within a document or sentence with its corresponding entry in a dictionary or knowledge base. Most…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Yifan Ding , Qingkai Zeng , Tim Weninger

Predictive models in ML need to be trustworthy and reliable, which often at the very least means outputting calibrated probabilities. This can be particularly difficult to guarantee in the online prediction setting when the outcome sequence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Princewill Okoroafor , Robert Kleinberg , Wen Sun

Eliciting information to reduce uncertainty about a latent entity is a critical task in many application domains, e.g., assessing individual student learning outcomes, diagnosing underlying diseases, or learning user preferences. Though…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Jimmy Wang , Thomas Zollo , Richard Zemel , Hongseok Namkoong

In this paper we consider the problem of inference in statistical models characterized by moment restrictions by casting the problem within the Exponentially Tilted Empirical Likelihood (ETEL) framework. Because the ETEL function has a well…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

It is part of our daily social-media experience that seemingly ordinary items (videos, news, publications, etc.) unexpectedly gain an enormous amount of attention. Here we investigate how unexpected these events are. We propose a method…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-09 José M. Miotto , Eduardo G. Altmann

Natural Language Inference (NLI) is the task of determining whether a sentence pair represents entailment, contradiction, or a neutral relationship. While NLI models perform well on many inference tasks, their ability to handle fine-grained…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Tara Azin , Daniel Dumitrescu , Diana Inkpen , Raj Singh

Accelerating scientific discovery requires the identification of which experiments would yield the best outcomes before committing resources to costly physical validation. While existing benchmarks evaluate LLMs on scientific knowledge and…

Many existing evaluation benchmarks for Large Language Models (LLMs) quickly become outdated due to the emergence of new models and training data. These benchmarks also fall short in assessing how LLM performance changes over time, as they…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Hui Dai , Ryan Teehan , Mengye Ren

Natural language inference (NLI) is an increasingly important task for natural language understanding, which requires one to infer whether a sentence entails another. However, the ability of NLI models to make pragmatic inferences remains…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Paloma Jeretic , Alex Warstadt , Suvrat Bhooshan , Adina Williams

As mobile robots are increasingly deployed in human environments, enabling them to predict how people perceive them is critical for socially adaptable navigation. Predicting perceptions is challenging for two main reasons: (1) HRI…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Maximilian Diehl , Nathan Tsoi , Gustavo Chavez , Karinne Ramirez-Amaro , Marynel Vázquez

Recent years have seen a substantial development of quantitative methods, mostly led by the computer science community with the goal of developing better machine learning applications, mainly focused on predictive modeling. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Daniel Hain , Roman Jurowetzki

Forecasting accuracy is bounded by the information available about the future. This paper makes that statement precise using information-theoretic tools. Under logarithmic loss, the expected performance of any probabilistic forecast…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-01 Peter Maurice Catt

Human engagement in narrative is partially driven by reasoning about discourse relations between narrative events, and the expectations about what is likely to happen next that results from such reasoning. Researchers in NLP have tackled…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-09-01 Zhichao Hu , Elahe Rahimtoroghi , Larissa Munishkina , Reid Swanson , Marilyn A. Walker

Our goal is to enable a robot to learn how to sequence its actions to perform tasks specified as natural language instructions, given successful demonstrations from a human partner. The ability to plan high-level tasks can be factored as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Shreya Sharma , Jigyasa Gupta , Shreshth Tuli , Rohan Paul , Mausam

Artificial intelligence is reshaping labor markets, yet we lack tools to systematically forecast its effects on employment. This paper introduces a benchmark for evaluating how well large language models (LLMs) can anticipate changes in job…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Sheri Osborn , Rohit Valecha , H. Raghav Rao , Dan Sass , Anthony Rios

This work focuses on the nature of visibility in societies where the behaviours of humans and algorithms influence each other - termed algorithmically infused societies. We propose a quantitative measure of visibility, with implications and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Shaojing Sun , Zhiyuan Liu , David Waxman

Who should we prioritize for intervention when we cannot estimate intervention effects? In many applied domains (e.g., advertising, customer retention, and behavioral nudging) prioritization is guided by predictive models that estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Carlos Fernández-Loría , Jorge Loría

The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-05 Patrick Blöbaum , Shohei Shimizu

We consider prophet inequalities under downward-closed constraints. In this problem, a decision-maker makes immediate and irrevocable choices on arriving elements, subject to constraints. Traditionally, performance is compared to the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Tomer Ezra , Stefano Leonardi , Rebecca Reiffenhäuser , Matteo Russo , Alexandros Tsigonias-Dimitriadis

With the increasing demands on e-commerce platforms, numerous user action history is emerging. Those enriched action records are vital to understand users' interests and intents. Recently, prior works for user behavior prediction mainly…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Ruijie Wang , Zheng Li , Danqing Zhang , Qingyu Yin , Tong Zhao , Bing Yin , Tarek Abdelzaher